Sentences with phrase «changes in extreme rainfall»

While it is «likely» that anthropogenic influences are behind the changes in cold days and warm days, there is only «medium confidence» that they are behind changes in extreme rainfall events, and «low confidence» in attributing any changes in tropical cyclone activity to greenhouse gas emissions or anything else humanity has done.

A group of researchers from Germany has taken to investigating the potential changes in extreme rainfall patterns across the UK as a result of future global warming and has found that in some regions, the time of year when we see the heaviest rainfall is set to shift.

Not exact matches

Climate change is «playing an increasing role in the increasing frequency of some types of extreme weather that lead to billion - dollar disasters, most notably the rise in vulnerability to drought, lengthening wildfire seasons and the potential for extremely heavy rainfall and inland flooding,» Smith said.

Growing scarcity In addition to a growing scarcity of natural resources such as land, water and biodiversity «global agriculture will have to cope with the effects of climate change, notably higher temperatures, greater rainfall variability and more frequent extreme weather events such as floods and droughts,» Diouf warned.

While the trends associated with climate change — hotter days, heavier rainfall and a greater number of extreme weather events — are present in the models, for many crops in Africa and Asia it's not clear how extensive the effects will be.

New Zealand experienced an extreme two - day rainfall in December 2011; researchers said 1 to 5 percent more moisture was available for that event due to climate change, which is increasing the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere.

Climate change caused by rising concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is causing more extreme rainfall and snowfall — and floods

When in January rainfall was double the expected average over wide areas, many people made cautious links between such extreme weather and global climate change.

Loecke and co-author Amy Burgin, associate professor of environmental studies, said the extreme flux between drought and rainfall changes the storage of nutrients in the agricultural landscape — nitrogen used in fertilizing farms most importantly.

The indications of climate change are all around us today but now researchers have revealed for the first time when and where the first clear signs of global warming appeared in the temperature record and where those signals are likely to be clearly seen in extreme rainfall events in the near future.

Although it has been previously documented that overall monsoon rainfall has lessened, few researchers have found changes in extremes.

Overall, the chances of seeing a rainfall event as intense as Harvey have roughly tripled - somewhere between 1.5 and five times more likely - since the 1900s and the intensity of such an event has increased between 8 percent and 19 percent, according to the new study by researchers with World Weather Attribution, an international coalition of scientists that objectively and quantitatively assesses the possible role of climate change in individual extreme weather events.

Dr Stephen Grimes of Plymouth University, who initiated the research project, highlighted the climate changes that must have caused this increase in sediment erosion and transport — «We have climate model simulations of the effect of warming on rainfall during the PETM event, and they show some changes in the average amounts of rainfall, but the largest change is how this rainfall is packaged up — it's concentrated in more rapid, extreme events — larger and bigger storms.»

«Observing rainfall in an El Niño year is especially interesting because the prevailing precipitation patterns change, often in extreme ways.

«When you take a very, very rare, extreme rainfall event like Hurricane Harvey, and you shift the distribution of rain toward heavier amounts because of climate change, you get really big changes in the probability of those rare events,» Emanuel says.

«Snowfall extremes still occur in the same narrow temperature range with climate change, and so they respond differently to climate change compared to rainfall extremes or average snowfall.»

Such trends mean scientists and policymakers will have to factor in how synthetic climate forcers other than greenhouse gases will change temperature, rainfall and weather extremes.

Under the Obama administration, climate change has been on the Department of Defense's radar from how it affects national security to how military installations around the world should prepare for climate impacts, like sea level rise at naval bases, melting permafrost in the Arctic and more extreme rainfall events around the world.

Lead author Dr Nathalie Schaller of Oxford University's Department of Physics said: «We found that extreme rainfall, as seen in January 2014, is more likely to occur in a changing climate.

Co-author Dr Alison Kay from the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology said: «Our hydrological modelling suggests that the increased likelihood of extreme rainfall arising from human - made climate change gives a more modest increase in extreme flows in the River Thames.

Various studies predict an average 30 percent reduction in farm incomes due to climate change impacts, including greater extremes in temperatures and rainfall (floods, droughts) and the emergence of new pest and disease strains.

In Canada, an extreme rainfall event, made worse by a stalled weather system likely powered by an unstable Arctic and climate change, has closed down the country's oil trading capital.

NASA in America, hardly a radical source, confirms we can expect more extreme rainfall events due to climate change.

For example, the extreme drought that gripped Indonesia during summer and fall (leading to an intense wildfire season) was caused by a dearth of rainfall linked to El Niño and higher temperatures linked to climate change, one study in the report found.

In 2014, Climate Central helped create the World Weather Attribution (WWA) initiative, a groundbreaking international effort to analyze and communicate the possible influence of climate change on extreme weather events such as storms, extreme rainfall, heat waves, cold spells, and droughts.

«The recent study suggests that the extreme rainfall component of Hurricane Harvey was made 15 % more intense due to climate change, which is broadly in agreement with the atmospheric theory that has been developed in this area.

«Harvey was not caused by climate change, yet its impacts — the storm surge, and especially the extreme rainfall — very likely worsened due to human - caused global warming,» said Stefan Rahmstorf, a researcher with the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, in a statement.

Climate change could mean England is in for more such extreme rainfall events because of increasing moisture in the atmosphere and changes in atmospheric weather patterns, a new study detailed online Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change change could mean England is in for more such extreme rainfall events because of increasing moisture in the atmosphere and changes in atmospheric weather patterns, a new study detailed online Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change Change finds.

