Besides, I am currently at the WCRP conference in Denver, where the question of
changes in circulation patterns due to anthropogenic climate change as an issue for attribution of events has been put up (but not answered...) just this morning...
Even modest
changes in circulation patterns could significantly alter air temperature trends
He has detected 13 UHI - affected stations and a number for which data were confused by site changes or
changes in circulation patterns.
There are continuing major questions about the future of the great ice sheets of Greenland and West Antarctica; the thawing of vast deposits of frozen methane;
changes in the circulation patterns of the North Atlantic; the potential for runaway warming; and the impacts of ocean carbonization and acidification.
«The Greenland ice sheet as a whole is shrinking, melting and reducing in size as the result of globally changing air and ocean temperatures and associated
changes in circulation patterns in both the ocean and atmosphere,» Muenchow said.
Although the rising average global surface temperature is an indicator of the degree of disruption that we have imposed on the global climate system, what's actually happening involves
changes in circulation patterns, changes in precipitation patterns, and changes in extremes.
Many previous publications noted the rather sudden and decisive
change in the circulation patterns and upwelling characteristics in the Pacific that began around 1976 and continued to 1998.
This seems to be caused primarily by
a change in the circulation patterns in the Pacific Ocean, although solar cooling is also contributing to an extent that is uncertain.
Not exact matches
«These
changes in large - scale
circulation patterns during summer are especially pronounced over the Arctic and the North Atlantic.
Co-author Professor Jonathan Bamber, based at the University of Bristol, and President of the European Geoscience Union (EGU), added: «We are seeing
changes in the large - scale
circulation patterns, which leads to more frequent sunshine and higher amounts of solar energy reaching the surface of the ice sheet.
They range from
changes in ocean
circulation patterns caused by glacial meltwater entering the ocean to the cosmic - impact theory.
Alternatively, the loss of ice may have
changed air
circulation patterns above the Arctic
in ways that have similarly «locked
in» the
change.
Lyon thinks this
change in temperatures has altered atmospheric
circulation patterns, cutting off the supply of moisture to east Africa (Geophysical Research Letters, DOI: 10.1029 / 2011GL050337).
Ongoing
changes in ocean
circulation patterns, which are helping to drive warm water from other parts of the sea closer to the Antarctic continent, are also believed to be a major factor.
World weather
patterns will also start to
change, as a frigid Antarctic continent and the icy ocean currents that surround it play an important role
in global atmospheric and oceanic
circulation.
He believes that no one has thought of combining the two theories before because it's not an intuitive idea to look at how the effects of
changing patterns of ocean
circulation, which occur on time scales of thousands of years, would effect global silicate weathering, which
in turn controls global climate on time scales of 100s of thousands of years.
The second theory focuses on dramatic
changes in the
patterns of ocean
circulation.
The deepening of the Drake Passage resulted
in a
change in ocean
circulation that resulted
in warm waters being directed northwards
in circulation patterns like those found
in the Gulf Stream that currently warms northwestern Europe.
The researchers warn, however, that the future evolution of the AMO remains uncertain, with many factors potentially affecting how it interacts with atmospheric
circulation patterns, such as Arctic sea ice loss,
changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and concentrations of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere.
This new information can be incorporated into current climate models to predict future
changes in the magnitude and
pattern of the Walker
Circulation due to increased greenhouse gas emissions.
They will look for evidence of temperature
changes caused by ocean
circulation patterns in both the North Atlantic and tropical Pacific Oceans, which drive precipitation
in Tibet as well as the Indian monsoons.
Previously, scientists proposed that
changes in the
circulation of molten material
in Earth's mantle — the slow - flowing material that lies between our planet's core and its crust — pushed the terrain east of the Andes upward, thereby
changing drainage
patterns.
«When water's unusually warm off our coast, it's because the
circulation and
patterns in the atmosphere has
changed, bringing warm water from elsewhere — and this is happening at the same time that we also see high domoic acid
in shellfish.
They showed that temperatures warmed
in both the North Pacific and Greenland, likely due to
changes in ocean
circulation patterns.
«Unabated climate
change will probably further weaken summer
circulation patterns which could thus aggravate the risk of heat waves,» says co-author Jascha Lehmann «Remarkably, climate simulations for the next decades, the CMIP5, show the same link that we found
in observations.
[Response: Well, something like a
circulation changed forced by the NAO
pattern (which may
in turn be affected by greenhouse gases) might cause an increase
in European air temperatures, which
in turn would allow low level moisture to increase if there is enough moisture supply, which would then constitute an amplification of a signal driven remotely.
