Regional differences in the observed SST
changes after volcanic eruptions are expected, partly because of spatial differences in climate noise.
Not exact matches
In fact, the rate of
change of CO2 levels actually drops slightly
after a
volcanic eruption, possibly due to the cooling effect of aerosols.
The models currently assume a generally static global energy budget with relatively little internal system variability so that measurable
changes in the various input and output components can only occur from external forcing agents such as
changes in the CO2 content of the air caused by human emissions or perhaps temporary
after effects from
volcanic eruptions, meteorite strikes or significant
changes in solar power output.
«Climate models used historic data for factors like greenhouse gas concentrations, solar output,
volcanic eruptions, air pollution, and other factors that can affect the climate through 2005 or so, but
after that point made assumptions of how these would
change in the future.
As they stand at present the models assume a generally static global energy budget with relatively little internal system variability so that measurable
changes in the various input and output components can only occur from external forcing agents such as
changes in the CO2 content of the air caused by human emissions or perhaps temporary
after effects from
volcanic eruptions, meteorite strikes or significant
changes in solar power output.
We'd expect to see the imprint of this large error in comparisons with observed surface temperature
changes over the 20th century (37 - 42), and in comparisons with the observed cooling
after large
volcanic eruptions (30, 43, 44).