However, if the loss of Arctic Sea ice has significantly
changed global atmospheric circulation patterns, then we are dealing with a different system that has only been in existence since 2007, and we do not know how often to expect crop failures.
Included in resource are the following topics: Natural causes of climate change Evidence of climate change Global Warming Causes and effects of climate
change Global atmospheric circulation Tropical storms causes, characteristics, location and frequency Causes of EL Nino Effects of the Big Dry Adaptation to drought At the end of the resources are pupil booklets.
Not exact matches
This «would create a persistent layer of black carbon particles in the northern stratosphere that could cause potentially significant
changes in the
global atmospheric circulation and distributions of ozone and temperature,» they concluded.
World weather patterns will also start to
change, as a frigid Antarctic continent and the icy ocean currents that surround it play an important role in
global atmospheric and oceanic
circulation.
«This emphasizes the importance of large - scale energy transport and
atmospheric circulation changes in restoring Earth's
global temperature equilibrium after a natural, unforced warming event,» Li said.
They were Jorge Sarmiento, an oceanographer at Princeton University who constructs ocean -
circulation models that calculate how much
atmospheric carbon dioxide eventually goes into the world's oceans; Eileen Claussen, executive director of the Pew Center for
Global Climate Change in Washington, D.C.; and David Keith, a physicist with the University of Calgary in Alberta who designs technological solutions to the global warming pr
Global Climate
Change in Washington, D.C.; and David Keith, a physicist with the University of Calgary in Alberta who designs technological solutions to the
global warming pr
global warming problem.
Whether or not these
changes in
atmospheric circulation are themselves linked to
global warming wasn't something the study tried to answer.
As the authors point out, even if the whole story comes down to precipitation
changes which favor ablation, the persistence of these conditions throughout the 20th century still might be an indirect effect of
global warming, via the remote effect of sea surface temperature on
atmospheric circulation.
Global changes of the
atmospheric composition and natural
circulation changes are in competition to each other in determining the Arctic surface climate.
Climate
change related to a
global warming is more than just temperature and precipitation - massive
atmospheric circulations change too, and these
changes can have consequences.
That, combined with the
change in location of the convection, cause drastic
changes in
global atmospheric circulation patterns.
Various mechanisms, involving
changes in ocean
circulation,
changes in
atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases or haze particles, and
changes in snow and ice cover, have been invoked to explain these sudden regional and
global transitions.
But examining temperature anomalies separate from
atmospheric circulation changes is dubious science at best and blaming
global warming does nothing to improve early storm warnings or accurately assess the frequency of extreme events.
«Our finding that convective features
change drastically at resolutions of 2 kilometers or more opens up new avenues for research into the interactions between convection and
global atmospheric circulation that would have been invisible at coarser resolutions.»
By Amber Bentley (Aged 11) In just 16 pages, this wonderful book covers the structure of the atmosphere, solar radiation, the water cycle, clouds, fronts, convection, air pressure, air masses, the
global atmospheric circulation, making weather observations, forecasting, synoptic charts, hurricanes, regional climate, palaeoclimates and anthropogenic climate
change.
Current
global multi-decadal predictions are unable to skillfully simulate regional forcing by major
atmospheric circulation features such as from El Niño and La Niña and the South Asian monsoon, much less
changes in the statistics of these climate features.
This empirical finding contradicts Spencer's hypothesis that cloud cover
changes are driving
global warming, but is consistent with our current understanding of the climate: ocean heat is exchanged with the atmosphere, which causes surface warming, which alters
atmospheric circulation, which alters cloud cover, which impacts surface temperature.
It has been established experimentally that, at ca 4.0 ka BP, there occurred a
global change in the structure of
atmospheric circulation, which coincided in time with the discharge of glacial masses from Greenland to North Atlantic and a solar activity minimum.
``... the moisture budget and its role in
global change, the origins of ice ages, seasonal effects in
atmospheric transport, stratospheric waves, and the observational determination of climate sensitivity -LSB-...] the development of the current theory for the Hadley
Circulation, -LSB-...] the quasi-biennial oscillation of the tropical stratosphere.
