The chances of a hung Parliament are highlighted by a simple analysis of the long - term trend.
That leaves an 86 %
chance of a hung parliament, and Ed Miliband's clear advantage in government formation (last week we gave him a 52 % chance of being able to put together a majority, at least for a confidence motion, to David Cameron's 35 %) has eroded.
A Liberal Democrat recovery to May 2010 levels would increase
the chances of a hung parliament to over 50 %.
They put
the chance of another hung parliament at 13/8.
Bookmakers say that there is an 80 per cent
chance of a hung Parliament - where no political party has a majority - in May's election.
Electoral maths suggest a 50 %
chance of a hung parliament and a probable coalition in 2015 says an elections expert.
Not exact matches
If the Liberal Democrats can ensure that their party structures operate so as to allow a clear voice to come through, they have every
chance of putting forward a distinctive manifesto at the next election - one that will, in all likelihood, put it closer to a reformed Labour Party, should the Alternative Vote deliver another
hung parliament.
[32] Lib Dems state that they want «three - party politics» in the Commons; [144][145] the most realistic
chance of power with first past the post is for the party to be the kingmakers in a
hung parliament.
Asked if social mobility was now more important than proportional representation in negotiations following the election
of a
hung parliament, Clegg said: «If you ask me what are the priorities for me, yes, the priority is absolutely about giving children a fair
chance.
Certainly, we need to be prepared for the possibility
of another
hung parliament, and to keep our options open to deny any
chance of a Tory majority government if we can.
The more seats the Lib Dems hold on May 7, the greater the
chance they'll have to play a role in forming a government in the event
of a
hung parliament.
But David Cameron (see the Tory leader's Who Knows Who profile), whose
chances of victory could be threatened by a Lib Dem revival, has warned his supporters that a
hung parliament would be a disaster.
A
hung parliament could potentially see the Lib Dems holding the balance
of power between likely Labour and Tory leaders Gordon Brown and David Cameron - with the
chance of cabinet seats if a power - sharing executive is formed.
Although another
hung parliament is a long shot because the House's non-proportional electoral system is heavily biased against non-major-party candidates, the Greens have a good
chance of maintaining the balance
of power in the Senate, providing a check on whichever major party forms government.
A
hung parliament has «surely sunk any
chance»
of the prime minister pressing ahead with merging the Serious Fraud Office with the National Crime Agency, predicted a leading white collar crime lawyer.