Our assumption that global temperature passed the Holocene mean a few decades ago is consistent with the rapid
change of ice sheet mass balance in the past few decades [75].
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid
change of ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
Slow feedbacks, such as
change of ice sheet area and climate - driven changes of greenhouse gases, are not included.
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid
change of ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
«This is probably the best method to look at mass
changes of ice sheets if you want to get a number that you can trust,» Rignot says.
Model studies for climate change between the Holocene and the Pliocene, when Earth was about 3 °C warmer, find that slow feedbacks due to
changes of ice sheets and vegetation cover amplified the fast feedback climate response by 30 — 50 % [216].
The results are very conservative because they exclude the possibility of rapid
changes of the ice sheets as the numerical models do not yet know how to deal with those.
In addition there are slow climate feedbacks, such as
changes of ice sheet size, that occur mainly over centuries and millennia.
Model studies for climate change between the Holocene and the Pliocene, when Earth was about 3 °C warmer, find that slow feedbacks due to
changes of ice sheets and vegetation cover amplified the fast feedback climate response by 30 — 50 % [216].
Not exact matches
«If you're trying to detect
change in something, you need long and continuous uninterrupted records
of things like the sea
ice or sea level rise or Greenland's
ice sheet,» Shepherd said.
Throughout most
of the current geological era North America was a
sheet of ice, but the global climate
changed; mostly due to solar activity.
Things I
changed: - cut the sugar by about half, using mostly dark brown sugar for the molasses kick - scratched the nutmeg and allspice but added about 1/3 extra
of all
of the other spices and also added nearly a tsp
of ground cardamon - replaced the veggie oil with melted leaf lard - scratched the raisins - baked it on a deep
sheet for only ~ 20 minutes - just barely until firm to the touch - then cut that
sheet into three layers - replaced the
icing with my own 16 ounce cream cheese, 8 ounce butter, ~ 6 ounce heavy cream, ~ 5 ounce honey, 1 tsp vanilla combo - toasted the coconut before dressing the cake.
But, rapid
change in the behavior
of parts
of the Antarctic
ice sheet might cause much greater rise than is often included in coastal planning.
This magma plume isn't an alternative possible cause
of recent upticks in melting along the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet attributed to human - generated climate
change.
Understanding sea level
change in relation to the mass balance
of Greenland's and Antarctica's
ice sheets is at the heart
of the CReSIS mission.
Developing an understanding
of how
ice sheets are
changing over time requires precise measurements
of the thickness
of the
ice sheets and accurate mapping
of the bedrock below.
Following the maxim
of keeping everything as simple as possible, but not simpler, Will Steffen from the Australian National University and I drew up an Anthropocene equation by homing in on the rate
of change of Earth's life support system: the atmosphere, oceans, forests and wetlands, waterways and
ice sheets and fabulous diversity
of life.
Stewart Jamieson from Durham University in England and his colleagues made the discovery by looking for subtle
changes in the
ice sheet's surface shapes, developed as a result
of ice flowing over diverse topography.
This water pump can be put out
of action or weakened by
changes in the freshwater pressure, the
ice sheet breaking up or shifting sea
ice and this results in the increasing climatic variability.
Scientists may also become able to distinguish between different scenarios sooner by studying the physics
of local
ice -
sheet changes and refining reconstructions
of changes during warm periods in geological history.
The first
of these pathways, marine
ice sheet instability, has been studied for decades, but the second, marine
ice cliff instability, has only recently been considered as an important contributor to future sea level
change.
Studying surging glaciers could also offer insights into grander - scale
ice flows with global consequences: the movements
of the
ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland, which can
change abruptly, altering the
ice discharges that affect sea level.
Mote was one
of 12 lead authors on a chapter
of the fifth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change report looking at the cryosphere, which is comprised
of snow, river and lake
ice, sea
ice, glaciers,
ice sheets and frozen ground.
We may have already
changed the
ice sheets to a point that some parts
of them may go, but we have the ability to stop
changing it more and to adapt to what we have already done.
Estimated
changes in the mass
of Greenland's
ice sheet suggest it is melting at a rate
of about 239 cubic kilometres (57.3 cubic miles) per year.
The U.S. team is one
of three international groups that sought to penetrate Antarctica's subglacial waters in the past month, seeking clues not only to glacial microbiology but also to
ice sheet dynamics and the impact
of climate
change on the continent.
Antarctica's vulnerability to climate
change has also become increasingly clear, said Robin Bell
of Columbia University's Lamont - Doherty Earth Observatory, who studies how
ice sheets change.
This effect is particularly apparent in parts
of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet (WAIS), long regarded as the more vulnerable part
of the continent to climate
change.
«Time and again, the models are conservative, and they're underestimating the magnitude
of change,» says Robert DeConto, an
ice sheet modeler at the University
of Massachusetts Amherst.
