Not exact matches
For example, the International Panel on
Climate Change, the authoritative scientific source about the impacts of human - induced climate change, «had to simply take the projected rise for a century, divide by 100 and say, «We expect sea level to rise this much per year,»» h
Climate Change, the authoritative scientific source about the impacts of human - induced climate change, «had to simply take the projected rise for a century, divide by 100 and say, «We expect sea level to rise this much per year,»» he
Change, the authoritative scientific source about the impacts of human - induced
climate change, «had to simply take the projected rise for a century, divide by 100 and say, «We expect sea level to rise this much per year,»» h
climate change, «had to simply take the projected rise for a century, divide by 100 and say, «We expect sea level to rise this much per year,»» he
change, «had to simply take the
projected rise for a
century, divide by 100 and say, «We expect sea level to rise this much per year,»» he said.
«
Projected rainfall
changes for the end of the 21st
century will not lead to complete Amazon dieback,» says co-author Carl Schleussner from Berlin - based scientific think tank
Climate Analytics and PIK.
From a practical point of view, this means we will be unable to predict how species will respond to
projected climate changes over next
century.
Toward the end of this
century (
project here for the years 2068 to 2098) the possibility of storm surges of eight to 11 meters (26 to 36 feet) increases significantly in cities not usually expected to be vulnerable to tropical storms, according to recent research in the journal Nature
Climate Change.
The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change projected in 2001 that the sea level will rise by no more than three feet in this
century — but that projection assumes the major ice sheets will remain intact.
In
climate change scenarios simulated by the model GOTILWA + — within the Consolider - Ingenio
project Montes and the research
project Med - Forestream — , net primary productivity of Spanish forests (how much carbon dioxide plants take in during photosynthesis minus how much carbon dioxide they release during respiration) will decrease from the second half of this
century.
In its recent Assessement Report (AR5), the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC)
projects that global mean temperature may rise up to 5 °C elsius by the end of this
century.
In the midst of an unseasonably warm winter in the Pacific Northwest, a comparison of four publicly available
climate projections has shown broad agreement that the region will become considerably warmer in the next century if greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere rise to the highest levels projected in the the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) «business - as - usual» sc
climate projections has shown broad agreement that the region will become considerably warmer in the next
century if greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere rise to the highest levels
projected in the the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) «business - as - usual» sc
Climate Change (IPCC) «business - as - usual» scenario.
According to the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change report, the wind speed and rainfall rates in tropical cyclones are
projected to increase during the 21st
century, even while the total number of tropical cyclones remains nearly steady, or even decreases.
Few AOGCMs include ice sheet dynamics; in all of the AOGCMs evaluated in this chapter and used in Chapter 10 for
projecting climate change in the 21st
century, the land ice cover is prescribed.
This document provides basic information on
projected future
climate change effects (
changes in temperature, precipitation, storm activity and sea level rise) over the near term, mid-
century and end - of -
century.
The main issue is that for the modern instrumental period the
changes in many aspects of
climate have not been very large — either compared with what is
projected for the 21st
Century, or from what we see in the past
climate record.
In fact, the I.P.C.C. WGII report, in the chapter on North America says «Research since the [last IPCC report] supports the conclusion that moderate
climate change will likely increase yields on North American rain fed agriculture... Most studies
project likely
climate - related yield increases of 5 - 20 % over the first decades of the
century... Major challenges are
projected for crops that are near the warm end of their suitable range or depend on highly utilized water resources.»
[E] xtreme heat in the United States is likely to rise enormously by mid
century, driven equally by demographic shifts boosting Sun Belt populations and
projected changes in heat waves in a warming
climate.
Updated, 4:04 p.m. A valuable study published this week in Nature
Climate Change projects that exposure to extreme heat in the United States is likely to rise enormously by mid century, driven equally by demographic shifts boosting Sun Belt populations and projected changes in heat waves in a warming c
Climate Change projects that exposure to extreme heat in the United States is likely to rise enormously by mid
century, driven equally by demographic shifts boosting Sun Belt populations and
projected changes in heat waves in a warming
climateclimate.
Throughout the 21st
century,
climate -
change impacts are
projected to slow down economic growth, make poverty reduction more difficult, further erode food security, and prolong existing and create new poverty traps, the latter particularly in urban areas and emerging hotspots of hunger (medium confidence).
According to the latest projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), the
projected temperature rise by the end of the
century ranges from about 1.1 to 6.4 °C, with a business - as - usual rise of around 3 °C (put me down for 1.6 ° until then, unless nature is being a blatant liar).
Corell noted that the
projected rise in sea level during this
century of 18 — 59 centimeters (7 — 23 inches) by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change was based on data that were two years old.
A team of scientists
projects that many of the low - lying atoll islands will be uninhabitable by mid-21st
century due to rising of sea levels resulting from
climate change.
The authors say they've combined «empirical fitness curves» with «
projected geographical distribution of
climate change for the next
century» and have concluded that insects living in the tropics may suffer more from global warming than insects that live in cooler locales.
The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change projects that if the world continues to emit greenhouse gasses at its current rate, carbon dioxide could double somewhere around the middle of the
century.
For example, the latest (fifth) assessment report from the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC)
projects that the global average sea level rise over the course of the 21st
century would be in the range of 10 to 32 inches, with a mean value of about 19 inches.
A 2013 report from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change projects that temperatures could rise at least 2 °C (3.6 °F) by the end of the
century under many plausible scenarios — and possibly 4 °C or more.
Because of the uncertainties in
projected sea level rise over the remainder of this
century, Sasmito and his co-authors use both the low and the high sea level rise scenario from the most recent International Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) report (AR5).
