Not exact matches
As far back as 2002, while vice minister, Kuroda used an opinion column
in the Financial Times, co-written with his deputy at the finance ministry, to call for «aggressive monetary policy» from the central bank, including an
inflation target, aimed at «drastically
changing price
expectations.»
Many
in the central bank, including outgoing Governor Masaaki Shirakawa, are sceptical that monetary policy can impact public sentiment, so they do not buy into the idea that a
change in policy would raise
inflation expectations.
To a large extent, this had to be done the hard way: price
expectations are largely «backwards looking», so can be
changed only by the economy operating below capacity, with the reduction
in inflation that this causes feeding through (with a lag) to lower price
expectations.
Inflation is also influenced by the effect that changes in interest rates have on imported goods prices, via the exchange rate, and through their effect on inflation expectations more generally in the
Inflation is also influenced by the effect that
changes in interest rates have on imported goods prices, via the exchange rate, and through their effect on
inflation expectations more generally in the
inflation expectations more generally
in the economy.
The assessment depends importantly on the assumption that there will be no significant second - round wage and price effects arising from the tax
changes and that the tax - related increase
in the price level does not generate an upward shift
in ongoing
inflation expectations.
Earnings / Macro Pulse: But if you look at a couple of key indicators we track: the «nominal surprise index» (this tracks a combination of the Citi US
inflation surprise index and the economic surprise index - giving a view on how the
inflation and general economic data is turning out vs
expectations), and the «earnings revisions indicator» (this combines earnings revisions ratio and the rate of
change in forward earnings).
This
change in relative wages and the relatively modest adjustment
in overall wages have been helped by the combination of well - anchored
inflation expectations and a more flexible labour market, particularly
in comparison to earlier terms of trade booms.
The Bank's quarterly survey of financial market economists suggests that near - term
inflation expectations have
changed little over recent months, with the median forecast for
inflation over the year to June 2004 at 2.2 per cent
in November, compared with 2.3 per cent
in August.
-- «The year - on - year rate of
change in the CPI (all items less fresh food) is likely to continue on an uptrend and increase toward 2.0 %, due mainly to an improvement
in the output gap and a rise
in medium - to - long term
inflation expectations.»
The bond markets are extremely active, with interest rates constantly
changing in response to a number of factors including
changes in the supply and demand of credit, Federal Reserve policy, fiscal policy, exchange rates, economic conditions, market psychology and, above all,
changes in expectations about
inflation.
Cunningham calculates that an uptick
in long - term interest rates of half a percentage point (50 basis points) with no
change to
inflation — or
inflation expectations — would cause the price of the 2036 Government of Canada RRB described above to drop
in value by about 10 %.
Interest rates
change in response to a number of factors —
changes in supply and demand for credit, fiscal policy, exchange rates, economic conditions, and crucial for the bond market,
changes in expectations of
inflation.
Stock investors must be able to share that belief and that forecast, because a
change in longer - term
inflation expectations - even from a low base - would increase stock market risks importantly.
Our
expectation is that gradually higher levels of
inflation breakevens will result from firmer
inflation data
in the coming months, while a move higher
in real rates will be virtuously tied to cyclical
changes in real growth.
With
inflation expectations well anchored, a one - time increase
in energy prices should not lead to a permanent increase
in inflation but only to a
change in relative prices.»
Market - based measures of
inflation compensation declined; most survey - based measures of longer - term
inflation expectations are little
changed, on balance,
in recent months.
Market - based measures of
inflation compensation remain low; most survey - based measures of longer - term
inflation expectations are little
changed, on balance,
in recent months.
Market - based measures of
inflation compensation have moved up but remain low; most survey - based measures of longer - term
inflation expectations are little
changed, on balance,
in recent months.
Market - based measures of
inflation compensation declined further; survey - based measures of longer - term
inflation expectations are little
changed, on balance,
in recent months.
Gold and silver mining companies may also be adversely affected by
changing inflation expectations, the availability of alternatives, disruptions
in the supply chain, rising production costs, rising regulatory compliance costs, increased environmental regulations, and
changes in industrial, government and global consumer demand.
Interest rates
change in response to a number of things including revised
expectations about
inflation, and such
changes in the prevailing level of interest rates affects the value of all outstanding bonds.
Market - based measures of
inflation compensation have moved up considerably but still are low; most survey - based measures of longer - term
inflation expectations are little
changed, on balance,
in recent months.
Changes in expectations can move prices wildly even with little
change in the economic variables that should drive asset prices, such as
inflation or company earnings.