In climatology, abrupt changes traced in records of the Earth's past suggest the planet has regularly gone through tipping points, such as the sudden warm - ups that
change glacial periods into deglaciations.
Not exact matches
what is necessary and a very important
change for us today and the future is our conscience, and this requires global consciousness necessary for our long term needs and survival, we need a faith that will compel us to unite to address the problems of survival, in the future, a few thousand years from now the
glacial period cycle is due, earth will no longer be hospitable and we either have to immigrate to other planets or, develope a system that will protect us, the natural calamities like floods, typhoons, sub zero temperatures, will become our big problem in the future, so we need a religion that will guide our conscience from simplistic self survival towards a more holistic view of reality.Our oneness with ourselves and Him is the primary tenets or doctrines of this religion.
But some researchers have argued that the transition from the frigid climatic
period known as the Last
Glacial Maximum (LGM)-- about 20,000 to 25,000 years ago — to the current warm Holocene Epoch brought habitat
changes that killed off the mammoths with little or no help from humans.
Climate researchers from the Helmholtz Young Investigators Group ECUS at the Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research (AWI) in Potsdam have now investigated how temperature variability
changed as the Earth warmed from the last
glacial period to the current interglacial
period.
The beginning and end of a
glacial period are clearly times of global climate
change, but there are also
periods of abrupt
change in climate patterns within those
periods.
* Circulation
changes in the Faeroe - Shetland Channel correlating with cold events during the last
glacial period (58 - 10 ka).
The MIS 5a palaeosol is overlain by massive sands, representing a major
change in the depositional regime, which we interpret as evidence for climatic desiccation at the start of the last
glacial period (MIS 4), which would be consistent with other dated records for the region [13], [16], [18], [30].
Another hypothesis for why the
glacial periods terminate and restart is GCR modulation by
changes in the intensity of the earth's magnetic field.
...» Meltwater from
glacial Lake Agassiz (southwest of Hudson Bay) draining catastrophically into the North Atlantic via Lake Superior and the St. Laurence seaway was once thought to have initiated ocean circulation
changes leading to the Younger Dryas cold
period.
I would also like to add that the paper:
Glacial geological evidence for the medieval warm
period (Climatic
Change, Volume 26, Numbers 2 - 3, pp. 143 - 169, March 1994)- Jean M. Grove, Roy Switsur is available as PDF on Google Books.
For the
glacial period, comparisons to the Hulu Cave chronology demonstrated that WD2014 had an accuracy of better than 1 % of the age at three abrupt climate
change events between 27 and 31ka.
Predicted
changes in orbital forcing suggest that the next
glacial period would begin at least 50,000 years from now, even in absence of human - made global warming (see Milankovitch cycles).
While Milankovitch forcing predicts that cyclic
changes in the Earth's orbital parameters can be expressed in the glaciation record, additional explanations are necessary to explain which cycles are observed to be most important in the timing of
glacial — interglacial
periods.
In particular, during the last 800,000 years, the dominant
period of
glacial — interglacial oscillation has been 100,000 years, which corresponds to
changes in Earth's eccentricity and orbital inclination.
In turn, this could indicate that the carbonate ion concentration of the (western) Pacific at depths shallower than the sill to the SCS (ca. 2,400 m) has not
changed appreciably between the last
glacial period and the present interglacial.
Substantial and correlated
changes in marine carbonate (CaCO3) content of oceanic sediments commonly accompany the transitions from cold
glacial periods to warm interglacial
periods.
Oeschger and his colleagues in Bern were the first to measure the
glacial - interglacial
change of atmospheric CO2 in ice cores, showing that atmospheric concentrations of CO2 during the
glacial period was 50 % lower than the pre-industrial concentration, a result predicted by Arrhenius nearly a century earlier.
Blunier, T. and E. J. Brook, 2001: Timing of millennial - scale climate
change in Antarctica and Greenland during the last
glacial period.
It seems increasingly clear that D - O events must involve major sea ice
changes (and there is not much sea ice left, by comparison with what was present during the
glacial period (20000 + years ago, when these events happened), so D - O events are increasingly unlikely in the future).
It's the same series of an initial forcing (
change in insolation due to Milankovitch orbital cycles) being amplified by reinforcing feedbacks (
change in albedo,
change in temperature and partial pressure regulating both CO2 and H2O), but in reverse from an exit from a
glacial period.
If the surface temperature is slow to catch up to that imbalance then the energy imbalance remains large, and we can have sufficient net heating to cause much faster
changes in the ice sheets than from the comparatively smaller imbalances caused by the
changes in Earth's orbit associated with the
glacial periods in the past.
: the fact that the ocean was colder during
glacial periods by itself explains only about 10 % of the CO2
change.
In addition, during the
glacial period large sections of tropical rain forest
changes to savannah (About a third of the tropical forest
changes to savannah.
It is virtually certain that millennial - scale
changes in atmospheric CO2 associated with individual antarctic warm events were less than 25 ppm during the last
glacial period.
But before we probably enter another
glacial period, human might be able to
change planet's global climate in any way they wish.
Strong evidence from ocean sediment data and from modelling links abrupt climate
changes during the last
glacial period and
glacial - interglacial transition to
changes in the Atlantic Ocean circulation.
