It will
cause changes in clouds, rain, albedo, temperature and wind in ways that will alter climate patterns differently than solar visible light effects.
No matter what (unknown) physical process
causes the changes in cloud cover, these changes are observed during a sun cycle.
The global electric current
causes changes in cloud properties and precipitation which in turn causes warming in both locations.
Nowhere in the paper is there a mention of a «mechanism», which
caused this change in cloud cover and reflectivity.
Added on top of this exaggeration is an even worse misrepresentation of the impact of cloud changes with warming (cloud feedback) and a total ignoring of any naturally
caused changes in clouds (cloud forcing).
We will know what
causes changes in cloud behavior and the effects of those changes as soon as we have the will to invest in the instruments necessary to give us reliable and detailed information about what is important for climate in those changes.
This might
cause changes in cloud cover, due to consequent reductions in relative humidity, so you have to stop those too because they are a feedback.
Not exact matches
In theory, CERES would be able to measure the
changes caused by geoengineering to, say, make
clouds more reflective.
As a brown dwarf rotates, its
clouds move
in and out of the hemisphere seen by the telescope,
causing changes in the brightness of the brown dwarf.
Giant waves
cause large - scale movement of particles
in brown dwarfs» atmospheres,
changing the thickness of the silicate
clouds, researchers report
in the journal Science.
In particular, they propose that cloud changes associated with aerosol particles in the atmosphere could be causing the weekend effect, though other pollution processes can not be ruled out at this tim
In particular, they propose that
cloud changes associated with aerosol particles
in the atmosphere could be causing the weekend effect, though other pollution processes can not be ruled out at this tim
in the atmosphere could be
causing the weekend effect, though other pollution processes can not be ruled out at this time.
They found a small correlation between cosmic rays and global temperatures occurring every 22 years; however, the
changing cosmic ray rate lagged behind the
change in temperatures by between one and two years, suggesting that the
cause of the temperature rise might not be attributable to cosmic rays and
cloud formation, but could be
caused by the direct effects of the sun.
The acknowledged role of sunspots and cosmic rays
in forming
clouds has been fertile ground for climate deniers, who have cast doubt on whether anthropogenic climate
change (
in other words,
change caused by humans) is occurring at all.
As the planet spins, Hubble was able to observe
changes in brightness
caused by
clouds within its atmosphere.
This flexibility is designed to facilitate a higher concentration of intermittent renewable resources — such as wind and solar — than is currently possible because, by having such flexible gas - fired plants, grid operators can respond to sudden
changes in renewable generation
caused by variations
in wind speed or
cloud cover.
Ascending
clouds create turbulences that
cause stronger vorticity or
changes in trajectory.
The
changes Spencer saw
in his model are explained by El Niño / La Niña cycles, Dessler said, not
caused by
clouds.
However, Shelley has always been intrigued with natural rhythms and slight variations that create shifts
in pattern and perception, such as drum beats
in music, moving and migrating
cloud formations and systematic
changes in color and size of similar shapes that
cause an enhanced awareness of an otherwise unnoticeable feature.
Scientists agree that a doubling of atmospheric CO2 levels could result
in temperature increases of between 1.5 and 4.5 °C,
caused by rapid
changes such as snow and ice melt, and the behaviour of
clouds and water vapour.
Secondly, if the potential
cloud response is related to
changes in circulation
caused by the TSI or an ozone related
change, then it isn't an extra forcing at all — it is part of the feedback, and should already be incorporated
in models.
But I just read
in the press release: «Hence, variations
in cloud cover
caused by cosmic rays can
change the surface temperature.
I know Lindzen has a theory that a
change in tropical
cloud cover will offset greenhouse - gas -
caused warming, the unproven «iris effect».
I would suggest comparing peak to peak average temperature captures during weighted El - Nino events (during the time they occur, if they can be compared equally this would be a telling graph), instead of considering year to year records as a means of reducing ENSO effects on the temperature record, ENSO being largely a heat exchange between air and sea
causing great
changes in cloud distribution world wide.
Now, it turns out that the mix of forces that
caused these colorful residents of
cloud forests to vanish from misty slopes remains contentious even though they have become an icon
in discussions of extinction dangers from rapid climate
change.
For example, episodic deviations
in cloud and snow cover, dust and smoke, etc, will have some radiative effect that could
cause some global average temperature
change.
But a
change of -1.7 %
in (high level)
clouds over 1 decade
caused a
change of 1.2 W / m2
in reflected SW and ~ 3 W / m2 more IR radiation to space over the 30N / S band.
This would
cause a
change of 4.75 degrees K for the 100 % reference
change in GCR over the 11 year solar cycle (and a non physical decrease of more than 100 %
in cloud cover — are negative high
clouds cooling and negative low
clouds warming?
