Not exact matches
Several previous analyses of
tide gauge records1, 2,3,4,5,6 — employing different methods to accommodate the spatial sparsity and temporal incompleteness of the
data and to constrain the geometry of long - term sea - level change — have concluded that GMSL rose over the twentieth
century at a mean rate of 1.6 to 1.9 millimetres per year.
[Response: If you're interested in what happens in the 20th
Century, then this proxy study is not the way to go but rather you should look at the
tide gauge data.
The long - term
tide gauges in the Mediterranean show sea - level trends for the 20th
century in the range of 1.1 — 1.3 mm / yr whilst more recent satellite altimetry
data reveals much larger increases in sea - level throughout the basin towards the latter part of the
century.
If you look at most
data for the last 5 millennia, the rate of rise is smaller than we measured in the early 20th
century with
tide gauges.
«In our study we used sea level
data measured by various
tide gauges throughout the twentieth
century to see how extreme sea level during hurricanes has changed with temperature.»
In the early 2000s, it was noticed that sea level rise was not accelerating when considering
tide gauge data (and it had decelerated relative to the first half of the 20th
century).
The 90 % confidence range for the linear twentieth
century rise predicted by the semi-empirical model is 13 — 30 cm, whereas the observed interval (using two
tide gauge data sets) is 14 — 26 cm.
-------- http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014013 Predictability of twentieth
century sea - level rise from past
data However, in combination, the use of proxy and
tide gauge sea - level
data up to 1900 AD allows a good prediction of twentieth
century sea - level rise, despite this rise being well outside the rates experienced in previous
centuries during the calibration period of the model.
Different approaches have been used to compute the mean rate of 20th
century global mean sea level (GMSL) rise from the available
tide gauge data: computing average rates from only very long, nearly continuous records; using more numerous but shorter records and filters to separate nonlinear trends from decadal - scale quasi-periodic variability; neural network methods; computing regional sea level for specific basins then averaging; or projecting
tide gauge records onto empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) computed from modern altimetry or EOFs from ocean models.
Acceleration of sea - level rise over the 20th
century has already been inferred from
tide -
gauge data (3 ⇓ — 5), although sampling and
data issues preclude a precise quantification.
All
data from
tide gauges in areas where land is not rising or sinking show instead a steady linear and unchanging sea level rate of rise from 4 up to 6 inches /
century, with variations due to gravitational factors.