to remove
the centennial scale trend...», not to remove the «estimated anthropogenic footprint».
Not exact matches
The ability of a sampling method to accurately measure seasonal variability does not indicate that the method is valid for estimating
trends over
centennial time
scales.
It's quite difficult to judge on Wikipedia plot, but Esper and Moberg reconstructions seem to have the same
trends at
centennial scale (even if Esper's one have globally more amplitude than all others).
The suggested synchroneity of tropical and North Atlantic
centennial to millennial variability (de Menocal et al., 2000; Mayewski et al., 2004; Y.J. Wang et al., 2005) is not common to the SH (Masson et al., 2000; Holmgren et al., 2003), suggesting that millennial
scale variability can not account for the observed 20th - century warming
trend.
Comparing decadal - with
centennial -
scale «
trends» in a process that contains important decadal -
scale oscillations is not an example of analytically robust science.
Natural variability periodically augments and offsets any long term forced
trend, with roughly zero net effects on a
centennial scale.
Previous analyses of Coppermine and Thelon ring - width data, in combination with ring width data from 2 other sites in the western NWT (R. Wilson unpublished report, 2005; D'Arrigo et al., 2006) revealed that the Regional Curve Standardization (RCS) method, a potentially useful technique for retaining
centennial -
scale climatic
trends in tree rings (Briffa et al., 1992; Cook et al., 1995; Esper et al., 2002), did not appear to preserve any additional low - frequency information at these sites when compared to more traditional techniques.
Therefore, it is important to know its variability in order to study large
scale HMF dynamics and the heliospheric modulation of cosmic rays on long time
scale including the
centennial trends.
Ever - shorter pauses in the warming
trend are plausible but the forced
trend will dominate on the
centennial scale and that's what matters.
Which brings us back to the mainstream scientific position, which is that the forced
trend will dominate on a
centennial scale.
Under increasing GHG forcing the warming
trend will dominate on a
centennial scale, exactly as predicted by just about everyone, including Tsonis.
The Holocene in general shows both a long - term
trend (cooling) and millennial and
centennial / multidecadal time -
scale variability.
This big data approach will give us the tools necessary to investigate interannual - to
centennial -
scale variability, as well as possible secular
trends in hydroclimate over the past 2,000 years.
Our results show that repeated clusters of volcanic eruptions can induce a net negative radiative forcing that results in a
centennial and global
scale cooling
trend via a decline in mixed - layer oceanic heat content.
If there are
centennial internal variations — and looking back over the holocene it looks to me there are — then «reversions to mean» over a
centennial scale will look like a
trend on which shorter decadal length variations will be superimposed.
The bicentennial
trend lines clearly diverge from the past 30 or 50 or hundred years, and the most closely fitting explanation for this behavior is anthropogenic causes shifting the
trends leaving only a shadow of natural variability superimposed on the sharp
centennial scale rise, at about an order of magnitude smaller amplitude than the changes associated with GHGs and dampened by man - made aerosols.
Figure 6.10 b illustrates how, when viewed together, the currently available reconstructions indicate generally greater variability in
centennial time
scale trends over the last 1 kyr than was apparent in the TAR.