Sentences with phrase «case warming scenario»

To this end, the study used a probabilistic approach to examine how sea levels would vary across the world's coasts under a worst - case warming scenario by the year 2100.

Read more: «World on track for worst - case warming scenario» and «Hope against the odds is mood of NY climate march ``

Worst - case warming scenario may bring totally new kinds of tropical climate and cause others to disappear

To say this another way, even if worst case warming scenarios with regards to feedbacks do emerge, all it does, from the human standpoint, is make rapid responses to climate change all the more urgent and necessary.

Not exact matches

Under the worst - case scenario (RCP 8.5), which assumes that greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century, the authors show the potential for extremely large net increases in temperature - related mortality in the warmer regions of the world.

Hamilton noted that the commission's report is not the first time The Lancet has taken a stab at climate change, but previous reports focused on the worst - case scenarios of global warming and their devastating health consequences, whereas the current report highlights the benefits of addressing climate change and touts «no regrets» actions that benefit the environment and health.

Under the best - case scenario, where the Earth warms by one degree Celsius, fish would move 15 kilometres every decade.

Australian scientists have discovered many tropical, mountaintop plants won't survive global warming, even under the best - case climate scenario.

Researchers say deaths linked to warming climate may rise some 20 percent by the 2020s, and, in some worst - case scenarios, 90 percent or more by the 2080s.

Scientists typically look at four different possible futures, ranging from an uber - green society to a worst - case scenario, in which no action is taken to combat global warming.

By vacuuming carbon dioxide out of the air — something the world may need to do in earnest one day, in order to avoid the worst - case scenarios associated with global warming — the plant has effectively put a cost ceiling on what it would take to de-carbonize any industry in the world.

«It is ironic that high concentrations of molecules with high global warming potential (GWP), the worst - case scenario for Earth's climate, is the optimal scenario for detecting an alien civilization, as GWP increases with stronger infrared absorption and longer atmospheric lifetime,» say the authors.

Third, with our ∼ 1 °C scenario it is more likely that the biosphere and soil will be able to sequester a substantial portion of the anthropogenic fossil fuel CO2 carbon than in the case of 2 °C or more global warming.

He shows how warming ocean waters gave Hurricane Katrina the added strength to blow right through Florida and on to New Orleans, and he documents worst - case scenarios for accelerated change.

According to a paper his group published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in 2007, humans are now pumping out climate - warming gases nearly three times faster than the IPCC authors anticipated in their worst - case scenario.

I think the best explanation as to why the «politics of fear» isn't working is simply because nobody has taken the time to map out and publicize the worst case scenario of global warming (perhaps it would be better put as «global heating»?)

QUOTE: «I think the best explanation as to why the «politics of fear» isn't working is simply because nobody has taken the time to map out and publicize the worst case scenario of global warming (perhaps it would be better put as «global heating»?)

They may prove to be at least as important as the mathematical models, from which adherents of human caused warming tend to extract the worst case scenarios.

He said that was the worst - case scenario, if nothing urgent was done to address global ocean warming.

The Arctic has seen transformations vastly more radical than the worst - case global warming scenario.

Another, possibly best case scenario, shows that if global warming did not exceed the 2 degree Celsius benchmark, the millennial sea - level rise from the melting of Antarctic ice could likely be restricted to a few meters.

In that case (reading approximately from the chart published in Hansen's paper), the Scenario B forecast would have been about 0.2 C of warming and actual would have been indistinguishable from 0C warming.

Just two weeks ago in Nature, a science journal I never would have associated with comedy, I saw an article no doubt published by the top scientists in the world who say global warming will continue to year 3000 in best case scenarios.

Some 98 percent of working climate scientists agree that the atmosphere is already warming in response to human greenhouse - gas emissions, and the most recent research suggests that we are on a path toward what were once considered «worst case» scenarios.

The results for change scaled by global mean warming are rather similar across the four scenarios, an exception being a relatively large increase over the equatorial ocean for the commitment case.

In any case, even in a realistic best case scenario, we're not doing enough to decarbonize the economy if we want to avoid dangerous and potentially catastrophic global warming.

Climate projections based on energy - economic emissions scenarios show that, in the best case, warming will peak close to 1.5 C by mid-century before slowly declining to below this level.