Recent
global climate
change is also likely to affect large - scale
atmospheric circulation patterns, with strong nonlinear feedbacks between thermodynamic and dynamic components of the climate system (10, 11).
Changes in ocean
circulation, which are loosely coupled to the
atmospheric energy exchange, can produce substantial year - to - year variability in
global temperatures (e.g., El Nino and La Nina events).
Anomalies in the volcanic - aerosol induced
global radiative heating distribution can force significant
changes in
atmospheric circulation, for example, perturbing the equator - to - pole heating gradient (Stenchikov et al., 2002; Ramaswamy et al., 2006a; see Section 9.2) and forcing a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation that in turn causes a counterintuitive boreal winter warming at middle and high latitudes over Eurasia and North America (Perlwitz and Graf, 2001; Stenchikov et al., 2002, 2004, 2006; Shindell et al., 2003b, 2004; Perlwitz and Harnik, 2003; Rind et al., 2005; Miller et al., 2006).
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and
global climate
change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with
global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate
change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future
changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in
changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected
changes in the overlying
atmospheric circulation.»»
As I have also noted in recent public comments, additional mechanisms have been identified by which
changes in
atmospheric circulation patterns that may be a result of
global warming could be affecting droughts in the American West.
This
change also shifts
global atmospheric circulation patterns, causing rises in surface temperatures outside of the tropical Pacific.
The
changing temperature and chemistry of the Arctic Ocean and Bering Sea are likely
changing their role in
global ocean
circulation and as carbon sinks for
atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these
changes in the
global carbon budget remains unresolved.
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think of no other force that can
change or reverse in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average
global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random
atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch Cycles.
Motivated by findings that major components of so - called cloud «feedbacks» are best understood as rapid responses to CO2 forcing (Gregory and Webb in J Clim 21:58 — 71, 2008), the top of atmosphere (TOA) radiative effects from forcing, and the subsequent responses to
global surface temperature
changes from all «
atmospheric feedbacks» (water vapour, lapse rate, surface albedo, «surface temperature» and cloud) are examined in detail in a General
Circulation Model.
Today, scientists fear not so much
global warming as
changes in
atmospheric circulation.
[A] now - classic set of General
Circulation Model (GCM) experiments ¬ produced
global average surface temperature
changes (due to doubled
atmospheric CO2 concentration) ranging from 1.9 °C to 5.4 °C, simply by altering the way that cloud radiative properties were treated in the model.
These climate
changes are a result of human and natural climate forcings and feedbacks — the relative role of each in altering
atmospheric and ocean
circulation features, and even the
global annual average radiative forcing, however, is still uncertain.
While on first thought this might seem undesirable because we are looking for a
global number, it might make sense to separate them due to the large difference in land / ocean ratio and the fact that
atmospheric circulation patterns isolate them WRT shorter term
changes.
Even seemingly small
changes in
global temperature have far - reaching effects on sea level,
atmospheric circulation, and weather patterns around the globe.
Anomalies in the volcanic - aerosol induced
global radiative heating distribution can force signifi cant
changes in
atmospheric circulation, for example, perturbing the equator - to - pole heating gradient (Stenchikov et al., 2002; Ramaswamy et al., 2006a; see Section 9.2) and forcing a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation that in turn causes a counterintuitive boreal winter warming at middle and high latitudes over Eurasia and North America (Perlwitz and Graf, 2001; Stenchikov et al., 2002,2004, 2006; Shindell et al., 2003b, 2004; Perlwitz and Harnik, 2003; Rind et al., 2005; Miller et al., 2006).
1) Abstract «Such
changes could have significant ramifications for
global sea level, the ocean thermohaline
circulation, native coastal communities, and commercial activities, as well as effects on the
global surface energy and moisture budgets,
atmospheric and oceanic
circulations, and geosphere - biosphere feedbacks.
Scientists expect rainfall extremes to
change in Europe under future climate conditions responding to
changes in large - scale
atmospheric circulation driven by
global warming.