Not exact matches
Marc Scott, a portfolio manager
at American
Century Investments, says that the
warm weather in 2012 caused demand to fall by 12 % from the same period the year before.
The report found, among other things, that 43 of the lower 48 U.S. states have set
at least one monthly heat record since 2010, sea levels are expected to rise between one and four feet by the end of this
century, winter storms have increased in intensity and frequency, and the past decade was
warmer than every previous decade in every part of the country.
Since its founding by steel magnate - turned - developer Henry Flagler
at the turn of the
century, Palm Beach has been the
warm wintertime playground for the American elite.
«West Greenland Ice Sheet melting
at the fastest rate in
centuries: Weather patterns and summer
warming trend combine to drive dramatic ice loss.»
Moderator's Remarks from Al Appleton, former Commissioner of the NYC Department of Environmental Protection and Senior Fellow
at the Cooper Union: When we talk about addressing global
warming, we're talking about disentangling 21st
century society from fossil fuel.
«We are still sort of
at the early stages of the global
warming phenomenon, and CO2 is rising much faster this
century than the last
century.»
Heavier rainfall
at the study sites from the year 0 to 400, and again during Europe's Medieval
Warm Period, just before the Little Ice Age from about the year 800 to 1300, was probably caused by a
centuries - long strengthening of El Niño.
Of course, summer temperatures when the
warming portion of the wobble cycle peaked roughly 7,500 years ago were
at least 0.8 degrees Celsius
warmer than 20th -
century average temperatures.
The study used simulations from the Community Earth System Model (CESM) run
at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and examined
warming scenarios ranging from 1.5 degrees Celsius all the way to 4 degrees Celsius (7.2 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of the
century.
The new study's results show the Alaska Range has been
warming rapidly for
at least a
century.
The surge in melt events corresponds to a summer temperature increase of
at least 1.2 - 2 degrees Celsius (2.2 - 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) relative to the
warmest periods of the 18th and 19th
centuries, with nearly all of the increase occurring in the last 100 years.
Warming in the 21st
century reduced Colorado River flows by
at least 0.5 million acre - feet, about the amount of water used by 2 million people for one year, according to new research from the University of Arizona and Colorado State University.
In one study published in Geophysical Research Letters in 2007, scientists
at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany, estimated the mass redistribution resulting from ocean
warming would shorten the day by 120 microseconds, or nearly one tenth of a millisecond, over the next two
centuries.
Already, atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide, the leading greenhouse gas, are approaching 400 ppm, and
at least the amount of
warming caused by that level is likely by
century's end.
The new study suggests that by the end of the
century, about a third of all the drainage basins could experience reductions in runoff greater than 10 percent during
at least one month of the
warm season.
A
century of digging
at lower altitudes and in the
warm Ukrainian plains rarely yielded more than skeletons or jewelry.
This is unacceptable
at a time when leading scientists from all over the world are warning that greenhouse gases must be cut by
at least 60 percent over the next half a
century to avert the worst consequences of global
warming.
And achieving any stabilization target — whether 2 degrees C of
warming or 450 ppm or 1,000 gigatons of carbon added to the atmosphere by human activity — will require
at least an 80 percent cut in emissions from peak levels by the end of this
century and, ultimately, zero emissions over the long term.
Researchers now have hard evidence that the circulation that helps
warm the North Atlantic did indeed abruptly slow or perhaps even stop for
centuries at a time more than 100,000 years ago.
Time is running out: if global
warming continues
at its current rate, glaciers
at an altitude below 3,500 metres in the Alps and 5,400 metres in the Andes will have disappeared by the end of the end of the 21st
century.
Some show far more variability leading up to the 20th
century than the hockey stick, but none suggest that it has been
warmer at any time in the past 1000 years than in the last part of the 20th
century.
Moreover, climate models suggest that, by the end of this
century, Antarctica will have
warmed less compared to the Arctic,» says Marc Salzmann, a researcher
at the Institute for Meteorology, University of Leipzig in Germany.
It follows much discussion on the nature of global change in a
warmer 21st
Century at the COP23 Climate Negotiations in Bonn last week.
«We're now facing the potential for a
warming of 2ºC or more in less than two
centuries,» said Dr Dunkley Jones, «this is more than an order of magnitude faster than
warming at the start of the PETM.
One thing is already clear: A
warmer global atmosphere currently holds about 3 to 5 percent more water vapor than it did
at the beginning of the 20th
century, and that can contribute to heavier precipitation.
International negotiators
at a United Nations - sponsored climate conference ending today in Bangkok repeatedly underscored the goal of keeping the amount of global
warming in this
century to no more than 2 ˚C.
