Sentences with phrase «change scenarios developed»

The Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) took the second - worst climate change scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and identified the regions likely to be hit by a reduction of 5 per cent or more in their crop growing seasons by 2050.

Not exact matches

Once you fully analyze NAFTA's effects on your business, understand the potential new costs and legal changes that would come into place if the deal is terminated, talk to the businesses you work with and develop new plans, your business will be ready for even the worst case scenario.

Finally, you need to develop several plans for each potential scenario, detailing exactly how your business will be affected, what steps you will take to address those changes and how your operational efficiency, supply chains, and finances will respond as a result.

The idea is to both monitor and develop a good basis for more responsible natural resources management and to construct an alternative way to ensure quality of life to indigenous populations facing a changing scenario both in terms of socioeconomics and environmental issues.»

The authors developed a social - ecological computer model to explore policy scenarios involving tourism, climate change, marine conservation, and local food security.

Methods: To understand the effects of economic forces from climate policy on terrestrial carbon and land use changes, the researchers used the MiniCAM, an integrated assessment model developed by the PNNL team over the last two decades, to compare different scenarios.

Case Study from IIASA Annual Report 2011: IIASA is developing new scenarios to underpin work of the upcoming Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR5) More

Our special management series has been developed by the IIM faculty keeping in view the changing global economic scenario with the downturn, to engender enhanced and responsive business / managerial thought among MBA aspirants today.

As I've mentioned before, even if you think a low P / E is deserved (which I don't, here), this low valuation offers an asymmetric risk / reward scenario as news develops, unexpected events occur, and sentiment changes...

[2011 paper 157 cites] Exploring high - end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low - lying delta — the Netherlands as an example Sea level rise, especially combined with possible changes in storm surges and increased river discharge resulting from climate change, poses a major threat in low - lying river deltas.

page 30: «Current carbon dioxide emissions are, in fact, above the highest emissions scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), implying that if we stay the current course, we're heading for even larger warming than the highest projections from the IPCC.»

The post-2000 growth rate exceeds the most fossil - fuel - dependent A1F1 emissions scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in the late 1990s.

Using a recently developed hurricane synthesizer driven by large - scale meteorological variables derived from global climate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenario A1b.

Even if CO2 concentrations were to increase according to worst - case scenarios, this, he estimates, would provide several decades» respite — which might provide time to develop non-carbon energy sources; research the intricate workings of climate systems; and plan long - term strategies to cope with a changing climate.

Other new techniques for incorporating such complex changes into quantitative climate scenarios are yet to be developed.

An example of an attempt to incorporate such complex changes into climate scenarios is the study of McInnes et al. (2000), who developed an empirical / dynamical model that gives return period versus height for tropical cyclone - related storm surges for Cairns on the north Australian coast.

Unlike the scenarios developed by the IPCC and reported in Nakicenovic et al. (2000), which examined possible global futures and associated greenhouse - related emissions in the absence of measures designed to limit anthropogenic climate change, RCP4.5 is a stabilization scenario and assumes that climate policies, in this instance the introduction of a set of global greenhouse gas emissions prices, are invoked to achieve the goal of limiting emissions and radiative forcing.

In the remainder of this paper we will discuss the modeling environment employed to develop RCP4.5 (the Global Change Assessment Model; GCAM), from the original MiniCAM Level 2 scenario (Clarke et al. 2007).

Figure 1: Rates of change (base year 2010 = 100) of global emissions in a range of 1.5 or 2 degree Celsius scenarios, and of emissions from Norwegian developed and undeveloped oil and gas fields.

Using a model developed from previous work we performed climate change scenarios, generating synthetic temperature and GDD distributions under a hypothetically increasing NAO.

As Indur Goklany has shown, even assuming that the climate models on which the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) accurately predict (rather than exaggerate by 2 to 3 times) the warming effect of added CO2 in the atmosphere, people the world over, and especially in developing countries, will be wealthier in warmer than in cooler scenarios, making them less vulnerable than today to all risks — including those related to climate.

To develop the Baseline Scenario, Acadia Center used the U.S. Energy Information Administration's 2016 Annual Energy Outlook as well as forecasts from the New York and New England Independent System Operators, with changes to reflect recent policy actions by states.

I'll be dead before 2060, so there could be no change during my lifetime, and despite nothing happens they will still hang on cAGW, though of course if the warming continues roughly on the linear 1880 - 2015 track, CAGWism will need to develop more subtle catastrophe scenarios.)

So if there is a real, though unquantifiably small, possibility of catastrophic climate change, and if we would ideally want some technological hedges as insurance against this unlikely scenario, and if raising the price of carbon to induce private economic actors to develop the technologies would be an enormously more expensive means of accomplishing this than would be advisable, then what, if anything, should we do about the danger?

Three scenarios were developed to assess the options that states have to reduce their emissions: (1) a Baseline Scenario («business as usual») that projected emissions in 2030 without any policy changes, (2) the Primary Scenario that will achieve the 45 % reduction from 1990 levels, and (3) an Accelerated Scenario that examines options for ambitious states that want to lead the region in reducing emissions.