The 1.2 GU decrease
in GCR (presumably)
causes a 1.9 CU decrease
in clouds; according to their figure 5A, a 5 CU
change in clouds (~ +1 to -4) results
in a 0.15 degree K
change in temperature.
If the loss of heat by the oceans is
caused by a
change in radiation balance, the primary source of the
change should be a
change in (mainly tropical)
cloud cover.
There will be Regionally / locally and temporal variations; increased temperature and backradiation tend to reduce the diurnal temperature cycle on land, though regional variations
in cloud feedbacks and water vapor could
cause some regions to have the opposite effect;
changes in surface moisture and humidity also
changes the amount of convective cooling that can occur for the same temperature distribution.
It's looking more and more like most climate
change can be pegged to
changes in solar output, either directly through additional warming or indirectly as decreases
in solar output allow more cosmic rays to reach the atmosphere,
causing increased
cloud nucleation and therefore increasing the earth's albedo and reflecting more solar radiation.
And how much of the hiatus is
cloud caused in step
changes in ocean and atmospheric circulation.
His estimate for the surface temperature rise due to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 for the zero feedback case is 0.5 C which is further reduced to 0.3 C due to negative feedback
caused by the increase
in planetary
clouds which is
in agreement with Idso's experimental analysis to determine the planet's response to a
change in forcing.
WASHINGTON — A study on how much heat
in Earth's atmosphere is
caused by
cloud cover has heated up the climate
change blogosphere even as it is dismissed by many scientists.
The satellite data shows that
changes in cloud cover was the
cause of all recent warming.
In contrast, the IPCC's position is that clouds can only change in response to temperature change (temperature cause clouds
In contrast, the IPCC's position is that
clouds can only
change in response to temperature change (temperature cause clouds
in response to temperature
change (temperature
cause clouds).
But neglecting causation
in the opposite direction (
clouds cause temperature) can lead to large errors
in our understanding of how and why the climate system
changes, as well as
in our diagnosis of how sensitive the climate system is to human influences.»
Dr. Roy Spencer has proposed a hypothesis whereby some unknown internal mechanism
causes cloud cover to
change, which
in turn
changes the reflectivity (albedo) of the planet, thus
causing warming or cooling.
In short, Dessler argues that
cloud cover
change is a feedback to a radiative forcing, for example increasing greenhouse gases, while Spencer argues that
clouds are
changing due to some other, unknown
cause, and acting as a forcing themselves.
The mainstream and long - held view of
clouds in relation to climate
change is that
clouds are acting as a feedback
in response to temperature
changes caused by human activity.
You have not cited a third possibility (out of the infinite range of possibilities), no climate
change associated with CO2 (due to, for example,
cloud cover providing negative feedback), with current increase due to natural variability; or how about possibility four, that increase
in CO2 concentrations are
caused by the temperature rise, which is
in turn
caused by (for example) increased solar activity resulting
in increased biomass activity etc. etc..
The largest uncertainty
in the future radiative forcing
caused by sea - ice loss is related to how
clouds in the Arctic will
change.
This effect
causes a total swing of about three percent
change in cloud cover.
It was an appropriate hypothesis that rests
in a knowledge gap (freely admitted by climate scientists - again
in the IPCC), but Spencer seemed unable to pinpoint how long - term
cloud changes can be decoupled from temperature
changes (he hypothesised that ocean / atmospheric processes, like ENSO and PDO, can
cause long - term
changes in cloud dynamics - but didn't show how that happens).
«The overall slow decrease of upwelling SW flux from the mid-1980's until the end of the 1990's and subsequent increase from 2000 onwards appear to
caused, primarily, by
changes in global
cloud cover (although there is a small increase of
cloud optical thickness after 2000) and is confirmed by the ERBS measurements.»
the large time lag involved
in clouds -
causing - temperature
change can be demonstrated with either lag regression, or phase space plots of the data.
(The solar magnetic cycle
changes cause an increase or decrease to the solar heliosphere and solar wind which
in turn results
in an increase or decrease
in atmospheric ionization which
in turn results
in less or more low level
clouds which results
in more or less solar energy being reflected into space.)
Changes in ocean surface temperatures
caused by El Niño significantly affect where cumulonimbus
clouds form
in the ITCZ and, therefore, the geographic structure of the Hadley cell.
The Pavlakis et al (2008) paper «ENSO Surface Shortwave Radiation Forcing over the Tropical Pacific» identifies the variations
in surface downward shortwave radiation over portions of the Pacific Oceans
caused by El Nino - produced
cloud cover
changes.
Also interesting that they don't understand that water vapour feedback, no matter what it's magnitude, applies equally to anything that
causes a
change in radiative forcing for the planet — more GH gases, Albedo
change, any GCR induced
changes in clouds.