Not exact matches
However, when the substantial majority
of over 60 per
cent gets split among four other competing parties, the
Conservatives — with a minority
of the
vote — could wind up forming the government.
Just last week, his federal
Conservatives won 77 per
cent of the byelection
vote in Rona Ambrose's former Edmonton riding.
Progressive
Conservative members
voted 95 per
cent in favour
of a deal to merge with the Opposition Wildrose.
Members
of the two
conservative parties also supported each other's amendments — the PCs supported 91 per
cent of Wildrose amendments and the Wildrose
voted in favour
of every
of PC amendment.
Around 65 per
cent of younger people
voted for Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party earlier this year and YouGov has observed that «age seems to be the new dividing line in British politics», with older people tending to favour the
Conservative Party and younger people generally
voting Labour.
Members
of the House
of Lords came in for criticism in January when it was revealed that average attendance at
votes in the upper house was 55 per
cent for Labour peers, 54 per
cent for Liberal Democrats and just 29 per
cent for
Conservatives.
By contrast, 26 per
cent of Conservative votes in 2015 were in seats that the party lost.
Our analysis
of voting patterns in the June 2017 General Election shows that Labour has a strong chance
of winning across the city region, leading by over 27 per
cent over the
Conservatives.
Some 30 per
cent did not
vote at all in 2010, and only 12 per
cent voted for other parties, approximately half
of whom were
Conservative supporters.
A YouGov poll for the Evening Standard showed the
Conservatives would be neck - and - neck with Labour in the polls on 37 per
cent of the
vote if they were led by Mr Johnson.
Last time around, there was almost a three - way dead heat in the battle for the first time
vote, with Labour on 31 per
cent just edging ahead
of the
Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats on per
cent.
Second, the
Conservatives had become complacent about the 40 per
cent - plus
vote share they hadenjoyed for most
of 2009.
The
Conservatives» lowest
votes on 1 May were in Northern Ireland with 1.2 per
cent, Scotland with 17.5 per
cent and Wales with 19.6 per
cent — compared to 33.7 per
cent of the
vote in England.
Only 77 per
cent of those intending to
vote Conservative on Thursday would
vote for a combined candidate, with 14 per
cent saying they would not
vote at all, 2 per
cent going to Ukip and 4 per
cent saying they would
vote Labour.
Given that the city region is a traditional Labour stronghold, Street's victory with a 50.6 per
cent share
of the
vote (after the second round) was testament to the strength
of his campaign, and to the strong emphasis the
Conservative national leadership placed on supporting his bid.
For most
of this year, Labour have hovered a few points above the
Conservatives, who seem to float around the 37 per
cent vote share they received at the general election.
This includes fixed terms for five years (when average time between elections has been four); the
vote to dissolve parliament before calling a general election requiring 55 per
cent support in the House
of Commons (meaning the Liberal Democrats can not withdraw their support from the Tories and cause a general election as the Lib - Dems, Labour and other parties altogether hold less than 55 per
cent of the seats); and stuffing the House
of Lords with many more
Conservatives and Liberals to weaken opposition there.
Of those who watched the debate, the
voting intentions were 36 per
cent for the
Conservatives, 35 per
cent for the Liberal Democrats and 24 per
cent for Labour.
If the NPL
vote was substantial — say six to eight per
cent — it could have the effect
of reinstating the current coalition or even produce a majority
Conservative government, unless UKIP manages to do on the right what I have suggested a NPL might do on the left.
The
Conservatives are in third place with 9.4 per
cent of the
vote and Nick would require a swing
of over 30 per
cent to win the constituency.
That means that the parties whose seat shares exceed their
vote shares (the
Conservatives, Labour, the SNP, the DUP, and — fractionally — Sinn Féin and the SDLP) collectively hold 24 per
cent of the seats in the House
of Commons more than they would if they were represented in exact proportion to their
votes — that is, about 156 seats more.
Four out
of 10 people (41 per
cent) who
voted Conservative at last year's general election back licensed sales
of cannabis, only just below the level
of support among Labour, Liberal Democrat and Ukip voters.
The decline
of the two - party system has been happening for years - in 1951, 97 per
cent of the electorate
voted either Labour or
Conservative; in the last election, that was below 70 per
cent - but the MPs» expenses scandal has put the final boot into politics as we've known it.
Look at Leeds North West — it used to be held comfortably by the
Conservatives with up to 45 per
cent of the
vote in the 1970s.
A recent poll showed only nine per
cent of those aged 25 to 39 say they will definitely
vote Conservative.
