The global cycle and
central bank policy point to higher interest rates ahead.
Not exact matches
The
central bank's
policy committee voted unanimously on Dec. 14 to raise its benchmark interest rate a quarter
point to 0.5 %.
Before Yellen addressed the Economic Club of Washington, her counterparts in Ottawa released their latest
policy statement, in which Canada's
central bank said it was keeping its benchmark interest rate at 0.5 %, a quarter -
point shy of the lowest level ever.
«
Central banks are contemplating ever - more - exotic
policy options,» says TD's Cooper,
pointing to the growing interest in «helicopter money.»
Yellen turned the question around: «When you say that
central banks kill them, the usual reason that that has been true, when that has been true, is that
central banks have been too late to tighten
policy and they have allowed inflation to get out of control and at that
point they have had to tighten
policy very abruptly and very substantially and it's caused a downturn.»
He
pointed out that global economic activity is increasing, a tax cut could boost growth and the European
Central Bank is implementing «absurd» stimulus
policies in the euro zone.
The U.S.
central bank's monetary -
policy committee raised benchmark borrowing costs by a quarter percentage
point to a range of 1.5 % to 1.75 %, in Jerome Powell's first meeting as Fed chairman.
If
central banks can not create easy money and loose credit conditions then what is the
point of
central banks engaging in their
policies?
While the government's
policies have remained opaque, officials with the Russian
Central Bank have talked about blocking the access of people inside the country to virtual currency websites, and Mr. Putin has
pointed out the many potential illegal uses of the technology.
Case in
point — after the European
Central Bank (ECB)
policy meeting this summer that quashed market expectations of an imminent ECB shift to normalize
policy.
To shore up its currency, the Russian
central bank increased
policy rates by 150 basis
points on 31 October.
Were the Fed to attempt to hike short - term interest rates another 25 basis
points, it would be moving against the tide of global
central bank policies.
But Taleb
pointed us to the years of easy monetary
policy brought on by
central banks since the financial crisis.
MNI Fixed Income Bullet
Points focuses on trading flows, shifting market sentiment and expectations, news driving the market, economic data, monetary and fiscal
policy, key market levels,
central bank market activity, and global capital flows.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Janet Yellen gave the clearest indication yet that the
central bank is likely to start raising interest rates later this year when she said in a speech on July 10 that she expected it would be «appropriate at some
point later this year to take the first step to raise the federal funds rate and thus begin normalizing monetary
policy.»
The Swedish
central bank has increased
policy rates by 85 basis
points to 3.75 per cent, while the Swiss authorities have increased their target band by 175 basis
points to between 3 and 4 per cent.
Without going into the extensive limitations of such models or the longer - term implications for raising interest rates, we would just highlight that the impact of a 100 basis
point move in
policy rates in both
central bank models are surprisingly similar in the short - term.
The continued contraction of the credit impulse as well as
central bank policy normalisation, inflation expectations, fiscal deficit expansions, cross-asset correlations, and a lack of political reforms all
point to a slowdown sometime in 2018.
As of late, the heads of two of the largest
central banks in the world (the Fed and the ECB) have
pointed to the fact that it is up to the politicians to enact
policy to spur economic growth.
In terms, I think of inflation and bond markets, it took six, seven, eight, maybe 10 years of high inflation in the 1970s before you had Paul Volcker brought in to say «enough is enough,» and then again whether it's led by American monetary
policy but similar moves in Europe, obviously in the UK, a significant tightening of monetary
policy because people got fed up with inflation and I don't think that we are kind of yet at the
point where real wages have been suppressed so much by that irritation that inflation is always running ahead, life is becoming more expensive, so we need the
central bank radically to change their
policy.
Other
central banks to ease included the
Bank of Canada which cut its
policy rate by 25 basis
points in July to 3.0 per cent, and the Reserve
Bank of New Zealand, which cut a further 25 basis
points to 5.00 per cent in July, after similar - sized cuts in April and June.
In Europe, the European
Central Bank reduced its official interest rate in June by 50 basis
points to 2 per cent; the
Bank of England also lowered its
policy rate in July by 25 basis
points to 3 1/2 per cent; and official interest rates in Sweden declined by 75 basis
points to 2 3/4 per cent in moves of 50 and 25 basis
points in June and July.
Amid signs of stronger economic growth and a pick - up in inflation, as well as easier financial conditions, the Federal Open Market Committee, the
policy arm of the U.S.
central bank, is expected to raise its key federal funds rate in March by a quarter percentage
point to a target range of 0.75 % to 1.00 %, says Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley's Chief U.S. Economist.
At this
point in the cycle, the FOMC is ahead of almost all major
central banks in loosening
policy.
Case in
point — after the European
Central Bank (ECB)
policy meeting this summer that quashed market expectations of an imminent ECB shift to normalize
policy.
Yang, 64, who previously served as an economic researcher at the
central bank in the 90s,
pointed to the lack of impact by financial technologies on Taiwan's
policies despite their rapid advent globally in recent years.