Sentences with phrase «centennial oscillations»
Limited to just detrended ENSO you are right, but there is that plowed under by CO2 assumptions secular trend, the pacific centennial oscillation, that makes the difference.
https://judithcurry.com/ Not exact matches
Reconstructed centennial variability of Late Holocene storminess from Cors Fochno, Wales, UK Future anthropogenic climate forcing is forecast to increase storm intensity and frequency over Northern Europe, due to a northward shift of the storm tracks, and a positive North Atlantic Oscillation.
The study by Macias & Johnson (2008) provides not only evidence for the link between decadal - scale changes in the teleconnection patterns (e.g. the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index) and the increased fire frequency in the late twentieth century but also an explanation of why the pattern of fire variability and fire - climate relationships changes at different time scales from centennial / decadal to interannual.....
Off the Peruvian coast the ENSO oscillation persists but with millennial, centennial and millennial variations in the intensity and frequency of upwelling.
On the centennial timescale, there was a +70 cm high level in the 16th and 17th centuries, a -50 cm low in the 18th century and a stability (with some oscillations) in the 19th, 20th and early 21st centuries.
WHOI published on the centennial scale Pacific Oscillation which is also blissfully ignore and Toggwieler and Briereley have published on the impact of shifting westerlies and zonal / meridional temperature gradients also blissfully ignored.
Comparing decadal - with centennial - scale «trends» in a process that contains important decadal - scale oscillations is not an example of analytically robust science.
Superimposed on this trend are apparent dry — wet oscillations at centennial to millennial timescales most likely in response to solar activity.»
The speleothem documents multi-decadal to centennial length oscillations in δ18O that point to large variations in rainfall that have not been manifest in the short instrumental period.
Can long - term cycles in ocean temperature such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation explain the centennial trend?
The temporal relationship between the Suess solar cycle and particularly significant 210 yr oscillations in the speleothem δ18O records therefore supports the notion that solar variability played a significant role in driving centennial - scale changes in the hydrological cycle in the subtropics during the Holocene.