The results suggest that warm Atlantic water never ceased to flow into the Nordic seas during the
glacial period; inflow at the surface during the Holocene and warm interstadials
changed to subsurface and intermediate inflow during cold stadials.
Glacial periods during the 100,000 - year cycles have been characterised by a very slow build - up of ice which took thousands of years, the result of ice volume responding to orbital
change far more slowly than the ocean temperatures reacted.
In the natural cycle regarding long term natural climate
change caused by Milankovitch cycles, at least for the past million years or so, the sensitivity response to
changes is indicated to alter the global temperature by 6º Celsius between warm
periods and
glacial periods.
Only the 41,000 - year fluctuation is ubiquitous in this data set, in fact before about 800,000 years ago it dominates
glacial changes, which leads to that
period being called the «41kyr world» (Raymo, M.E., and Nisancioglu, K. 2003.
These abrupt
changes have been linked to climatic events in the North Atlantic for the last
glacial period (14, 15) as well as for the Holocene (16, 17).
MECHANISMS OF ABRUPT CLIMATE
CHANGE OF THE LAST
GLACIAL PERIOD Amy C. Clement and Larry C. Peterson
While the polar bear is an Ice Age species, genetic and fossil evidence suggests it barely survived the profound sea ice
changes associated with the Last
Glacial Maximum, one of the most severe glacial periods of the Pleis
Glacial Maximum, one of the most severe
glacial periods of the Pleis
glacial periods of the Pleistocene.
-- Even during
glacial and interglacial
periods — mainly being caused by orbital
changes — CO2 content in atmosphere have followed temperature
changes.
Kukla showed how past
changes in orbital cycles very slightly altered the amount of solar energy hitting the Earth, leading to past
glacial and interglacial
periods.
Further, there is firm evidence that migration of CO2 isn't important in the Vostok and Dome C ice cores over the past 800,000 years: each
glacial / interglacial
period shows the same ratio between temperature and CO2
changes: about 8 ppmv/degr.C.
It seems unlikely, for example, that the salinity of a particular ocean location will
change dramatically from one
period to another unless the two time
periods are separated by tens of millions of years (through moving continents) or there's some extraordinary temporary event (such as the emptying of a large
glacial lake) just before one of the two measuring points.
---- Mayewski, 2016 http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-2567.pdf «The demonstration using Greenland ice cores that abrupt shifts in climate, Dansgaard - Oeschger (D - O) events, existed during the last
glacial period has had a transformational impact on our understanding of climate
change in the naturally forced world.
During the last
glacial period, warming trends
changed to cooling trends while the CO2 level was higher than it had been during the warming trend.
-- Hewitt et al., 2016 http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2016EGUGA..18.8388H «Many northern hemisphere climate records, particularly those from around the North Atlantic, show a series of rapid climate
changes that recurred on centennial to millennial timescales throughout most of the last
glacial period.
Few people have read paleo - climatology text books, are aware of the
glacial / interglacial cycle, are aware that the paleoclimatic record has unequivocal evidence of cyclic gradual
changes and cyclic abrupt climate events, are aware that the abrupt climate
change events such as the abrupt termination of the last 22 interglacial
periods lacks an explanation, are aware that all of the past interglacial
periods are short (roughly 12,000 years) and that they have ended abruptly, and so on.
Gerald Bond found evidence of cosmogenic isotope
changes at each of a long series of warming followed by cooling events (he has able to track 25 events through current interglacial Holocene and into the last
glacial period, at which point he reached the limit of the range of the proxy analysis technique) which indicates a solar magnetic cycle
change caused the warming followed by cooling cycle.
His hypothesis is that «long - term variations in the amount of solar energy reaching the Earth are the main and principal reasons driving and defining the whole mechanism of climatic
changes from the global warmings to the Little Ice Ages to the big
glacial periods», not carbon dioxide.
There are real reasons behind every major climate
change, from major
changes like the coming and going of
glacial and interglacial
periods to relatively minor
changes like the so - called «Little Ice Age.»
The ubiquitous character of certain events further confirms their importance: «the Younger Dryas and a large number of abrupt
changes during the last ice age called Dansgaard / Oeschger events (23 abrupt
changes into a climate of near - modern warmth and out again, during the last
glacial period) have been corroborated in multiple ice cores from Greenland, Antarctica and tropical mountains, marine sediments from the North Atlantic Ocean, the tropical Atlantic, eastern Pacific, and Indian Oceans, and from various records on land.
However, sea - level fluctuations in response to
changing climate have been reconstructed for the past 22,000 years from fossil data, a
period that covers the transition from the Last
Glacial Maximum to the warm Holocene interglacial
period.
During
glacial periods, the solar insolation at high latitudes is below some level that results in glaciation but equatorial insolation does not
change significantly.
Most important was a widely noted paper by Ewing and William Donn, who were «stimulated by the observation that the
change in climate which occurred at the close of the [most recent]
glacial period was extremely abrupt.»
During the same
period, the terminus of the glacier thinned.2 The correlation of these
glacial changes with rising temperatures implies that warming influences glacier motion almost immediately.1, 2,7,8
That CO2 levels
change during the past
glacial and interglacial
periods is very well documented.