Using NASA and European Space Agency satellites, the 2015 study had measured the
changing height
of the
ice sheet and determined that East Antarctica was ballooning upward by roughly 1.59 centimeters a year (at least from 1992 to 2001 and from 2003 to 2008).
The digitized data extend the record
of changes at the bottom
of the
ice sheet, such as the formation
of channels as Antarctica's
ice flows, by more than two decades.
The Arctic took another 3,000 - 4,000 years to warm this much, primarily because
of the fact that the Northern Hemisphere had huge
ice sheets to buffer warming, and the fact that
changes in ocean currents and Earth's orbital configuration accelerated warming in the south.
Today, as warming waters caused by climate
change flow underneath the floating
ice shelves in Pine Island Bay, the Antarctic Ice Sheet is once again at risk of losing mass from rapidly retreating glacie
ice shelves in Pine Island Bay, the Antarctic
Ice Sheet is once again at risk of losing mass from rapidly retreating glacie
Ice Sheet is once again at risk
of losing mass from rapidly retreating glaciers.
«It is a very good paper which provides valuable new insights about the physical processes controlling the
change in reflectivity
of the Greenland
ice sheet and specifically its darkening over time,» said Eric Rignot, a senior research scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory who studies
ice sheets but was not involved with the new study.
A new study says that climate - induced feedback loops could lead to a
change in ocean stratification and the more rapid melting
of ice sheets.
Co-author Professor Jonathan Bamber, based at the University
of Bristol, and President
of the European Geoscience Union (EGU), added: «We are seeing
changes in the large - scale circulation patterns, which leads to more frequent sunshine and higher amounts
of solar energy reaching the surface
of the
ice sheet.
The two studies improve our understand
of Greenland's deep past, while raising questions about both the past and future
of its giant
ice sheet in a
changing climate.
Ice - sheet growth, coupled with favorable changes in Earth's orbit, pushed the planet past a climatic tipping point and led to both the rapid buildup of a permanent ice sheet in the Antarctic and much larger changes in global climate, says Hr
Ice -
sheet growth, coupled with favorable
changes in Earth's orbit, pushed the planet past a climatic tipping point and led to both the rapid buildup
of a permanent
ice sheet in the Antarctic and much larger changes in global climate, says Hr
ice sheet in the Antarctic and much larger
changes in global climate, says Hren.
New research indicates that climate
change has triggered an unstoppable decay
of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet, eventually leading to at least three meters
of global sea level rise
«We argue that it was the establishment
of the modern deep ocean circulation — the ocean conveyor — about 2.7 million years ago, and not a major
change in carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere that triggered an expansion
of the
ice sheets in the northern hemisphere,» says Stella Woodard, lead author and a post-doctoral researcher in the Department
of Marine and Coastal Sciences.
A report in the last issue
of Nature finds that between April 2002 and April 2006, the rate at which southern Greenland's
ice liquefied jumped by 250 percent — supporting the idea that the Greenland
ice sheet responds quickly to slight
changes in climate.
Massive reorganizations
of the ocean - atmosphere system, the authors argue, are the key events that link cyclic
changes in the earth's orbit to the advance and retreat
of ice sheets
While some may see evidence
of rapid glacier thinning in the past and again today as evidence that the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet is nearing a collapse driven by human - caused climate
change, Steig said at this point, scientists just don't know whether that is the case.
To better understand and anticipate
changes in sea level rise, scientists have sought to quantify how much snow falls on the
ice sheet in any given year, and where, since snow is the primary source
of the
ice sheet's mass.
Although CryoSat - 2 is designed to measure
changes in the
ice sheet elevation, these can be translated into horizontal motion at the grounding line using knowledge
of the glacier and sea floor geometry and the Archimedes principle
of buoyancy — which relates the thickness
of floating
ice to the height
of its surface.
«So you see something in this one 4,000 - square - kilometer basin off the northeast coast
of Venezuela, but you see similar
changes in the Arabian Sea and in the tropical Pacific, and you can link it all back to
changes seen in an
ice sheet in Greenland.
Some climate scientists, including James E. Hansen, former head
of the nasa Goddard Institute for Space Studies, say we must also consider slower feedbacks such as
changes in the continental
ice sheets.
Subglacial lakes are likely to influence the flow
of the
ice sheet, impacting global sea level
change.
The biggest
changes were seen in West Antarctica, where more than a fifth
of the
ice sheet has retreated across the sea floor faster than the pace
of deglaciation.
«Polar regions have been
changing very rapidly, providing data for our projections on sea
ice, snow cover,
ice sheets and sea level rise,» says David Vaughan
of the British Antarctic Survey in Cambridge, UK, the lead author
of the cryosphere chapter.