As it happens the total Earth surface
change in heat content from 1971 - 2010 was to 274 [196 - 374] zetajoules.
Not exact matches
McDonald's — which has been taking
heat from parents, consumer groups and local lawmakers over the nutritional
content and marketing of Happy Meals — said it would start making the
changes in September and the new Happy Meals would be available
in all of its 14,000 U.S. restaurants by the end of the first quarter of 2012.
Use language appropriate to the visitor based on the target audience
Heat maps show an F pattern is used when scanning
content, so using bold headings and sub-headings to make it easier to scan and break up a copy
Change paragraphs to bulleted lists Put the main point first (inverted pyramid) Use personal pronouns Put yourself
in the place of the visitor and consider questions the visitor may have, then get to the point with the answer Add links, if appropriate, to keep the visitor engaged on your site and to keep them
from searching elsewhere Name links (and anchor text)
in a way that the visitor will know what to expect when they click Find out what keywords visitors are searching for to reach your site and write with these keywords
in mind These tips are a great starting point for anyone wanting to optimize their website
content.
However, radiation
changes at the top of the atmosphere
from the 1980s to 1990s, possibly related
in part to the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, appear to be associated with reductions
in tropical upper - level cloud cover, and are linked to
changes in the energy budget at the surface and
changes in observed ocean
heat content.
Figure 3 is the comparison of the upper level (top 700m) ocean
heat content (OHC)
changes in the models compared to the latest data
from NODC and PMEL (Lyman et al (2010), doi).
Changes in Hadley circulation affects convection and thus atmospheric moisture
content and cloud cover which may
in turn affect net solar
heating as well as the transfer of
heat from Earth to space.
Contributions to the event arising
from changes in ocean
heat content were shown to be negligible.
Another figure worth updating is the comparison of the ocean
heat content (OHC)
changes in the models compared to the latest data
from NODC.
Positive energy
content change means an increase
in stored energy (i.e.,
heat content in oceans, latent
heat from reduced ice or sea ice volumes,
heat content in the continents excluding latent
heat from permafrost
changes, and latent and sensible
heat and potential and kinetic energy
in the atmosphere).
We assess the
heat content change from both of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average warming of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available
heat content estimates
from 1961 to 2003 show a significant increasing trend
in ocean
heat content.
You've got the radiative physics, the measurements of ocean temperature and land temperature, the
changes in ocean
heat content (Hint — upwards, whereas if if was just a matter of circulation moving
heat around you might expect something more simple) and of course observed predictions such as stratospheric cooling which you don't get when warming occurs
from oceanic circulation.
This means that, e.g., if
heat moves
from the tropical surface water (temp about 25C) to surface waters at lower temps, the net effect is a subsidence of sea level — even without any
change in total
heat content.
The next figure is the comparison of the ocean
heat content (OHC)
changes in the models compared to the latest data
from NODC.
In this work the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is estimated based on observed near - surface temperature change from the instrumental record, changes in ocean heat content and detailed RF time serie
In this work the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is estimated based on observed near - surface temperature
change from the instrumental record,
changes in ocean heat content and detailed RF time serie
in ocean
heat content and detailed RF time series.
We assess the
heat content change from both of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average warming of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available
heat content estimates
from 1961 to 2003 show a significant increasing trend
in ocean
heat content.
Since the IPCC's graph above up to 2003 shows that most of the energy
from global warming is
in the oceans, to a first approximation, Ocean
Heat Content change since then is going to be close enough to the Total
Heat Content change.
With a dominant internal component having the structure of the observed warming, and with radiative restoring strong enough to keep the forced component small, how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring
from producing
heat loss
from the oceans totally inconsistent with any measures of
changes in oceanic
heat content?
''... how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring
from producing
heat loss
from the oceans totally inconsistent with any measures of
changes in oceanic
heat content?»
Not all at once of course, but as mentioned above, when the PDO goes positive, we can likely expect a significant
change in the atmospheric
heat content as
heat energy is transferred
from the deep oceans back into the atmosphere.
The rate of warming as measured by ocean
heat content changes over the last 4 years shows that we have DOUBLED the top - of - atmosphere energy imbalance
from 0.6 watts per meter squared to 1.1 watts per meter squared
in the last 7 years.
Actually Fielding's use of that graph is quite informative of how denialist arguments are framed — the selected bit of a selected graph (and don't mention the fastest warming region on the planet being left out of that data set), or the complete passing over of short term variability vs longer term trends, or the other measures and indicators of climate
change from ocean
heat content and sea levels to
changes in ice sheets and minimum sea ice levels, or the passing over of issues like lag time between emissions and effects on temperatures... etc..
They are mainly derived
from the Shaviv reference (provided
in the link above) that concludes that the solar signal is amplified as indicated by the magnitude of
changes in ocean
heat content (and other less direct measures) over the course of the 11 year solar cycle.
It takes a lot of
heat energy to increase the
heat content of the oceans to a measuable extent and brings up the question of whether this increased
heat content is coming
from the sun or
from changes in the rate of geothermal
heat transfer
from within the Earth itself.
The TOA energy imbalance can probably be most accurately determined
from climate models and is estimated to be 0.85 ± 0.15 W m - 2 by Hansen et al. (2005) and is supported by estimated recent
changes in ocean
heat content (Willis et al. 2004; Hansen et al. 2005).
The natural internal variability of the climate system arises
from factors such as El Niño, fluctuations
in the thermohaline circulation, and
changes in ocean
heat content.
All that is needed is to add
heat carried upwards past the denser atmosphere (and most CO2) by convection and the latent
heat from water
changing state (the majority of
heat transport to the tropopause), the albedo effects of clouds, the inability of long wave «downwelling» (the blue balls) to warm water that makes up 2 / 3rds of the Earth's surface, and that due to huge differences
in enthalpy dry air takes far less energy to warm than humid air so temperature is not a measure of atmospheric
heat content.
Simply
changing the carbon dioxide
content of the atmosphere by 30 percent has major impacts
in the adiabatic lapse rate and the rate at which radiated
heat is passed
from the planet.
Apparently, these GCMs can «forecast» climate
change only «a posteriori», that is, for example, if we want to know what may happen with these GCMs
from 2012 to 2020 we need first to wait the 2020 and then adjust the GCM model with ad - hoc physical explanations including even an appeal to an unpredictable «red - noise» fluctuation of the ocean
heat content and flux system (occurring
in the model
in 2055 and 2075!)
This is a blow - up of the
changes in the
heat content of the top 300 meters and then
from 300 to 700 meters.
«It's clear with more «
heat in the kitchen
from the Beltway» that further modest
changes to their business model around advertising and news feeds /
content could be
in store over the next 12 to 18 months,» he wrote.