As discussed
in the Climate chapter, large - scale atmospheric
circulation patterns connected to
changes in sea - surface temperatures strongly influence natural variations
in precipitation and temperature (e.g., Cayan et al. 1999; Mantua and Hare 2002).
The first collection of papers establishes that (a) decadal and multi-decadal ocean
circulation patterns (AMO, PDO, NAO, ENSO) have significantly modulated precipitation and temperature
changes in recent decades, and the second collection of papers confirm that (b) natural ocean oscillations are,
in turn, modulated by solar activity.
Natural factors contributing to past climate
change are well documented and include
changes in atmospheric chemistry, ocean
circulation patterns, solar radiation intensity, snow and ice cover, Earth's orbital cycle around the sun, continental position, and volcanic eruptions.
Resulting
changes in the atmospheric temperature structure, including from surface dimming,
in turn affect regional
circulation and precipitation
patterns.
However, no
change in the nature or terms of the scheme, known as fundamental attributes of the scheme e.g. structure, investment
pattern, etc., can be carried out unless a written communication is sent to each unit holder and an advertisement is given
in one English daily newspaper having nationwide
circulation and
in a newspaper published
in the language of the region where the head office of the mutual fund is situated.
This can only result
in major
changes to the earth's climate, oceanic
circulation patterns, etc..
The assessment considered the impacts of several key drivers of climate
change: sea level
change; alterations
in precipitation
patterns and subsequent delivery of freshwater, nutrients, and sediment; increased ocean temperature; alterations
in circulation patterns;
changes in frequency and intensity of coastal storms; and increased levels of atmospheric CO2.
Would somebody here, like to explain to me how we can lose Arctic Sea ice (
in part or
in whole) without
changing the atmospheric
circulation patterns?
There has been an ongoing debate, both
in and outside the scientific community, whether rapid climate
change in the Arctic might affect
circulation patterns in the mid-latitudes, and thereby possibly the frequency or intensity of extreme weather events.
However, if the loss of Arctic Sea ice has significantly
changed global atmospheric
circulation patterns, then we are dealing with a different system that has only been
in existence since 2007, and we do not know how often to expect crop failures.
How do the complex feedbacks
change atmospheric
circulation patterns, and the interaction of these
patterns to
changes in ice cap topography (e.g. at the LGM)?
And given the fact that land warms more quickly than ocean, resulting
in areas of low pressure over land,
changing patterns of atmospheric and oceanic
circulation are bringing them to the coasts — where so much life's diversity is found.
I'm still inclined to think that subtle
changes in ocean
circulation patterns, with resulting local effects on climate, are more likley to be responsible.
The effects of
circulation change in the North Atlantic are different to (potentially solar - driven) rainfall variability
in the sub-tropics and are different again from the impacts of
changing frequency and intensity
in El Nino
patterns.
These shape the 4 - dimensional
pattern of temperature and other
changes — the
patterns of
circulation, latent heating, and precipitation will shift, as can the cycles driven the imposed diurnal and seasonal cycles
in incident solar radiation; the texture of internal variability can also shift.
All climate models tell us that it is the Arctic sea ice cover that declines first, and that Antarctic ice extent falls only later, and may even (as observed) temporarily increase
in response to
changing patterns of atmospheric
circulation.
The jet stream off the East Coast of the United States controls an important climate
pattern in the Atlantic... «The North Atlantic Oscillation is really driving these
changes in ocean
circulation,» said Gerald McCarthy, lead study author and an oceanographer at the University of Southampton
in the United Kingdom....
There is also a natural variability of the climate system (about a zero reference point) that produces El Nino and La Nina effects arising from
changes in ocean
circulation patterns that can make the global temperature increase or decrease, over and above the global warming due to CO2.
Its findings suggest that
changing storm
patterns and the ensuing droughts are due to a southern shift
in the Hadley cell, the large - scale
pattern of atmospheric
circulation that transports heat from the tropics to the subtropics.
Abstract: «The
patterns of time / space
changes in near - surface temperature due to the separate forcing components are simulated with a coupled atmosphere — ocean general
circulation model»
That, combined with the
change in location of the convection, cause drastic
changes in global atmospheric
circulation patterns.
Diminishing Arctic sea ice can cause
changes in atmospheric
circulation that lead to a
circulation pattern that is different than the «negative phase» of the Arctic Oscillation.
I will now analyse how the system could work and show that composition
changes not involving
changes in mass only affect atmospheric volume and
circulation patterns and not surface temperature.
Shifting currents, increased freshwater input from melting sea ice and glaciers, and
changes in upper and lower sea - level
circulation patterns are already occurring, and they'll progress rapidly if anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission continues under a business - as - usual scenario.