Figure 12: «Earthshine
changes in albedo shown in blue, ISCCP - FD shown in black and CERES in red.
Not exact matches
Claquin et al's model - derived findings
show a
change in tropical atmospheric forcing of «-- 2.2 to — 3.2 W m — 2» between PI and LGM earth, due to the increased
albedo of atmospheric dust.
It is not that the polar regions are amplifying the warming «going on» at lower latitudes, it is that any warming going on AT THE POLES is amplified through inherent positive feedback processes AT THE POLES, and specifically this is primarily the ice -
albedo positive feedback process whereby more open water leads to more warming leads to more open water, etc. *** «Climate model simulations have
shown that ice
albedo feedbacks associated with variations
in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor
in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify climate
change at high northern latitudes...»
«Climate model simulations have
shown that ice
albedo feedbacks associated with variations
in snow and sea - ice coverage are a key factor
in positive feedback mechanisms which amplify climate
change at high northern latitudes...»
At best, maybe jetfuel would be on to something if the
change in seasonal ice / snow cover
in Canada is measurably altering the
albedo, as scaddenp notes, but I doubt we'll see jetfuel come up with any evidence
showing the existence or magnitude of such an effect.
The
change in albedo equates to a
change in energy received; as Figure 1
shows, it is approximately 10 watts per square meter (W / m2) for the period of record.
As I pointed out at the Bishop, a recent update of the Met Office model
shows changes of up to 15 W / m ^ 2 due to «improvements»
in albedo and emissivity.
Charney was indulging
in speculation, for computer models of the time were too crude to
show what a regional
change of
albedo would actually do to the winds.
For example, I
show in «The Tropical Thunderstorm Hypothesis» that the
change from clear to cumulus conditions increases the
albedo by about 60 w / m2, a large effect.
Figure 1
shows change in clear - sky
albedo between the mean of the last five Septembers (2007 — 2011) and the mean of the first five Septembers (2000 — 2004) of the CERES record.
frankclimate: Tsushima and Manabe (2013)
shows that various AOGCMs disagree seriously with each other and with CERES about the
change the seasonal cycle for: 1) OLR from cloudy skies, 2) OSR from cloudy skies, and 3) OSR from clear skies (seasonal
change in surface
albedo).
A slight
change of ocean temperature (after a delay caused by the high specific heat of water, the annual mixing of thermocline waters with deeper waters
in storms) ensures that rising CO2 reduces infrared absorbing H2O vapour while slightly increasing cloud cover (thus Earth's
albedo), as evidenced by the fact that the NOAA data from 1948 - 2008
shows a fall
in global humidity (not the positive feedback rise presumed by NASA's models!)
Hall and Qu (2006)
showed that differences among models
in seasonal northern hemisphere surface
albedo changes are well correlated with global - warming
albedo changes in CMIP3 models.
Recent research has
shown that temperature
changes in the Arctic are magnified by feedback over and above the effect of
changing albedo due to reduced snow and ice cover.
Figure 2
shows changes in albedo calculated
in Palle 2004 from reconstructed satellite data (black line) and Earthshine measurements (blue line).
I've always said that the current drop
in Arctic Ice Extent might have roots
in soot from the industrialization of Asia causing an
albedo change which really took off
in the 1990 ′ s, would
show up
in the summer melt season when solar irradiance is at a peak
in the Arctic.
Hall and Qu (2006)
show that biases of a number of MMD models
in reproducing the observed seasonal cycle of land snow cover (especially the spring melt) are tightly related to the large variations
in snow
albedo feedback strength simulated by the same models
in climate
change scenarios.
Does anyone know of a good graph which
shows the
change in albedo over the last... well, as far back as possible?