Developed over the past 26 years, the MIT Integrated Global System Modeling (IGSM) framework allows researchers to custom - design climate - change scenarios and assess climate impacts under those scenarios.

Worstall argues ironically that the solution to the climate change problem lies within the assumptions made in developing the RCP scenarios.

And even if the projections were certain, why should developing countries invest NOW in adaptation to climate change which under most IPCC scenarios will not be critical for at least 30 years?

Consider an alternative universe where the scientists provided a range of scenarios to consider and included natural climate variability in the mix, and recommended that suite of policy options be developed to help reduce societal vulnerability to future climate change, both of the natural and anthropogenic variety.

In scientific literature a few comparisons between the SRES projections and reality exist, like a 2007 PNAS study, which stated «The emissions growth rate since 2000 was greater than for the most fossil - fuel intensive of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emissions scenarios developed in the late 1990s.»

To develop climate change scenarios and trends for Uganda by meteorologists and forecasters which can be fed into the adaptation and disaster risk reduction strategies of the country.

In fact, climate scientists have developed increasingly accurate scenarios about the impact climate change is having already in supercharging extreme weather events.

Any reasonable scenario for global development over the next century is likely to project technological change, which as we have seen in the past century would likely include changes in energy creation and consumption technologies, as well as the propagation of the kind of normal environmental policies that we have seen in the developed world in the past century, such as control of sulfur pollution.

Posted in Advocacy, Development and Climate Change, Disaster and Emergency, Environment, Glaciers, Governance, Green House Gas Emissions, Information and Communication, International Agencies, Lessons, News, Pollution, Population, UNFCCC, Urbanization Comments Off on Last year's greenhouse gas emissions topple worst - case scenario Tags: Climate change, Developing country, Energy, Environment, Greenhouse gas, Impacts and Indicators, IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Sustainable develChange, Disaster and Emergency, Environment, Glaciers, Governance, Green House Gas Emissions, Information and Communication, International Agencies, Lessons, News, Pollution, Population, UNFCCC, Urbanization Comments Off on Last year's greenhouse gas emissions topple worst - case scenario Tags: Climate change, Developing country, Energy, Environment, Greenhouse gas, Impacts and Indicators, IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Sustainable develchange, Developing country, Energy, Environment, Greenhouse gas, Impacts and Indicators, IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, Sustainable development

To summarize: available evidence indicates that the differences between projected emissions using MER exchange rates and PPP exchange rates are small in comparison to the uncertainties represented by the range of scenarios and the likely impacts of other parameters and assumptions made in developing scenarios, for example, technological change.

As mentioned above, climate scenarios that are developed for impacts applications usually require that some estimate of climate change be combined with baseline observational climate data, and the demand for more complete and sophisticated observational data sets of climate has grown in recent years.

In the last 10 years, downscaling techniques, both dynamical (i.e. Regional Climate Model) and statistical methods, have been developed to obtain fine resolution climate change scenarios.

Figure 1: Industry plans versus climate safety: Rates of change (base year 2010 = 100) of global emissions in a range of 1.5 or 2 degree Celsius scenarios, compared with emissions from global developed and undeveloped oil and gas fields.

In 2005, the Victoria government conducted a study to develop water - supply scenarios for its capital city Melbourne to 2020 under conditions of human - caused climate change.

Develop community - relevant scenarios of sea ice loss, permafrost degradation, coastal erosion, and other environmental change that will affect communities into the future.

The authors developed scenarios of global CO2 emissions from existing infrastructure directly emitting CO2 to the atmosphere for the period 2010 to 2060 (with emissions approaching zero at the end of this time period) and used the University of Victoria Earth System Climate Model to project the resulting changes in atmospheric CO2 and global mean temperature.

Develop a risk assessment of overall investments if the best - and worst - case scenarios for climate change play out in terms of potential financial losses.

Regional scenarios highlight the distribution of benefits and costs from climate change across the globe, underscoring the distinct consequences on the developed and developing world.

Note that a new practice at the IPCC is the back - to - back holding of an expert meeting on scenarios with lead author meetings, to ensure coordination with the scientific community which is developing a new generation of socioeconomic scenarios for climate change impacts, adaptation and mitigation research.

«Global climate scenarios developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) have also indicated that Jordan and the Middle East will suffer from reduced agricultural productivity and water availability among other negative impacts.»

An even broader universe of technological change scenarios can be developed for global and downscaled national, regional and sectoral scenarios (e.g., Berkhout and Hertin, 2002).

With this context, my company Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) has signed a new contract to develop regional climate change scenarios as part of a large, complex project.

The newly released version, developed in response to market changes and feedback from clients, includes a more user - friendly technology platform; additional interactive exercises / matter scenarios; and updates to LPM approaches, tools and content.

Technology savvy adept at building solid rapport with personnel and management to develop HR initiatives that influence positive change that develops a win - win scenario for personnel and business.

The Financial Consultant also helps the parties and their legal counsel develop and analyze viable financial options, and may prepare long - range projections regarding the future effect of alternative settlement scenarios, taking into account living expenses, inflation, future earnings, and anticipated life changes.