He suggests that some unknown mechanism has
caused global cloud cover to decrease over the past century.
Not exact matches
Almost simultaneous with the birth of discover, physicist and Nobel laureate Luis Alvarez (along with his son, Walter Alvarez of the University of California, Berkeley) proposed that a giant asteroid impact killed off the dinosaurs by
causing global firestorms and dust
clouds that blotted out the sun.
Scientists know that the
clouds can act as a sunshield, cooling parts of the globe and offsetting the
global warming
caused by the greenhouse effect (see «Not warming, but cooling», New Scientist, 9 July 1994).
They found a small correlation between cosmic rays and
global temperatures occurring every 22 years; however, the changing cosmic ray rate lagged behind the change in temperatures by between one and two years, suggesting that the
cause of the temperature rise might not be attributable to cosmic rays and
cloud formation, but could be
caused by the direct effects of the sun.
There have been articles as far back as the 70s concerning
global dimming but it's only very recently, apparently, that all of the probable
causes (e.g. the microscopic particles
causing smaller water droplets in
clouds, enhancing the mirror effect, as well as contrails) have been understood.
The simulations confirm that aerosol injection does brighten
clouds, but the amount of solar radiation reflected may not be enough to balance the
global warming
caused by burning fossil fuels.
My father is somewhat of a climate «sceptic» and insists that the prediction of 0.3 C cooling is based only on solar irradiance and does not take into account increased
cloud cover
caused by low sun activity (he beleives that we are going to be facing extreme
global cooling over the next few decades).
due to co2 we are already living in a greenhouse.Whatever one does in that greenhouse will remain in the greenhouse.INDUSTRIOUS HEAT will remain in the greenhouse instead of escaping into outer space; this is a far greater contributor to
global warming than other factors and far more difficult to reduce without reducing economic activity.Like warm moist air from your mouth on cold mornings so melting antarctic ice will turn into
cloud as it meets warm moist air from tropics the seas will not rise as antarctica is a huge
cloud generator.A thick band of
cloud around the earth will produce even temps accross the whole earth
causing the wind to moderate even stop.WE should be preparing for this possible scenario»
For
cause and effect: You never know, but I don't think that
cloud cover regulates the sun cycle... Globally, the variation of
cloud cover during a sun cycle is around 2 %, which can have a substantial influence on
global temperatures.
There have been articles as far back as the 70s concerning
global dimming but it's only very recently, apparently, that all of the probable
causes (e.g. the microscopic particles
causing smaller water droplets in
clouds, enhancing the mirror effect, as well as contrails) have been understood.
For example, episodic deviations in
cloud and snow cover, dust and smoke, etc, will have some radiative effect that could
cause some
global average temperature change.
The second order effect of increasing cloudiness
caused by more GCRs when «atmospheric conditions are suitable» for the formation of high
clouds due to the other effects of
global warming should be warming.
Roy Spencer is the driving force behind the «internal variability» hypothesis, which posits that some unknown and undefined mechanism is
causing cloud cover to change, which, by changing the overall reflectivity of the Earth, is the driving force behind the current
global warming.
And because
cloud cover gates the Sun on and off, it is the most powerful feedback in all of Earth's climate to amplify solar variations and to mitigate
global warming from any
cause.
Cho, H. - M., Z. Zhang, K. Meyer, M. Lebsock, S. Platnick, A.S. Ackerman, L. Di Girolamo, L.C. Labonnote, C. Cornet, J. Riedi, and R.E. Holz, 2015: Frequency and
causes of failed MODIS
cloud property retrievals for liquid phase
clouds over
global oceans.
This empirical finding contradicts Spencer's hypothesis that
cloud cover changes are driving
global warming, but is consistent with our current understanding of the climate: ocean heat is exchanged with the atmosphere, which
causes surface warming, which alters atmospheric circulation, which alters
cloud cover, which impacts surface temperature.
The 1991 volcanic eruptions (Pinatubo, Hudson) injected 23 Megatonnes of SO2 into the stratosphere, leaving a sulfurous
cloud that circled the globe for about 2 years before finally settling out (together with a large quantity of fine particulate matter which rapidly settled out) The sulfurous
cloud caused average
global temperatures to drop by 0.55 deg.
Clouds are one of the big unknowns about
global warming as they can have a range of effects, warmer temperatures
caused by
global warming will result in higher rates of evaporation and therefore will result in higher
cloud cover.
Something
caused decreased
cloud cover, less reflected SW and
global warming in the late 20th century.
Nature also published a supporting companion article by the late Dr. Stephen Schneider, who used a
global climate model to create a futuristic scenario that if CO2 doubled it «could» raise the
clouds and «perhaps»
cause a harmful drying effect.
