Sentences with phrase «changes in atmospheric circulation patterns»

Full text here: Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends.
Regarding the hydrologic cycle, multiple factors operate, including important changes in atmospheric circulation patterns, as Chris Colose mentioned.
The current California drought is bad because for the first time ever, scientists from many different fields see parallel lines of evidence for the influence of human - induced climate changes, including the fingerprints of higher temperatures and changes in the atmospheric circulation patterns.
These aspects of precipitation generally exhibit large natural variability, and El Niño and changes in atmospheric circulation patterns such as the North Atlantic Oscillation have a substantial influence.
As I have also noted in recent public comments, additional mechanisms have been identified by which changes in atmospheric circulation patterns that may be a result of global warming could be affecting droughts in the American West.

Not exact matches

Lyon thinks this change in temperatures has altered atmospheric circulation patterns, cutting off the supply of moisture to east Africa (Geophysical Research Letters, DOI: 10.1029 / 2011GL050337).
World weather patterns will also start to change, as a frigid Antarctic continent and the icy ocean currents that surround it play an important role in global atmospheric and oceanic circulation.
The researchers warn, however, that the future evolution of the AMO remains uncertain, with many factors potentially affecting how it interacts with atmospheric circulation patterns, such as Arctic sea ice loss, changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
As discussed in the Climate chapter, large - scale atmospheric circulation patterns connected to changes in sea - surface temperatures strongly influence natural variations in precipitation and temperature (e.g., Cayan et al. 1999; Mantua and Hare 2002).
Natural factors contributing to past climate change are well documented and include changes in atmospheric chemistry, ocean circulation patterns, solar radiation intensity, snow and ice cover, Earth's orbital cycle around the sun, continental position, and volcanic eruptions.
Resulting changes in the atmospheric temperature structure, including from surface dimming, in turn affect regional circulation and precipitation patterns.
The assessment considered the impacts of several key drivers of climate change: sea level change; alterations in precipitation patterns and subsequent delivery of freshwater, nutrients, and sediment; increased ocean temperature; alterations in circulation patterns; changes in frequency and intensity of coastal storms; and increased levels of atmospheric CO2.
Would somebody here, like to explain to me how we can lose Arctic Sea ice (in part or in whole) without changing the atmospheric circulation patterns?
However, if the loss of Arctic Sea ice has significantly changed global atmospheric circulation patterns, then we are dealing with a different system that has only been in existence since 2007, and we do not know how often to expect crop failures.
How do the complex feedbacks change atmospheric circulation patterns, and the interaction of these patterns to changes in ice cap topography (e.g. at the LGM)?
And given the fact that land warms more quickly than ocean, resulting in areas of low pressure over land, changing patterns of atmospheric and oceanic circulation are bringing them to the coasts — where so much life's diversity is found.
All climate models tell us that it is the Arctic sea ice cover that declines first, and that Antarctic ice extent falls only later, and may even (as observed) temporarily increase in response to changing patterns of atmospheric circulation.
Its findings suggest that changing storm patterns and the ensuing droughts are due to a southern shift in the Hadley cell, the large - scale pattern of atmospheric circulation that transports heat from the tropics to the subtropics.
That, combined with the change in location of the convection, cause drastic changes in global atmospheric circulation patterns.
Diminishing Arctic sea ice can cause changes in atmospheric circulation that lead to a circulation pattern that is different than the «negative phase» of the Arctic Oscillation.
I will now analyse how the system could work and show that composition changes not involving changes in mass only affect atmospheric volume and circulation patterns and not surface temperature.
Yet, we explained there is also reasonable basis for concern that a warming world may at least temporarily increase tornado damage including the fact that oceans are now warmer, and regional ocean circulation cycles such as La Nina / El Nino patterns in the Pacific which affect upper atmospheric conditions appear to becoming more chaotic under the influence of climate change.
Francis, who wasn't involved with either study, is one of the main proponents of an idea that by altering how much heat the ocean lets out, sea ice melt and Arctic warming can also change atmospheric circulation patterns, in particular by making the jet stream form larger peaks, or highs, and troughs, or lows.
But matters are greatly complicated by atmospheric circulation patterns, cyclic changes in temperatures over the oceans, and the shapes of land masses.
A shift in atmospheric circulation in response to changes in solar activity is broadly consistent with atmospheric circulation patterns in long - term climate model simulations, and in reanalysis data that assimilate observations from recent solar minima into a climate model.
One recent study suggests that climate change favors an SST pattern in the North Pacific that increases the incidence of the atmospheric circulation pattern responsible for the current drought.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
The large interannual to decadal hydroclimatic variability in winter precipitation is highly influenced by sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the tropical Pacific Ocean and associated changes in large - scale atmospheric circulation patterns [16].
