Sentences with phrase «central estimate»

The 2C limit IPCC AR5 WGIII identified many mitigation options to hold warming below 2C (with a likely chance), and with central estimates of 1.5 - 1.7 C by 2100.

These emission reductions are worth about $ 259 billion in reduced global climate damages based on central estimates, or 2.2 cents per kWh of solar.

However, the extra warming by 2100 was about the same for each DEP, with central estimates around 0.25 °C.

The emission limit depends on climate sensitivity, but central estimates [12]--[13], including those in the upcoming Fifth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [14], are that a 2 °C global warming limit implies a cumulative carbon emissions limit of the order of 1000 GtC.

Depending on the emissions scenario (B1, A2, A1FI) our semi-empirical estimates (central estimates published 2009) range between ca. 1.0 and 1.4 meters for the period 1990 - 2100.

The IPCC's current multi-model mean central estimate of the warming in response to a doubling of CO2 concentration is 3.3 K (IPCC, 2007, p. 798, box 10.2).

Assessed using the $ 40 per ton central estimate of the SCC, the carbon charge on oil sands crude would be about $ 4 per barrel higher than the carbon charge on average US crude.

FoE sees global population growing to 8.3 billion by 2050 against central estimates of around 10 billion.

In the light of the current observational evidence, in my view 1.75 °C would be a more reasonable central estimate for ECS than 3 °C, perhaps with a «likely» range of around 1.25 — 2.75 °C.

The paper concluded that worldwide temperatures could rise nearly 5 °C by the end of the century, 15 percent higher than the previous central estimate under the «business as usual» emissions scenario outlined by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Hitting SunShot goals is also found to reduce sulfur, nitrogen, and particulate emissions, delivering $ 167 billion in health and environmental benefits, or 1.4 cents per kWh of solar, again based on central estimates.

[15] A crude revised central estimate is 3.4 °C, being the median ECS of the 7 models (CGCM3.1, HadCM3, CanESM2, IPSL - CM5A, MRI - CGCM3, NCAR - CAM5, NorESM1 - M) whose seasonal variability lies within the uncertainty range for the observational estimate, after substituting the Brient & Schneider consistency assessment for the 4 models where if differs radically.

The emission limit depends on climate sensitivity, but central estimates [12]--[13], including those in the upcoming Fifth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [14], are that a 2 °C global warming limit implies a cumulative carbon emissions limit of the order of 1000 GtC.

«As a central estimate, we have assumed that these effects will net out and that the overall short - term effect of staging the London Olympics will be to boost UK economic output in Q3 by around 0.3 % to -0.4 %.

Evan, we asked him and he said it was a reasonable and central, ie the best guess, the reasonable and central estimate that it raised # 100 million.»

However, this central estimate, based on an update survey conducted over the weekend, combines the data from three different turnout scenarios: including all those who currently say they will vote on Thursday (giving a Conservative majority of 70); including all those who say they voted in the EU referendum (a Conservative majority of 48); and assuming turnout matches that of the 2015 election (a Conservative majority of 78)(more...)

A model that takes information from this survey into account would tell us that «true» growth in Q1 might have been anywhere between +0.4 % and -1.2 %, with a central estimate of -0.4 %.

Under our central estimate of Trump's plan, interest costs would increase by $ 700 billion over a decade.

(Technical point: this is not the «best» estimate, as Stefan quotes, but just a central estimate.

S09's central estimate of the continental trend is double ours, and the difference between the central trend estimates is statistically significant (0.06 ± 0.05).

Our central estimate is half S09's and is only marginally statistically significant (0.10 ± 0.09).

This early warm period was both preceded and followed by periods of low ring width and so the central estimates of the temperature reconstruction averaged over the warmest 100 - year period near the 3rd century CE (205 - 304 CE) are 0.4 °C cooler than the 1906 - 2005 mean.

(Monckton calls the model input the «central estimate.»)