«The overall slow decrease of upwelling SW flux from the mid-1980's until the end of the 1990's and subsequent increase from 2000 onwards appear to
caused, primarily, by changes in
global cloud cover (although there is a small increase of
cloud optical thickness after 2000) and is confirmed by the ERBS measurements.»
Because it affects our ability to find the Holy Grail of climate research:
cloud feedback... Sufficiently positive
cloud feedback could
cause a
global warming Armageddon.
He has published two papers stating that climate change is not serious: a 2001 paper hypothesizing that
clouds would provide a negative feedback to cancel out
global warming, and a 2009 paper claiming that climate sensitivity (the amount of warming
caused by a doubling of carbon dioxide) was very low.
A slight change of ocean temperature (after a delay
caused by the high specific heat of water, the annual mixing of thermocline waters with deeper waters in storms) ensures that rising CO2 reduces infrared absorbing H2O vapour while slightly increasing
cloud cover (thus Earth's albedo), as evidenced by the fact that the NOAA data from 1948 - 2008 shows a fall in
global humidity (not the positive feedback rise presumed by NASA's models!)
(The consensus claim that the
clouds that result
cause an increase in
global heat content, but since they don't really understand
clouds by their own admission, I take that with a box of salt.)
New paper finds changes in
cloud cover
caused global brightening & dimming, not man - made aerosols
And noting «zonal mean - winds constitute an important element of
global atmospheric circulation,» they go on to suggest,» if the solar cycle can influence zonal mean - winds, then it may affect other features of
global climate as well, including oscillations such as the NAO and MJO, of which zonal winds are an ingredient» Thus, «the
cause of this forcing» as they describe it, «likely involves some combination of solar wind, galactic cosmic rays, ionosphere - Earth currents and
cloud microphysics.»
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory researchers have identified a mechanism that
causes low
clouds — and their influence on Earth's energy balance — to respond differently to
global warming depending on their spatial pattern.
If there is a strong negative feedback in the climate system, be it
clouds, lapse rate, etc it would preclude large temperature variations in
global temperature
caused by a perturbation in climate, regardless of the
cause of the perturbation
-LSB-...]
caused the California fires» of 2007, even if
Global Warming did fan the flames (see also Forest Chief Warns of
Global Warming threat) nor is possible to say that Moscow's
clouded skies last year were due to Climate Disruption -LSB-...]
The
global electric current
causes changes in
cloud properties and precipitation which in turn
causes warming in both locations.
«The overall slow decrease of upwelling SW flux from the mid-1980's until the end of the 1990's and subsequent increase from 2000 onwards appear to
caused, primarily, by changes in
global cloud cover (although there is a small increase of
cloud optical thickness after 2000) and is confirmed by the ERBS measurements... The overall slight rise (relative heating) of
global total net flux at TOA between the 1980's and 1990's is confirmed in the tropics by the ERBS measurements and exceeds the estimated climate forcing changes (greenhouse gases and aerosols) for this period.
Spencer has postulated elsewhere that natural factors, such as PDO swings, might be the underlying
cause for changes in
cloud cover, which result in changes in
global temperature, IOW that
clouds act as part of a natural forcing, rather than simply a feedback to anthropogenic (or other) forcing.
manacker, so your explanation is that the sun shines through the somehow thinning
clouds and
causes global warming.
Thus if the two mid latitude jets move equatorward at the same time as the ITCZ moves closer to the equator the combined effect on
global albedo and the amount of solar energy able to penetrate the oceans will be substantial and would dwarf the other proposed effects on albedo from changes in cosmic ray intensity generating changes in
cloud totals as per Svensmark and from suggested changes
caused in upper
cloud quantities by changes in atmospheric chemistry involving ozone which various other climate sceptics propose.
Misconception # 5 — Cosmic rays result in increased
clouding, consequently periods of low cosmic ray flux
cause global warming.
Nice bit of urban history, but the big question is what is
causing global warming and even bigger question being why is everybody ignoring variability in equatorial
cloud mass?
Increased equatorial insolation due to reduced Easterly Wave SC
cloud mass, promoting increased northern hemisphere evaporation and precipitation resulting in a hiatus on a
global averaging basis, but regional specific
cause - and - effect variability?
On the other hand, Gavin Schmidt of NASA GISS, one of the topmost scientists involved in the Catastrophic Anthropogenic
Global Warming
cause, in a recent paper clearly asserts that: • 75 % of the Greenhouse effect is attributable to water vapour and
clouds • 100 % of the increase in CO2 emissions since 1850 (110 ppmv) is Man - made Following these numbers through and accounting for the effect of other Greenhouse gases results in a Man - made temperature rise between 1850 and 2010 of 2.21 °C.
In that post, I looked into the ocean at 10 - 100m depth, and found enough extra energy absorption
caused by a 1983 - 2009
cloud cover decline to match the
global warming claimed for CO2.
Feedbacks involving low - level
clouds remain a primary
cause of uncertainty in
global climate model projections.