That increased atmospheric water vapor will also affect cloud cover, though impacts
of changes in cloud cover on climate sensitivity are much more uncertain.
There is intriguing evidence from a brilliant little bit of astronomical engineering that shows a
step change in cloud cover around the turn of the 21st century.
In short, the «skeptic» hypothesis that
changes in cloud cover due to internal variability are driving global warming does not hold up when compared to the observational data.
This might
cause changes in cloud cover, due to consequent reductions in relative humidity, so you have to stop those too because they are a feedback.
Renewable energy resources can also be affected adversely by climate change (such as solar systems impacted
by changes in cloud cover; hydropower generation influenced by changes in river discharge, glaciers and snow melt; windpower influenced by changing wind velocity; and energy crop yields reduced by drought and higher temperatures).
A new analysis using
changes in cloud cover over the tropical Indo - Pacific Ocean showed that a weakening of a major atmospheric circulation system over the last century is due, in part, to increased greenhouse gas emissions.
What will happen if the AO changes is an open question, at one side there may be less inflow of warmer air, at the other side, this may result in
opposite changes in cloud cover...
And the pattern of sea surface temperature anomalies that arise in consequence of the flux of ozone into the troposphere (and the
resulting change in cloud cover) is intimately related to the GPH anomalies.
And polar - orbiting satellites are designed to cross the same spot at the same time each day, which is important for
tracking changes in cloud cover — but over time, the satellites may drift in their orbits as they run low on fuel, arriving a bit later each day.
Obviously it's not possible to manipulate the concentration of CO2 in the air in order to carry out real world experiments, but natural
changes in cloud cover provide an opportunity to test the principle.
However, even a smaller figure (I had calculated about 0.17 W / m ^ 2 based on your inflated figure for total planetary albedo, but you can check it out) is still significant when compared with the total flux imbalance, which I think is a more informative comparison than an arbitrarily
selected change in cloud cover, because it compares the sea ice reduction with the effects of all climate variations that have been operating in recent years..
But when they
discussed changes in cloud cover, they mentioned that they couldn't tell from their data whether Spencer and Braswell's thesis about cause and effect applied.
Again I want to emphasize that my use of the temperature change rate, rather than temperature, as the predicted variable is based upon the expectation that these natural modes of climate variability represent forcing mechanisms — I believe
through changes in cloud cover — which then cause a lagged temperature response.This is what Anthony and I are showing here:
A larger set of arrays in Mobile is tracking the effect of heat and humidity on solar production, and power pole - mounted panels in various locations are feeding energy to the grid in an experiment to gauge the effects of
frequent changes in cloud cover.