I like the definition of climate sensitivity as «
change in surface temperature per unit change in radiative forcing».
Not exact matches
Where «dT» is the
change in the Earth's average
surface temperature, «λ» is the climate sensitivity, usually with units
in Kelvin or degrees Celsius
per Watts
per square meter (°C / [W - m - 2]-RRB-, and «dF» is the radiative forcing.
He then uses what information is available to quantify (
in Watts
per square meter) what radiative terms drive that
temperature change (for the LGM this is primarily increased
surface albedo from more ice / snow cover, and also
changes in greenhouse gases... the former is treated as a forcing, not a feedback; also, the orbital variations which technically drive the process are rather small
in the global mean).
Where «dT» is the
change in the Earth's average
surface temperature, «λ» is the climate sensitivity, usually with units
in Kelvin or degrees Celsius
per Watts
per square meter (°C / [W m - 2]-RRB-, and «dF» is the radiative forcing, which is discussed
in further detail
in the Advanced rebuttal to the «CO2 effect is weak» argument.
Abstract:» The sensitivity of global climate with respect to forcing is generally described
in terms of the global climate feedback — the global radiative response
per degree of global annual mean
surface temperature change.
The significant difference between the observed decrease of the CO2 sink estimated by the inversion (0.03 PgC / y
per decade) and the expected increase due solely to rising atmospheric CO2 -LRB--0.05 PgC / y
per decade) indicates that there has been a relative weakening of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink (0.08 PgC / y
per decade) due to
changes in other atmospheric forcing (winds,
surface air
temperature, and water fluxes).
Abstract:» The sensitivity of global climate with respect to forcing is generally described
in terms of the global climate feedback — the global radiative response
per degree of global annual mean
surface temperature change.
I never asserted that sensitivity
in terms of equilibrium time - average
surface temperature change per unit
change in TOA or even tropopause - level forcing (with or without stratospheric adjustment) would be the same for each type of forcing for each climatic state and the external forcings that maintain it (or for that matter, for each of those different of forcings (TOA vs tropopause, etc.) with everything held constant.
The efficacy of a forcing is the climate sensitivity (
in terms of global average
surface temperature change per unit global average RF) of that forcing relative to a standard type of forcing.
(PS we are considering the climate sensitivity to be
in terms of
changes in global - time average
surface temperature per unit global - time average radiative forcing, though one could also define other sensitivities for other measures of climate).
First, for
changing just CO2 forcing (or CH4, etc, or for a non-GHE forcing, such as a
change in incident solar radiation, volcanic aerosols, etc.), there will be other GHE radiative «forcings» (feedbacks, though
in the context of measuring their radiative effect, they can be described as having radiative forcings of x W / m2
per change in surface T), such as water vapor feedback, LW cloud feedback, and also, because GHE depends on the vertical
temperature distribution, the lapse rate feedback (this generally refers to the tropospheric lapse rate, though
changes in the position of the tropopause and
changes in the stratospheric
temperature could also be considered lapse - rate feedbacks for forcing at TOA; forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment takes some of that into account; sensitivity to forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment will generally be different from sensitivity to forcing without stratospheric adjustment and both will generally be different from forcing at TOA before stratospheric adjustment; forcing at TOA after stratospehric adjustment is identical to forcing at the tropopause after stratospheric adjustment).
Where «dT» is the
change in the Earth's average
surface temperature, «λ» is the climate sensitivity, usually with units
in Kelvin or degrees Celsius
per Watts
per square meter (°C / [W / m2]-RRB-, and «dF» is the radiative forcing.
Even while identifying some of the observed
change in climatic behaviour, such as a 0.4 C increase
in surface temperature over the past century, or about 1 mm
per year sea level rise
in Northern Indian Ocean, or wider variation
in rainfall patterns, the document notes that no firm link between the do...