Of course the response was highly skewed by the loyalty of Conservative and Labour supporters — interesting that 12 per cent of those who voted Labour in 2010 think Cameron a better PM, and 9 per cent of those who say they will vote Conservative in the next election think Brown was a better chancellor than Osborn
Of course the response was highly skewed by the loyalty
of Conservative and Labour supporters — interesting that 12 per cent of those who voted Labour in 2010 think Cameron a better PM, and 9 per cent of those who say they will vote Conservative in the next election think Brown was a better chancellor than Osborn
of Conservative and Labour supporters — interesting that 12 per
cent of those who voted Labour in 2010 think Cameron a better PM, and 9 per cent of those who say they will vote Conservative in the next election think Brown was a better chancellor than Osborn
of those who
voted Labour in 2010 think Cameron a better PM, and 9 per
cent of those who say they will vote Conservative in the next election think Brown was a better chancellor than Osborn
of those who say they will
vote Conservative in the next election think Brown was a better chancellor than Osborne.
A Guardian ICM poll released this week gave the
Conservatives a 12 - point national lead, with a 42 per
cent share
of the
vote compared to Labour's 30 per
cent.
What was discovered is that as things stand now, under the current closed list PR system used for European elections in the UK, Labour will win with 30 per
cent of the
vote, UKIP will come second with 25 per
cent, the
Conservatives will gain 23 per
cent, the Greens 12, and the Liberal Democrats 10 (note the Liberal Democrats in fifth).
39 per
cent of voters said they would
vote Conservative and 37 per
cent said they would
vote Labour.
For a start, the national
vote shares
of both the
Conservatives and Labour in last week's election was roughly equal, at around 37 per
cent.
To get our predicted
vote share (shown in the bottom line) we added a correcting effect
of -1 per
cent each to the
vote share
of the top three parties (UKIP, Labour and the
Conservatives)-- this controls for the impact
of the very large and long European Parliament ballot papers.
· Tamworth (Staffordshire)-
Conservatives won 90 per
cent of seats on 49.5 per
cent of the
vote.
· Manchester -
Conservatives won 14.3 per
cent of the
vote (12,999 people) but no seats.
· North East Lincolnshire (i.e. Grimsby) Lib Dems won majority
of seats (7) this year on 29.5 per
cent of the
vote,
Conservatives 38.2 per
cent of the
vote and 4 seats.
· Ipswich (Suffolk)- Labour won half the seats on 34.1 per
cent of the
vote, despite the
Conservatives having 41.1 per
cent of the
vote.
And that includes 50 per
cent of those respondents who intend to
vote Conservative at the next election.
Danny suggested a referendum on the most modest form
of electoral reform - the Alternative
Vote (AV), which allowed candidates to be ranked in preference order and required MPs to secure 50 per cent of the vote to be elected - linked to Lib Dem support for the Conservatives» own reform plan, which was to reduce the number of parliamentary seats and to remove Labour over-representat
Vote (AV), which allowed candidates to be ranked in preference order and required MPs to secure 50 per
cent of the
vote to be elected - linked to Lib Dem support for the Conservatives» own reform plan, which was to reduce the number of parliamentary seats and to remove Labour over-representat
vote to be elected - linked to Lib Dem support for the
Conservatives» own reform plan, which was to reduce the number
of parliamentary seats and to remove Labour over-representation.
He was elected as leader
of the Welsh
Conservative group on the 14 July 2011, having won 53.1 per
cent of the
vote.
Stephan Shakespeare wrote recently on this site about a YouGov poll on Boris, which found that «30 per
cent of the intending voters in this sample said they would
vote Conservative with Cameron in charge, and 36 per
cent said they would
vote Conservative with Johnson».
There are four national polls published today, and they all point to a
vote share
of about 39 per
cent for the
Conservatives and about 31 per
cent for Labour.
On the latest evidence, we are beginning to see a picture
of a
Conservative Party share
of the
vote pretty much anchored around 39 per
cent, with Labour and the Liberal Democrats bobbing up and down on or about 30 per
cent and 20 per
cent respectively.
Adjusting for this gives the
Conservatives 34 per
cent of the
vote, the Liberal Democrats 32 per
cent and Labour 23 per
cent.
Nearly a quarter
of Lib Dems — 22 per
cent — would be more likely to
vote Conservative if Boris led the party.»
One in three people (34 per
cent) who
voted Conservative in May and 59 per
cent of those who backed the Liberal Democrats think the cuts are unfair, suggesting a marked difference
of view between supporters
of the two Coalition partners.
The poll puts the
Conservatives up one point on last week with 36 per
cent - the first time since February 2012 that they have recorded the same share
of the
vote they got at the last election - ahead
of Labour on 32 per
cent, down three points.