Not exact matches
This is the menu of potential but largely untested ways to counteract global
warming resulting from the buildup of greenhouse gases, should reality start to reflect worst -
case projections.
The result is intensifying debate over what is still widely viewed as a last - ditch option should worst -
case projections of
warming pan out.
Climate
projections based on energy - economic emissions scenarios show that, in the best
case,
warming will peak close to 1.5 C by mid-century before slowly declining to below this level.
We can therefore again compare the Scenario A2 multi-model global surface
warming projections to the observed
warming, in this
case since 2000, when the AR4 model simulations began (Figure 9).
So, once we clear away the underbrush, we can see that the
case for a carbon tax or a cap - and - trade emissions rationing system is really that it would be a hedge against the risk that actual damages from
warming would be much, much worse than current risk - adjusted
projections indicate.
In any
case, as the 2013 IPCC Fifth Assessment Report showed, the observed global surface
warming remains within the range of climate model
projections.
While the lofty goal of the landmark Paris climate agreement was to prevent global temperatures from rising 2 °C, it's increasingly unlikely the world will pull that off (see «Global
warming's worst -
case projections look increasingly likely»).
I should also point out that there is a difference between a
projection and a prediction, but given the short time scales here and the amount of
warming «in the pipeline» already it's probably not germane in this
case.
It remains true that Earth has
warmed more than 1 degree farenheit degrees over last century largely due to the buildup of human - made greenhouse gases... it remains the
case that the
projections of future climate change are every bit of discouraging as they were before the recent flap began.»
In the latter
case, the alternative relative SST measure in the lower panel does not change very much over the 21st century, even with substantial Atlantic
warming projections from climate models, because, crucially, the
warming projected for the tropical Atlantic in the models is not very different from that projected for the tropics as a whole.
The most alarming
projections for global warming this century also seem to be the most reliable, according to a December study in Nature that compared climate models against what's already happening in the atmosphere (see «Global Warming's Worst - Case Projections Look Increasingly Like
projections for global
warming this century also seem to be the most reliable, according to a December study in Nature that compared climate models against what's already happening in the atmosphere (see «Global Warming's Worst - Case Projections Look Increasingly Likely&r
warming this century also seem to be the most reliable, according to a December study in Nature that compared climate models against what's already happening in the atmosphere (see «Global
Warming's Worst - Case Projections Look Increasingly Likely&r
Warming's Worst -
Case Projections Look Increasingly Like
Projections Look Increasingly Likely»).