Sentences with phrase «central forecast»

The balance of risks around this medium - term central forecast, however, seems now to be shifting to the upside.

The Bank's central forecast for underlying inflation (based on a broadly unchanged exchange rate) is that it will be about 2 per cent over the year to December 1998.

This is more than the difference between the current central forecast of a seriously hung parliament and a Tory majority in one direction and almost a Labour majority in the other.

The speech says that the Bank's central forecast remains for inflation in Australia to pick up over the next couple of years, but for inflation to be nearer to 2 per cent, than 3 per cent at the end of this period.

We have different central forecasts and different levels of uncertainty, but we all agree that there is a lot of uncertainty, with prediction intervals (ranges of reasonably probable outcomes) varying from + / - 25 to + / -45 seats.

The lawmaker who wrote on a social media page, «Kogi Central forecast» (KCF) pointed out that rather than the Governor to use this opportunity towards transforming the lives of kogite, he is busy installing more pains and hardship on the State.

While the RBA is fairly optimistic about global growth: «Chinese economy continues to grow solidly»; «The Bank's central forecast for the Australian economy remains for growth to pick up»; «Employment has grown strongly over the past year.»

Overall, the Reserve Bank's central forecast is that underlying inflation will trough at around 2 3/4 per cent later this year, before gradually picking up over the next couple of years.

For example, what if commodity prices, the exchange rate or overseas economic conditions evolve differently to the paths embedded in our central forecasts?

Still, the Bank makes considerable efforts to think about how things could turn out differently to the central forecast.

Instead, our central forecast is for underlying inflation to gradually rise over the next couple of years, and for headline inflation to increase a bit more quickly, boosted by increases in oil and tobacco prices.

The balance of risks around the central forecast appears at present to be such that it is more likely that inflation will exceed the forecast, and therefore exceed the target, than that it will fall below it.

The OBR's central forecast is that net debt will be 74.7 pc this year, then 76.8 pc next year.

But the OBR assess in their central forecast that we do not meet the supplementary objective that aims to have debt falling by 2015 - 16.

These are the central forecasts published by the OBR, with the Asset Purchase Facility cash transfer included.

He pitched it as a positive: «The central forecast we publish today from the independent Office for Budget Responsibility does not predict a recession here in Britain.»

If the forecasters and betting markets are right in their central forecasts then Con + LD+DUP combined will be short of a majority and so a Labour led government should form if they can secure the support of the SNP and probably others, including the Liberal Democrats, will be needed too: a potentially messy and unstable situation but also one where there is sufficient similarity in ideological perspective for policy agreement on plenty of issues.

The single most likely outcome (central forecast) is at the bottom of the pie chart and that is a seriously hung parliament with the Conservatives as clearly the largest party but a majority on the left, including the SNP and Liberal Democrats.

From this central forecast, our estimated probability of a Conservative majority is 87 %.

In our central forecast, the Tory - led group would have 325 seats while the Labour - led group would have 338.

In this context, the central forecast of +8 for the Conservatives may as well be 0.

«I can report to the House that the OBR confirm that on their central forecast we will meet both these objectives — a balanced structural current budget and falling national debt by the end of the Parliament.»

But a high proportion of Scottish seats are likely to produce tiny majorities: a small variation in votes could result in a significant shift in seats from my central forecast.

12:33 - The central forecast from the OBR does not predict a recession in the UK, Osborne says, but they have revised down growth prospects for the UK.

«Back in March our central forecast was for 1.7 per cent growth this year, which at the time was fractionally more pessimistic than the average of the outside forecasters,» Mr Chote said in an interview with the Independent newspaper.

Part of the problem, explains Colin Flood, director of central forecasting at the Britain's Meteorological Office in Bracknell, Berkshire, is that there are not enough measurements to feed into the models.

In September, the observed CO2 concentration of 401.01 was slightly below our central forecast, but still within our published uncertainty bounds.

Whilst not a central forecast, it remains a risk that could derail markets.

It would mean that global carbon dioxide pollution from fossil fuels may decline after 2026, a contrast with the International Energy Agency's central forecast, which sees emissions rising steadily for decades to come.

Our central forecast foresees a short - term drop of 12 - 15 % in UK equities from their current levels.