Climate change over the 21st
century is
projected to increase displacement of people (medium evidence, high agreement).
Projected evolution of California's San Francisco Bay - Delta - River system in a
century of
climate change
The authors find that, without adaptation,
projected corn, rice and wheat production is reduced when areas experience 2.0 °C or more of local warming, with losses greater in the second half of the
century due to larger
changes in
climate.
Rapidly declining costs of wind and solar energy technologies, increasing concerns about the environmental and
climate change impacts of fossil fuels, and sustained investment in renewable energy
projects all point to a not - so - distant future in which renewable energy plays a pivotal role in the electric power system of the 21st
century.
Model projections for precipitation
changes are less certain than those for temperature.12, 2 Under a higher emissions scenario (A2), global
climate models (GCMs)
project average winter and spring precipitation by late this
century (2071 - 2099) to increase 10 % to 20 % relative to 1971 - 2000, while
changes in summer and fall are not expected to be larger than natural variations.
«But globally over the 21st
century, the magnitude and severity of negative impacts are
projected to increasingly outweigh positive impacts,» as the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) concluded in its comprehensive 2014 literature review on «Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability.»
With anticipated
climate change, we
project that up to 66 % will experience > 80 % reductions in range size within a
century.
Alaskans are already living with the impact of
climate change, with glaciers melting faster, and temperatures
projected to rise between six and twelve degrees by the end of the
century.
Drought is expected to occur 20 - 40 percent more often in most of Australia over the coming decades.6, 18 If our heat - trapping emissions continue to rise at high rates, 19 more severe droughts are
projected for eastern Australia in the first half of this
century.6, 17 And droughts may occur up to 40 percent more often in southeast Australia by 2070.2 Unless we act now to curb global warming emissions, most regions of the country are expected to suffer exceptionally low soil moisture at almost double the frequency that they do now.3 Studies suggest that
climate change is helping to weaken the trade winds over the Pacific Ocean, with the potential to
change rainfall patterns in the region, including Australia.20, 21,16,22
Phasing out HFCs could take a big bite out of
projected global
climate change this
century, according to Andrew Light, a former advisor to U.S. Department of State on
climate change policy and India and a fellow with the Washington, D.C. — based World Resources Institute.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global
climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global
climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled
climate models is an important «open question in
climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth -
century climate... conclude that «for implications on future
climate change, the coupled
climate models show no consensus on
projected future
changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in
changes in either mode also affects confidence in
projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
The table that accompanies the above passage from the IPCC's report, captioned «Extreme weather and
climate events: global - scale assessment of recent observed
changes, human contribution to the
changes, and
projected further
changes for the early (2016 — 2035) and late (2081 — 2100) 21 st
century `'» has the following entries for «Increases in intensity and / or duration of drought»: under
changes observed since 1950, «low confidence on a global scale, likely
changes in some regions `'» [emphasis added]; and under
projected changes for the late 21 st
century, «likely (medium confidence) on a regional to global scale».
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, these stabilization targets are consistent with keeping eventual mean
projected global warming to about 1.5 oC and 2.5 oC above current levels, respectively (this would be on top of temperatures rises of about 0.75 oC over the last
century).
«Throughout the 21st
century,
climate -
change impacts are
projected to slow down economic growth, make poverty reduction more difficult, further erode food security, and prolong existing and create new poverty traps, the latter particularly in urban areas and emerging hot spots of hunger,» the report stated.
Top: The
change in annual temperature
projected for the late 21st
century using simulations from 27 global
climate models.
Climatologists differ on the various causes of
climate change, the rate at which the earth is warming, the effect of man - made emissions on warming, the most accurate
climate data and temperature sets to use, and the accuracy of
climate models
projecting decades and
centuries into the future.
Global
climate is
projected to continue to
change over this
century and beyond.
Given the evidence base and remaining uncertainties, confidence is very high that the global
climate is
projected to continue to
change over this
century and beyond.
«
Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of change of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industria
Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing significant increases in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of temperature in the 20th and 21st
centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of
change of temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The
climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industria
climate of the 19th
century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current
climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industria
climate; (5) global
climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industria
climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at
projected rates in the 21st
century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th
century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
Marine systems: Marine systems Due to
projected climate change by the mid 21st
century and beyond, global marine - species redistribution and marine - biodiversity reduction in sensitive regions will challenge the sustained provision of fisheries productivity and other ecosystem services (high confidence).
«We're using the same
climate models that we use to
project 21st
century climate change on Earth to do simulations of specific exoplanets that have been discovered, and hypothetical ones.»
With business as usual, the International Panel on
Climate Change recently
projected a global temperature rise during this
century of up to 6 degrees Celsius (10 degrees Fahrenheit).
The significance of the hiatus is that it contradicted the 2007 assessment report from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC), which
projected a rate of warming of 0.2 °C per decade in the early part of the 21st
century.
Scientists estimate that if it warms by about 4 to 5 degrees Celsius (7.2 to 9 degrees Fahrenheit), which is
projected to happen by the end of the
century if we don't act on
climate change, then all the ice will eventually melt.
Changes in atmospheric composition and chemistry over the past
century have affected, and those
projected into the future will affect, the lifetimes of many greenhouse gases and thus alter the
climate forcing of anthropogenic emissions:
Prior to the
changes in
climate initiated by the Industrial Revolution,
changes in global average temperature over the whole period of societal development were likely less than 0.5 ºC (about 1ºF); this is only about 10 - 20 % of the
change projected for the 21st
century.