Coastal state and US total 2010 census populations living on land falling below future committed high tide lines under different fixed long - term warming scenarios, assuming the inevitable collapse of the WAIS under any scenario (triggered case)

We can therefore again compare the Scenario A2 multi-model global surface warming projections to the observed warming, in this case since 2000, when the AR4 model simulations began (Figure 9).

Coastal state and US total 2010 census populations living on land falling below future committed high tide lines under different fixed long - term warming scenarios, making no assumptions about the inevitability of WAIS collapse (baseline case)

The baseline case includes the possibility of WAIS instability, depending upon emissions and warming; the triggered case differs only in enforcing collapse under any scenario at some time within Levermann et al.'s (10) 2,000 - y envelope.

And that is regardless of whether the worst case scenarios of warming are true or not.

As Strauss's words suggest, this worst - case scenario for global warming, which envisions 2 degrees as early as 2040 and as much as 5 degrees by 2100, is not necessarily the one that will be realized.

All the more ironic is that in counseling us to «respect the facts», he should made several further errors of fact, not least in his translation of «Nullius in Verba», but also in his statement of fact that» 15 — 40 per cent of species potentially facing extinction after only 2 °C of warming», omitting the fact that this is aworst - case scenario predicted by just a single study.

The new work goes well beyond an increasingly dated consensus finding of the international scientific community on sea level, which stated that it could increase by nearly 1 meter by the year 2100, under a worst - case scenario version of global warming.

RealClimate recently claimed that Hansen's 1988 Scenario B was a good, though «warm» match for the historical record, whereas in fact Scenario C (the no emissions after 2000 base case) was the best.

Under the worst - case scenario investigated, if pollution continues unabated, and if seas respond to ongoing warming by rising at the fastest rates considered likely, sea levels could rise more than 4 feet this century alone, wiping out coastal infrastructure and driving communities inland.

One model at the very extreme had a worst - case - scenario warming of 11 degrees Celsius — which is nearly 20 degrees Fahrenheit.

BC17 consider all four IPCC RCP scenarios and focus on mid-century and end - century warming; in each case there is a single predictand, ΔT.

It means two things: First, as uncertainty increases, the worst - case scenario — namely, the lowest possible carbon budget that we may have available to limit warming to 2 °C — becomes worse.

even in the best case scenario, business as usual fossil fuel burning will almost certainly commit us to more than 2C (3.6 F) warming, an amount of warming that scientists who study climate change impacts tell us will lead to truly dangerous and potentially irreversible climate change.

Worse yet, on our present trajectory, it seems highly unlikely that the warming process will stop at 2 or even 3 degrees Celsius, meaning that later in this century many of the worst - case climate - change scenarios — the inundation of coastal cities, the desertification of vast interior regions, and the collapse of rain - fed agriculture in many areas — will become everyday reality.

New scenarios have been submitted, and will be published, which actually achieve a goal of limiting warming throughout the 21st century to 1.5 C with a decent probability, in some cases 66 %.

In the worst - case scenario, this is cemented in the public mind as a refutation of the connection between anthropogenic carbon emissions and global warming, and ongoing projects to eliminate carbon will be reversed.

A rate of warming of 0.07 oC / decade implying moderate climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide and centuries — in a worst case scenario — to reach an impossibly misguided target of 2OC.

The disintegration of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets is speeding up, providing more evidence we are headed for the worst - case scenario of sea level rise — three to six feet (or more) by 2100 — unless total warming is limited to «well below 2 °C,» as Paris envisions.

The close agreement of warming for the early century, with a range of only 0.05 °C among the SRES cases, shows that no matter which of these non-mitigation scenarios is followed, the warming is similar on the time scale of the next decade or two.

He has also demonstrated that, even assuming worst - case impacts from the UN IPCC's high - end warming scenario, developing countries in 2100 are projected to be much richer than developed countries are today.

The earlier warming patterns are also similar to the standard case, particularly for the same scenario A1B.

Under one scenario (RCP 4.5), warming could reach 4.5 watts per square meter; under the worst - case scenario (RCP 8.5), it could reach 8.5 watts per square meter.