This Section places particular emphasis on current knowledge of past changes in key climate variables: temperature, precipitation and atmospheric moisture, snow cover, extent of land and sea ice, sea level, patterns in atmospheric and oceanic circulation, extreme weather and climate events, and overall features of the climate variability.
This change also shifts global atmospheric circulation patterns, causing rises in surface temperatures outside of the tropical Pacific.
One last point related to my last post, is the extent / degree of magnitude of a more meridional atmospheric circulation pattern (N.H. especially) could influence snow cover, cloud cover, and precipitation amounts which could set up stronger positive climatic feedbacks, which could then result in an even more significant climatic change going forward.
One important feature that plays a role in these variations is the periodic change of atmospheric and oceanic circulation patterns in the tropical Pacific region, collectively known as El Niño — Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variation»
Identifies changes in occurrence of atmospheric circulation patterns by measuring the similarity of the cool - season atmospheric configuration that occurred in each year of the 1949 — 2015 period with the configuration that occurred during each of the five driest, wettest, warmest, and coolest years
This report discusses our current understanding of the mechanisms that link declines in Arctic sea ice cover, loss of high - latitude snow cover, changes in Arctic - region energy fluxes, atmospheric circulation patterns, and the occurrence of extreme weather events; possible implications of more severe loss of summer Arctic sea ice upon weather patterns at lower latitudes; major gaps in our understanding, and observational and / or modeling efforts that are needed to fill those gaps; and current opportunities and limitations for using Arctic sea ice predictions to assess the risk of temperature / precipitation anomalies and extreme weather events over northern continents.
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think of no other force that can change or reverse in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch Cycles.
The seasonal climate may relate to changes in the ocean circulation pattern prior to 4.6 Ma that resulted in an increased temperature and atmospheric pressure gradient between the east coast of North America and the Atlantic Ocean, but this climate phase seems to be only a temporary condition, as underlying and overlying sediment are both consistent with drier conditions.
Abrupt climate change due to variations in the atmospheric circulation and its attendant patterns of climate variability can arise through two principal mechanisms: (1) through abrupt changes in the time - dependent behavior of the circulation; or (2) through slowly evolving changes in the circulation that project onto large horizontal gradients in surface weather.
Arctic ice melt itself is expected to lead to a change in polar atmospheric circulation patterns, which will likely produce a shift in seasonal climate patterns.
In both the tropics and extratropics, it is difficult to discern significant long - term trends in the patterns of climate variability from natural variability, never mind abrupt (threshold) changes in the atmospheric circulatioIn both the tropics and extratropics, it is difficult to discern significant long - term trends in the patterns of climate variability from natural variability, never mind abrupt (threshold) changes in the atmospheric circulatioin the patterns of climate variability from natural variability, never mind abrupt (threshold) changes in the atmospheric circulatioin the atmospheric circulation.
Identify the impacts of a changing climate on sea ice loss; sea ice loss on patterns of atmospheric circulation and precipitation; oceanic circulation both within and beyond the Arctic, including the meridional overturning circulation in the Atlantic Ocean; and weather patterns in middle latitudes.
Climate models disagree in pattern and magnitude of projected changes in atmospheric circulation and climate variability, particularly for precipitation (e.g., with respect to the Indian and West African monsoons).
In addition, human - induced climate change may alter atmospheric circulation, dislocating historical patterns of natural variability and storminess.
There is growing observational data, physical analysis of possible mechanisms, and model agreement that human - caused climate change is strengthening atmospheric circulation patterns in a way «which implies that the periodic and inevitable droughts California will experience will exhibit more severity...» «there is a traceable anthropogenic warming footprint in the enormous intensity of the anomalous ridge during winter 2013 — 2014 and the associated drought.»
While on first thought this might seem undesirable because we are looking for a global number, it might make sense to separate them due to the large difference in land / ocean ratio and the fact that atmospheric circulation patterns isolate them WRT shorter term changes.
Even seemingly small changes in global temperature have far - reaching effects on sea level, atmospheric circulation, and weather patterns around the globe.
Variations in ocean circulation speeds account for significant instances of climate change, changing the hydrological cycle and altering atmospheric circulation patterns as well.
The focus on Europe, aided by the increase in resolution, has revealed previously undiscussed impacts, particularly those associated with changing atmospheric circulation patterns.
Regional patterns of sea surface temperature change: a source of uncertainty in future projections of precipitation and atmospheric circulation.
The Barbados annual dust cycle is linked to the cycle of dust activity in North Africa and to seasonal changes in large - scale atmospheric circulation patterns.
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