However, simple statistical reasoning indicates that substantial changes in the frequency of extreme events (and in the maximum feasible extreme, e.g., the maximum possible 24 - hour rainfall at a specific location) can result from a relatively small shift of the distribution of a weather or climate variable.

The pattern of rainfall in the spring is characteristic of La Niña although the extreme nature of the changes is not.

Dean, Sam M., Suzanne Rosier, Trevor Carey - Smith and Peter A. Stott, 2013: The role of climate change in the two - day extreme rainfall in Golden Bay, New Zealand, December 2011 [in «Explaining Extreme Events of 2012 from a Climate Perspective»].

The role of climate change in causing extreme heat waves, drastic rainfall, negative impacts on human health and threatened food security have received more attention recently than megadrought.

It's difficult to say for certain that a particular extreme event for the monsoon is attributable to anthropogenic climate change — like the Pakistan floods of 2010 — but we do know that with a warming climate more moisture can be held in the atmosphere, leading to heavier rainfall when it does occur.

For example, let's say that evidence convinced me (in a way that I wasn't convinced previously) that all recent changes in land surface temperatures and sea surface temperatures and atmospheric temperatures and deep sea temperatures and sea ice extent and sea ice volume and sea ice density and moisture content in the air and cloud coverage and rainfall and measures of extreme weather were all directly tied to internal natural variability, and that I can now see that as the result of a statistical modeling of the trends as associated with natural phenomena.

The relationship between SSTs and spatial gradients in changes in (extreme) precipitation is an important finding for analysing necessary measures to anticipate future changes in the spatial and temporal distribution of rainfall in the country.

People are already experiencing the impacts of climate change through slow onset changes, for example sea level rise and greater variability in the seasonality of rainfall, and through extreme weather events, particularly extremes of heat, rainfall and coastal storm surges.

According to a study published in the latest Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society (BAMS) special issue on attribution, climate change did not contribute to the extreme five - day rainfall event that caused the floods.

Worldwide there will likely be an average increase in the maximum wind speed of tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons) of 2 to 11 %.6 Because of the way extremes respond to changes such as these, Category 4 and 5 hurricanes are expected to nearly double in number by the end of the century.7 The rate of rainfall associated with tropical cyclones, an important factor in flooding, is expected to increase approximately 20 % within 100 km of the center of these storms.8

«The CCR - II report correctly explains that most of the reports on global warming and its impacts on sea - level rise, ice melts, glacial retreats, impact on crop production, extreme weather events, rainfall changes, etc. have not properly considered factors such as physical impacts of human activities, natural variability in climate, lopsided models used in the prediction of production estimates, etc..

Also, changes in the frequency of other, smaller scale weather extremes, notably droughts, heat waves, wildfires, and extreme rainfall, although they have not been specifically assessed here, can occur.

Their work, published in the journal Reviews of Geophysics, summarizes current research on the analysis of future changes to the intensity, duration and frequency of short - duration extreme rainfall.

«Snowfall extremes still occur in the same narrow temperature range with climate change, and so they respond differently to climate change compared to rainfall extremes or average snowfall.»

Rigorous scientific analysis has found that the extreme rainfall that caused a Texas flooding in May of 2015, for example, was caused by a fairly typical rainfall pattern associated with that year's El Niño, a naturally occurring climate cycle, which had been supercharged by human - made climate change.

Publishing in the Reviews of Geophysics, Westra et al (2014) summarize the current state of research in the analysis of future changes to the intensity, frequency and duration of extreme rainfall.

In the first decade of the new millennium, extreme rainfall events combined with changes in land use have resulted in an increase in floods and an increase in annual average flood losses from $ 6 billion to $ 10 billion despite the billions of dollars invested in flood controIn the first decade of the new millennium, extreme rainfall events combined with changes in land use have resulted in an increase in floods and an increase in annual average flood losses from $ 6 billion to $ 10 billion despite the billions of dollars invested in flood controin land use have resulted in an increase in floods and an increase in annual average flood losses from $ 6 billion to $ 10 billion despite the billions of dollars invested in flood controin an increase in floods and an increase in annual average flood losses from $ 6 billion to $ 10 billion despite the billions of dollars invested in flood controin floods and an increase in annual average flood losses from $ 6 billion to $ 10 billion despite the billions of dollars invested in flood controin annual average flood losses from $ 6 billion to $ 10 billion despite the billions of dollars invested in flood controin flood control.

A pronounced shift can be seen in extreme rainfall events, heat waves and wind storms and the underlying reason is climate change, says Muir - Wood, driven by rising greenhouse gas emissions.

Meanwhile, there was just «medium confidence» that man is responsible for extreme rainfall changes and «low confidence» that variations in tropical cyclones could be attributed to humanity's relatively insignificant carbon emissions.

The Agriculture Department will have to deal with droughts and changing rainfall patterns, but its employees have been barred from even discussing the problem openly, as leadership has instructed them to use «weather extremes» instead of «climate change» in reports.

Shows that the changes in discharge extremes are related to the regional pluriannual rainfall variability and the associated atmospheric circulation as well as to tropical large - scale climatic indicators

The map (above) shows predicted changes in the annual number of days of extreme rainfall (defined as rainfall totals in excess of the historic 98th percentile) across the United States by 2041 - 2070 as compared to 1971 - 2000 if greenhouse gases continue to increase at a high rate (A2 scenario).