To better plan for potential effects due to climate change, scientists using the North American Breeding Bird Survey and Audubon Christmas Bird Count employed correlative distribution modeling, to assess geographic range shifts for nearly 600 North American bird species during both the breeding and non-breeding seasons under a range of future climate
change scenarios through the end of the century.
Not exact matches
«In the worst - case
scenario, if you have to work
through lunch, working in a different location will at least offer up a much needed
change of scenery and perspective.»
Instability will lead to global conflict, and that in turn may lead to what in a 2007 essay he referred to as» secular apocalypse» — total extinction of the human race
through either thermonuclear war, biological contagion, unchecked climate
change, or an array of competing Armageddon
scenarios.
If these
changes go
through, there are many
scenarios where a typical middle - class, family - run business from which the owners draw a salary of $ 100,000 could see a substantial — 20 to 50 per cent — increase in tax paid.
[01:10] Introduction [02:45] James welcomes Tony to the podcast [03:35] Tony's leap year birthday [04:15] Unshakeable delivers the specific facts you need to know [04:45] What James learned from Unshakeable [05:25] Most people panic when the stock market drops [05:45] Getting rid of your fear of investing [06:15] Last January was the worst opening, but it was a correction [06:45] You are losing money when you sell on corrections [06:55] Bear markets come every 5 years on average [07:10] The greatest opportunity for a millennial [07:40] Waiting for corrections to invest [08:05] Warren Buffet's advice for investors [08:55] If you miss the top 10 trading days a year... [09:25] Three different investor
scenarios over a 20 year period [10:40] The best trading days come after the worst [11:45] Investing in the current world [12:05] What Clinton and Bush think of the current situation [12:45] The office is far bigger than the occupant [13:35] Information helps reduce fear [14:25] James's story of the billionaire upset over another's wealth [14:45] What money really is [15:05] The story of Adolphe Merkle [16:05] The story of Chuck Feeney [16:55] The importance of the right mindset [17:15] What fuels Tony [19:15] Find something you care about more than yourself [20:25] Make your mission to surround yourself with the right people [21:25] Suffering made Tony hungry for more [23:25] By feeding his mind, Tony found strength [24:15] Great ideas don't interrupt you, you have to pursue them [25:05] Never - ending hunger is what matters [25:25] Richard Branson is the epitome of hunger and drive [25:40] Hunger is the common denominator [26:30] What you can do starting right now [26:55] Success leaves clues [28:10] What it means to take massive action [28:30] Taking action commits you to following
through [29:40] If you do nothing you'll learn nothing [30:20] There must be an emotional purpose behind what you're doing [30:40] How does Tony ignite creativity in his own life [32:00] «How is not as important as «why» [32:40] What and why unleash the psyche [33:25] Breaking the habit of focusing on «how» [35:50] Deep Practice [35:10] Your desired outcome will determine your action [36:00] The difference between «what» and «why» [37:00] Learning how to chunk and group [37:40] Don't mistake movement for achievement [38:30] Tony doesn't negotiate with his mind [39:30]
Change your thoughts and change your biochemistry [40:00] The bad habit of being stressed [40:40] Beautiful and suffering states [41:50] The most important decision is to live in a beautiful state no matter what [42:40] Consciously decide to take yourself out of suffering [43:40] Focus on appreciation, joy and love [44:30] Step out of suffering and find the solution [45:00] Dealing with mercury poisoning [45:40] Tony's process for stepping out of suffering [46:10] Stop identifying with thoughts — they aren't yours [47:40] Trade your expectations for appreciation [50:00] The key to life — gratitude [51:40] What is freedom fo
Change your thoughts and
change your biochemistry [40:00] The bad habit of being stressed [40:40] Beautiful and suffering states [41:50] The most important decision is to live in a beautiful state no matter what [42:40] Consciously decide to take yourself out of suffering [43:40] Focus on appreciation, joy and love [44:30] Step out of suffering and find the solution [45:00] Dealing with mercury poisoning [45:40] Tony's process for stepping out of suffering [46:10] Stop identifying with thoughts — they aren't yours [47:40] Trade your expectations for appreciation [50:00] The key to life — gratitude [51:40] What is freedom fo
change your biochemistry [40:00] The bad habit of being stressed [40:40] Beautiful and suffering states [41:50] The most important decision is to live in a beautiful state no matter what [42:40] Consciously decide to take yourself out of suffering [43:40] Focus on appreciation, joy and love [44:30] Step out of suffering and find the solution [45:00] Dealing with mercury poisoning [45:40] Tony's process for stepping out of suffering [46:10] Stop identifying with thoughts — they aren't yours [47:40] Trade your expectations for appreciation [50:00] The key to life — gratitude [51:40] What is freedom for you?
I mean — my banker (ubs) walks
through 5
scenarios, faces a grilling from me, works
through the
changes or questions based on my conversation and represents and we go forward with one in the second meeting.
