In the June quarter, the overall rise in housing - secured credit exceeded dwelling investment by the equivalent of 8 per
cent of household disposable income, which is almost twice the average magnitude of housing equity withdrawal seen over the past two years (Graph 28).
Revised data now suggest that the debt - servicing ratio reached 8.7 per
cent of household disposable income in the September quarter, and it is likely to have surpassed its late - 1980s peak in the December quarter (Graph 27; see «Box B» for further discussion of the debt - servicing ratio).
This has encouraged housing equity withdrawal, which amounted to 6 per
cent of household disposable income in the June quarter (Graph 10).
The debt - servicing ratio reached 7.6 per
cent of household disposable income in the March quarter (Graph 22).
The tightening in monetary policy has, however, resulted in a rise in the interest payments of the household sector from around 6 per
cent of household disposable income in the first half of 1999, to around 7 1/4 per cent in the March quarter (Graph 15).
Debt payments now represent about 14 per
cent of household disposable income, the highest share in three years.
Not exact matches
Meanwhile, the total
household debt service ratio, measured as total obligated payments
of principal and interest as a proportion
of household disposable income for both mortgage and non-mortgage debt, remained flat at 13.8 per
cent in the fourth quarter.
Statistics Canada said Thursday
household credit market debt as a proportion
of household disposable income was 170.4 per
cent in the fourth quarter.
As a share
of total
household sector
disposable income, the cash flow effect in this scenario is estimated be less than 0.2 per
cent on average per annum over each
of the next three years (Graph 7).
Growth in
household disposable income picked up steadily over the past year, driven by solid employment growth, to be running at just under 6 per
cent over the year to the June quarter, the highest rate
of increase for almost three years.
Statistics Canada said
household credit market debt as a proportion
of household disposable income increased to 167.8 per
cent, up from 166.6 per
cent in the first quarter.
The ongoing accumulation
of household debt has led to a further increase in the debt - servicing ratio; interest payments as a proportion
of disposable income rose to 9.3 per
cent in the September quarter (Graph 23), and are expected to rise further.
Overall, the ratio
of household debt to the
disposable income
of households (excluding unincorporated enterprises) has risen by 12 percentage points over the past two years to 94 per
cent (Graph 16).
The ratio
of household sector interest payments to
disposable income has fallen steadily over the past year and is now below 6 per
cent.
Moreover, in the September quarter, the expansion in housing - secured credit exceeded
household dwelling investment by around 8 per
cent of disposable income.
Consequently, the
household debt - servicing ratio reached 9.4 per
cent of disposable income (Graph 26).
The reason for their frustration is Poloz's unwillingness to raise interest rates to slow the accumulation
of household debt, which now is about 170 per
cent of disposable income.
Taking these facts into account, and allowing for the fact that
households with debt have, on average, incomes about 30 per
cent higher than the average for all
households, interest and principal repayments probably account for something like 20 per
cent of disposable income among those
households who have debt.
Our estimate is that
households currently pay about 2 1/2 per
cent of income in required principal repayment, which brings their total debt servicing to 10 per
cent of disposable income.
Households, in turn, have today levels
of financial burden in line with those observed in other European countries (25 per
cent of disposable income in Spain, versus 28 per
cent in France and 24 per
cent in Germany).
Right now, the average Canadian
household spends about 14 per
cent of its
disposable income to pay down debt, including mortgage principal and interest.
Statistics Canada said Wednesday the ratio
of household credit market debt to adjusted
disposable income crept up to 166.9 per
cent in the third quarter, up from 166.4 per
cent in the second quarter.
The ratio
of household debt - to -
disposable income reached the highest on record in the third quarter, at 148.1 per
cent, Statistics Canada said Monday, a 6.7 per
cent rise in Canadian
household obligations from a year ago.
In the fall, Canadian
household debt reached 165 per
cent of disposable income, and all signs point to that number rising in 2016.
But the level
of household debt continues to rise, hitting 171.1 per
cent of disposable income in the third quarter.
The
household debt service ratio, the obligated payments
of principal and interest as a proportion
of disposable income, was 13.8 per
cent in the fourth quarter, compared with 13.5 per
cent in the third quarter.
The total amount
of credit market debt — which includes mortgages, non-mortgage loans and consumer credit — held by Canadian
households increased to 162.6 per
cent of disposable income during the quarter, from a revised 161.5 per
cent in the previous quarter.
In the third quarter
of 2017, the national
household debt - to -
disposable income ratio reached a record 171 per
cent.
According to the article, which reviewed a recent Statistics Canada report, «the amount
of household credit market debt rose to 167.3 per
cent of adjusted
household disposable income in the fourth quarter, up from 166.8 per
cent in the third quarter.»
The most encouraging news was that
households accumulated debt in the fourth quarter
of last year at the slowest annualized pace since 2001, pushing the much - watched debt to
disposable income ratio down two - tenths
of a point to 164 per
cent.