The epicenter of agricultural production has moved north and west over the past half -
century, and that trend will likely continue
at an accelerated pace due to global
warming, a new study finds.
If these glaciers retreat
at a similar rate to what they did in the past decade, 30 of them would disconnect from
warm ocean waters by the end of the
century with that kind of travel distance, it says.
They then looked
at what that meant for the temperature rise over the coming few decades, and found that global
warming this
century will indeed be slower than thought.
Further
warming will not only «very likely» drive further such changes but also likely intensify droughts and tropical cyclones by late in the
century,
at least in the western North Pacific and North Atlantic.
Today levels are
at 380 ppm and are projected to reach 450 to 550 by the end of the
century — too
warm.
Given those findings and the rest of the improved understanding of the climate system, the IPCC projects that if carbon dioxide gas emissions — the primary cause of
warming — continue to grow
at the recent rate, the world would
warm 2oC above 19th -
century levels by the middle of this
century.
Professor Drijfhout said: «The planet earth recovers from the AMOC collapse in about 40 years when global
warming continues
at present - day rates, but near the eastern boundary of the North Atlantic (including the British Isles) it takes more than a
century before temperature is back to normal.»
Instead, the rate of
warming during the first fifteen years of the 21st
century is
at least as great as that in the last half of the 20th
century, suggesting
warming is continuing apace.
The Antarctic Peninsula has been
warming rapidly for
at least a half -
century, and continental West Antarctica has been getting steadily hotter for 30 years or more.
For instance, if nothing is done to reduce the amount of heat - trapping gasses, such as carbon dioxide, in the atmosphere, Earth could be 5 to 15 degrees Fahrenheit (3 to 8 degrees Celsius)
warmer by the end of
century, said Sivan Kartha, a senior scientist
at the Stockholm Environment Institute.
June — August 2014,
at 0.71 °C (1.28 °F) higher than the 20th
century average, was the
warmest such period across global land and ocean surfaces since record keeping began in 1880, edging out the previous record set in 1998.
This so - called constant - composition commitment results as temperatures gradually equilibrate with the current atmospheric radiation imbalance, and has been estimated
at between 0.3 °C and 0.9 °C
warming over the next
century.»
«So, working independently, several research teams have converged on almost identical results for
warming over the past
century at the global scale, but with periodic fine - tuning as additional information becomes available,» Holt and Field write.
June 2013 tied with 2006 as the fifth
warmest June across global land and ocean surfaces,
at 0.64 °C (1.15 °F) above the 20th
century average of 15.5 °C (59.9 °F).
The
warming of the WAIS is most worrisome (
at least for this
century) because it's going to disintegrate long before the East Antarctic Ice Sheet does «'' since WAIS appears to be melting from underneath (i.e. the water is
warming, too), and since, as I wrote in the «high water» part of my book, the WAIS is inherently less stable:
With ENSO - neutral conditions present during the first half of 2013, the January — June global temperature across land and ocean surfaces tied with 2003 as the seventh
warmest such period,
at 0.59 °C (1.06 °F) above the 20th
century average.
«Moreover, our estimate of 0.27 C mean surface
warming per
century due to land - use changes is
at least twice as high as previous estimates based on urbanization alone7, 8.»
It has been estimated that to have
at least a 50 per cent chance of keeping
warming below 2 °C throughout the twenty - first
century, the cumulative carbon emissions between 2011 and 2050 need to be limited to around 1,100 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (Gt CO2).
October itself tied as the third
warmest in 136 years of record - keeping, coming in
at 1.31 °F (0.73 °C) above the 20th
century average of 57.1 °F, according to NOAA.
At 6 °F (3.3 °C) above the 20th
century average of 41.5 °F (5.3 °C), it was the
warmest March since 2012.
It's interesting that you now say that attribution of 20th
century warming is unimportant, just
at a time when that begins to seem rather certain.
«Some feedback loop or other processes that aren't accounted for in these models — the same ones used by the IPCC for current best estimates of 21st
Century warming — caused a substantial portion of the
warming that occurred during the PETM (Palaeocene - Eocene thermal maximum of 55 million years ago)», oceanographer Gerald Dickens, a professor of Earth science
at Rice University and study co-author said.
Warming temperatures over the next
century, especially during spring, are likely to reduce snowpack
at mid and low elevations.
«By the end of this
century, as the climate
warms, the rising demand for irrigation water and increased variability of the water supply may lead to regions with a severe shortage of water for irrigation,» said corresponding author Dr. Maoyi Huang, a climate modeler
at PNNL.