Again, it's good to think
through the different
scenarios that might influence your plan and leave yourself the flexibility to adapt to
changing circumstances.
Try not to talk
through every possible
change or what - if
scenario — many of which won't come to pass anyway.
Through planning
scenario workshops, CISA works with community leaders, scientists, and decision - makers to explore possible impacts of climate
change and options for managing them.
While many other bodies, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, have produced consensus reports on climate change scenarios and impacts, Harvard's McCarthy said he hopes the report's clarity and brevity (it is 15 pages long, not including references) will help it break th
Change, have produced consensus reports on climate
change scenarios and impacts, Harvard's McCarthy said he hopes the report's clarity and brevity (it is 15 pages long, not including references) will help it break th
change scenarios and impacts, Harvard's McCarthy said he hopes the report's clarity and brevity (it is 15 pages long, not including references) will help it break
through.
This
scenario may simply be a taste of a world undergoing climate
change in the mid — 21st century, according to a new report from the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), a Washington, D.C. — based organization seeking an end to hunger and poverty
through appropriate local, national and international agricultural policies.
They looked at each of those conditions
through, first, a business - as - usual lens that assumes a lack of international climate - policy action with continued high rates of greenhouse gas emissions and, second, an optimistic
scenario of reduced emissions with climate
change policy interventions.
This
scenario would
change if there were a significant tax on carbon emissions, or if an equivalent economic penalty were imposed on fossil - fueled plants
through a cap on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions or a requirement that CO2 be sequestered.
In this modern world need to
change style not concept, what are you thinking about the present
scenario about the Jewish girls for relationship and is it possible
through online sites?
The technological advancements have
changed the
scenario and made it easier to find the perfect partner
through Internet.
The coordinators effecting subject
changes don't need to handle complicated structures, or work
through several
scenarios to find the best option for a student, therefore students can secure desired subjects where multiple
changes are required, and the entire process is faster than manually analysing a subject
change.
For example, in the Constant Velocity
Scenario, physics students can hear the sounds of their actions getting faster, see graphs that
change in real time, and feel how their bodies move
through the space.»
He shows how warming ocean waters gave Hurricane Katrina the added strength to blow right
through Florida and on to New Orleans, and he documents worst - case
scenarios for accelerated
change.
Portfolio managers will be able to walk sponsors
through a dashboard of assets, liabilities, funded status and potential risk measures, as well as model interest rate and portfolio sensitivities and provide what - if
scenario analysis of portfolio
changes.
The
scenario resulted in a borrower having to apply
through the FHA Loan Program which has less stringent Income vs. Debt requirements and substantially
changed the borrower's monthly payment.
In the best - case
scenario, undercover investigations can lead to immediate
changes through corporate or legal policy
change and consumers reducing their consumption of animal products, as well as contribute to long - term outcomes by growing the animal advocacy movement and increasing public concern for farm animal issues.
As a result, combat begins to quickly feel repetitive as you continously hammer out the same string of inputs, and while the different enemies do a decent job of keeping you on your toes, by about half - way
through the game I rarely found myself having to go into the Combo Lab and
change - up my Pressens as I had already combos built for the most common
scenarios.
The controls are appropriately mapped to the Vita with the control scheme consisting of pressing X to attack an enemy Digimon; holding R then pressing X to escape; pressing select to let your Digimon act independently; pressing triangle to pause gameplay, while opening the Digivice to view the Digimon field guide, look
through your inventory, save your progress and more besides; tapping the touch screen to display the DigiLine;
changing the direction of the left analogue stick or alternatively pressing left, right, up or down on the d - pad to move Keisuke during on - foot exploration or navigating between menus whilst battling an enemy Digimon; and pressing start to display the title menu, alongside various
scenarios and combinations in which certain buttons have different contexts.
While the game has a simple story mode that walks you
through a variety of mission types and
scenarios, there is also the Slaughter mode that challenges you to survive waves of zombies until your car is destroyed and, probably my personal favorite, the Blood Race mode that
changes things into a competitive race with other drivers.
It is a team death match style game where the
scenarios are constantly
changing as your team progresses
through the different rounds, then there is Payne Killer mode where one player is Max and earns points the longer he stays as Max, whoever kills him then takes over as Max Payne.
With things like
changing sceneries within almost every story and different tones to each one, this story mode is easily much more of an engaging affair than its predecessor — especially with one final
scenario to play
through after you finish every character's
scenario.
Even as Rothenberg's images have
changed radically over the course of her career, certain tendencies critical to the compositional dynamics of her paintings have remained constant, reflecting how the artist sees and reconstructs the world
through a series of shifting pictorial structures that create a spinning or torquing spatial
scenario.
And that demonstrates how dangerous it potentially is for us to do something that's never happened in the history of the planet... to very dramatically
change the CO2 concentration, in a matter of mere decades as compared to the usual centuries or millenia involved in an ice age feedback
scenario,
through a mechanism never found in nature — uncovering plant matter that's been buried for hundreds of millions of years, and burning it for energy.
