Mean
change in vegetation carbon at +4 °C global land warming from a 1971 — 1999 baseline.
Changes in vegetation carbon residence times can cause major shifts in the distribution of carbon between pools, overall fluxes, and the time constants of terrestrial carbon transitions, with consequences for the land carbon balance and the associated state of ecosystems.
Not exact matches
With global climate models projecting further drying over the Amazon
in the future, the potential loss of
vegetation and the associated loss of
carbon storage may speed up global climate
change.
Dr Sue Ward, the Senior Research Associate for the project at Lancaster University, said: «Peat is one of the earth's most important stores of
carbon, but one of the most vulnerable to
changes in climate and
changes in vegetation caused by both climate and land management.
Instruments on the platforms will monitor
changes in the concentrations of gases such
carbon dioxide, which is mainly produced when
vegetation is burnt during the dry season.
To explore how well the timing of the
changes matched up, the researcher focused on a
carbon isotope called 13C, which is retained
in soil
in the same proportions as
in the
vegetation the soil once contained.
Weather conditions strongly affect the litter production by
vegetation and the decomposition of organic matter,
in particular, and thus soil
carbon stock
changes.
Desertification also contributes to climate
change, with land degradation and related loss of
vegetation resulting
in increased emissions and reduced
carbon sink.
A study
in Science says that tropical forests are now net sources of CO2: Here we use 12 years (2003 — 2014) of MODIS pantropical satellite data to quantify net annual
changes in the aboveground
carbon density of tropical woody live
vegetation, providing direct, measurement - based evidence that the world's tropical forests are a net
carbon source of 425.2 ± 92.0 Tg C yr — 1.
I never said that modest
changes in vegetation would act as a sink for all the
carbon emissions.
Based on evidence from Earth's history, we suggest here that the relevant form of climate sensitivity
in the Anthropocene (e.g. from which to base future greenhouse gas (GHG) stabilization targets) is the Earth system sensitivity including fast feedbacks from
changes in water vapour, natural aerosols, clouds and sea ice, slower surface albedo feedbacks from
changes in continental ice sheets and
vegetation, and climate — GHG feedbacks from
changes in natural (land and ocean)
carbon sinks.
They have
vegetation that responds to temperature and rainfall, and,
in turn,
changes both the uptake and release of
carbon to the atmosphere.
Houghton's method of reconstructing Land - Use Based Net Flux of
Carbon appears arbitrary and susceptible to bias; i.e. «Rates of land - use
change, including clearing for agriculture and harvest of wood, were reconstructed from statistical and historic documents for 9 world regions and used, along with the per ha [hectare]
changes in vegetation and soil that result from land management, to calculate the annual flux of
carbon between land and atmosphere.»
Biological
carbon storage
in vegetation, soils, trees, and aquatic areas got a boost from the White House, the private sector, and the American Forest Foundation, which announced programs to make natural systems more resilient to climate
change, aid plants
in capturing
carbon, and incorporate natural systems into infrastructure design.
So I think, around the
carbon budgets, a question that I would like to see more clarity on is whether land - based
vegetation will continue to absorb
carbon dioxide at the rate it currently is, or whether
in a future climate, that drawdown of
carbon by plants on land will
change.
Here we use 12 years (2003 — 2014) of MODIS pantropical satellite data to quantify net annual
changes in the aboveground
carbon density of tropical woody live
vegetation, providing direct, measurement - based evidence that the world's tropical forests are a net
carbon source of 425.2 ± 92.0 Tg C yr — 1.
Broad - scale
changes in vegetation in general, and tree loss
in particular, have pronounced effects on climate processes through biogeophysical mechanisms such as albedo, evapotranspiration (ET), and
carbon dioxide exchange with the atmosphere [11].
In addition, Earth system models predict
carbon loss by placing
vegetation at a given point, and then
changing various climate properties above it.
We find, when all seven models are considered for one representative concentration pathway × general circulation model combination, such uncertainties explain 30 % more variation
in modeled
vegetation carbon change than responses of net primary productivity alone, increasing to 151 % for non-HYBRID4 models.
Change in mean - decadal
vegetation carbon, annual NPP, and
vegetation carbon residence time simulated by seven GVMs under HadGEM2 - ES RCP 8.5 forcings between A.D. 2005 and 2099.
(A — C)
Change in annual global mean
vegetation carbon (A), NPP (B), and residence time of
carbon in vegetation (C) under the HadGEM2 - ES RCP 8.5 climate and CO2 scenario for seven global
vegetation models.
They include the physical, chemical and biological processes that control the oceanic storage of
carbon, and are calibrated against geochemical and isotopic constraints on how ocean
carbon storage has
changed over the decades and
carbon storage
in terrestrial
vegetation and soils, and how it responds to increasing CO2, temperature, rainfall and other factors.
Future global
vegetation carbon change calculated by seven global
vegetation models using climate outputs and associated increasing CO2 from five GCMs run with four RCPs, expressed as the
change from the 1971 — 1999 mean relative to
change in global mean land temperature.
The comparison found that climate
change will spark a growth
in high - latitude
vegetation, which will pull
in more
carbon from the atmosphere than thawing permafrost will release.
Estimating the
carbon stocks
in terrestrial ecosystems and accounting for
changes in these stocks requires adequate information on land cover,
carbon density
in vegetation and soils, and the fate of
carbon (burning, removals, decomposition).
Indeed, the long lifetime of fossil fuel
carbon in the climate system and persistence of the ocean warming ensure that «slow» feedbacks, such as ice sheet disintegration,
changes of the global
vegetation distribution, melting of permafrost, and possible release of methane from methane hydrates on continental shelves, would also have time to come into play.
Double CO2 climate scenarios increase wildfire events by 40 - 50 %
in California (Fried et al., 2004), and double fire risk
in Cape Fynbos (Midgley et al., 2005), favouring re-sprouting plants
in Fynbos (Bond and Midgley, 2003), fire - tolerant shrub dominance
in the Mediterranean Basin (Mouillot et al., 2002), and
vegetation structural
change in California (needle - leaved to broad - leaved trees, trees to grasses) and reducing productivity and
carbon sequestration (Lenihan et al., 2003).
The
carbon biogeochemical cycle
in CLM4 calculates
changes in vegetation and wildfire occurrences, both of which depend on hydrological conditions (Thonicke et al. 2001; Kloster et al. 2010).
Impacts of large - scale and persistent
changes in the MOC are likely to include
changes to marine ecosystem productivity, fisheries, ocean
carbon dioxide uptake, oceanic oxygen concentrations and terrestrial
vegetation [Working Group I Fourth Assessment 10.3, 10.7; Working Group II Fourth Assessment 12.6, 19.3].
While others have looked at how
changes in climate and
in carbon dioxide concentrations may affect
vegetation, Reilly and colleagues added to that mix
changes in tropospheric ozone.
Unless the land use
changes are permanently away from
vegetation, as
in paving a large area, the net
carbon emissions are zero since whatever gets removed will grow back and thus consume the excess CO2.
There are a couple of lines
in IPCC Working Group I («New coupled climate -
carbon models (Betts et al., 2004; Huntingford et al., 2004) demonstrate the possibility of large feedbacks between future climate
change and
vegetation change, discussed further
in Section 7.3.5 (i.e., a die back of Amazon
vegetation and reductions
in Amazon precipitation).»).
The big question is: How will the exchange of
carbon between
vegetation and the atmosphere
change in the decades to come?