Its value is governed by collisions of the gas moelcules with the earth's
surface,
in fact by the
temperature of the earth's
surface (plus a
temperature gradient of roughly 1 Celsius
per 100 m
change of altitude on the basis of the so - called dry - adiabatic limit).
I should not be surprised if,
in due course, the Professor were to publish a paper on the implications of the remarkably substantial discrepancy between the model - predicted and actually - observed rates of
change in surface evaporation
per unit
change in surface temperature.
In his House of Commons presentation, toward the end, he gives a sketch of an alternative derivation of the «Climate Sensitivity» based on observed rates of evaporation increase per change in sea surface temperature, and this based on data from the 2007 paper by Wentz e
In his House of Commons presentation, toward the end, he gives a sketch of an alternative derivation of the «Climate Sensitivity» based on observed rates of evaporation increase
per change in sea surface temperature, and this based on data from the 2007 paper by Wentz e
in sea
surface temperature, and this based on data from the 2007 paper by Wentz et.
Thus what you see as wiggles
in the increase
per year is the direct result of
temperature changes in ocean
surface and vegetation (for the latter, precipitation also plays a role).
The global annual mean
surface air
temperature change... centred at the time of CO2 doubling
in a 1 %
per year compound CO2 increase scenario.
If there is deep - water formation
in the final steady state as
in the present day, the ocean will eventually warm up fairly uniformly by the amount of the global average
surface temperature change (Stouffer and Manabe, 2003), which would result
in about 0.5 m of thermal expansion
per degree celsius of warming, calculated from observed climatology; the EMICs
in Figure 10.34 indicate 0.2 to 0.6 m °C — 1 for their final steady state (year 3000) relative to 2000.
We don't get much ventilation air
change in crawlspaces — the typical ventilation air change rate in a crawlspace is approximately 1 air change per hour (ach).2 In determining crawlspace surface temperatures we can pretty much ignore the ventilation air change.3 We can't ignore the ventilation air in the moisture balance but we can in the energy balanc
in crawlspaces — the typical ventilation air
change rate
in a crawlspace is approximately 1 air change per hour (ach).2 In determining crawlspace surface temperatures we can pretty much ignore the ventilation air change.3 We can't ignore the ventilation air in the moisture balance but we can in the energy balanc
in a crawlspace is approximately 1 air
change per hour (ach).2
In determining crawlspace surface temperatures we can pretty much ignore the ventilation air change.3 We can't ignore the ventilation air in the moisture balance but we can in the energy balanc
In determining crawlspace
surface temperatures we can pretty much ignore the ventilation air
change.3 We can't ignore the ventilation air
in the moisture balance but we can in the energy balanc
in the moisture balance but we can
in the energy balanc
in the energy balance.
Global
temperature change obtained by multiplying the sum of the two climate forcings
in figure 5c by a sensitivity of 3/4 °C
per W m − 2 yields a remarkably good fit to «observations» (figure 6), where the observed
temperature is 2 × ΔTdo, with 2 being the scale factor required to yield the estimated 4.5 °C LGM — Holocene
surface temperature change.
Climate sensitivity (S) is the equilibrium global
surface temperature change (ΔTeq)
in response to a specified unit forcing after the planet has come back to energy balance, 5.1 i.e. climate sensitivity is the eventual (equilibrium) global
temperature change per unit forcing.
The measured
change in outgoing radiation
per unit
change in global mean sea -
surface temperature is seven times greater than the UN's models predict.
I expect the Romps et al and Laliberte et al Science papers to stimulate a large literature that moves beyond equilibrium approximations (though I recognize that Romps et al got the 10 %
change in CAPE [
per C increase
in surface temperature] from equilibrium approximations for the moist adiabatic lapse rate) to approximate steady - state approximations (redundant «approximate» on purpose.)
Where «dT» is the
change in the Earth's average
surface temperature, «λ» is the climate sensitivity, usually with units
in Kelvin or degrees Celsius
per Watts
per square meter (°C / [W - m - 2]-RRB-, and «dF» is the radiative forcing.