Scientific evidence indicates that the global climate is moving outside the bounds of past experience and can be expected to put new stresses on societies around the world, prompting examination of a variety of plausible
scenarios through which climate
change might pose or alter security risks for the United States.
Figure 6: Easterbrook's two global temperature projections A (green) and B (blue) vs. the IPCC TAR simple model projection tuned to seven global climate models for emissions
scenario A2 (the closest
scenario to reality thus far)(red) and observed global surface temperature
change (the average of NASA GISS, NOAA, and HadCRUT4)(black) over the period 2000
through 2011.
Figure 7 compares the IPCC TAR projections under
Scenario A2 with the observed global surface temperature
change from 1990
through 2012.
Figure 9: IPCC AR4 multi-model projection for emissions
Scenario A2 (blue) vs. observed surface temperature
changes (average of NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4; red) for 2000
through 2012.
Figure 4, A
through D, maps the geometric mean of the
changes in range size for species projected to occupy each pixel on the map, for
scenarios with dispersal.
Our models yield projections of future diversity under a range of climate
change scenarios (Fig. 1, C
through J).
Figure 7: IPCC TAR model projection for emissions
Scenario A2 (blue) vs. observed surface temperature
changes (average of NASA GISS, NOAA NCDC, and HadCRUT4; red) for 1990
through 2012.
The chosen
scenario assumes Trump's actions could result in the United States only achieving half of its pledged reduction
through 2030 under the Paris Agreement on climate
change, the worldwide but voluntary pact aiming to avoid dangerous global warming that entered into force on Nov. 4.
London, New York — 6 February 2018 — The Carbon Tracker Initiative, an independent financial think tank, announced today that its in - depth analysis of the impact of climate
change on a company's exposure to carbon transition risk is available
through 2 ˚C
Scenario Analysis Tool on the Bloomberg App Portal at -LCB- APPS TRACK
-RCB-.
As well as the groups mentioned above,
scenarios are used extensively by scientists, policy makers, NGOs and commentators as a common framework
through which they can discuss climate
change, exchange ideas and communicate with each other effectively.
The report will lay out projections for climate
change through the end of the century, based upon four different carbon emission
scenarios.
In the study, Monier and his co-authors applied the IGSM framework to assess climate impacts under different climate -
change scenarios — «Paris Forever,» a
scenario in which Paris Agreement pledges are carried out
through 2030, and then maintained at that level
through 2100; and «2C,» a
scenario with a global carbon tax - driven emissions reduction policy designed to cap global warming at 2 degrees Celsius by 2100.
World Health Organization and British government - sponsored global impact studies indicate that, relative to other factors, global warming's impact on key determinants of human and environmental well - being should be small
through 2085 even under the warmest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC)
scenario.
The temperature
changes are close enough to those observed
through the PETM to support both the hypothesized
scenario and our modelling efforts.
The
scenarios accessed
through scenarios.globalchange.gov include climate
change, sea level
change, and land use and population
change.
But you start running those
scenarios through the climate models and what you realize very quickly when you look at the output is that those modest
changes in precipitation really pale in significance compared to the impact of temperature.
Imaginatively illustrated and extensively referenced, this short piece by Murray, who narrates the story as an animated stick figure, takes us
through a worst - case
scenario of future climate
change — from mass species extinctions all the way to famine and war.
Another approach is to «grow» the sediment column
through geologic time to obtain an initial condition for a climate
change perturbation
scenario (Archer et al., 2012), but uncertainties in various model parameters, such as the methane production rate and the fate of bubbles in the sediment column, prevent a well - constrained model forecast of the methane hydrate response to climate warming.
While this
scenario is dire, proposed mechanisms for addressing climate
change, notably carbon credits
through avoided deforestation, offer a unique opportunity for Indonesia to strengthen its economy while demonstrating worldwide innovative political and environmental leadership.
Abstract: An evaluation of analyses sponsored by the predecessor to the U.K. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA) of the global impacts of climate
change under various mitigation
scenarios (including CO2 stabilization at 550 and 750 ppm) coupled with an examination of the relative costs associated with different schemes to either mitigate climate
change or reduce vulnerability to various climate - sensitive hazards (namely, malaria, hunger, water shortage, coastal flooding, and losses of global forests and coastal wetlands) indicates that, at least for the next few decades, risks and / or threats associated with these hazards would be lowered much more effectively and economically by reducing current and future vulnerability to those hazards rather than
through stabilization.
The second
scenario in which industry coalitions working with MRFs succeed is when legislation drives
change through mandated guide, like the ban of plastic bag use in San Francisco in 2007; consumers were charged 10 cents per bag, creating cost incentives to use reusable bags, and other municipalities followed suit.
Reading these amendments, there is a sense that some of these
changes were made without thinking them
through to their ultimate end and without mentally testing them in a real trial
scenario to determine how they will ultimately play out in court.