While the state of the climate clearly involves much more than just global temperature,
changes in global temperatures do indicate the scale of different climatic events, both natural and man - made.
Not exact matches
Actually
global heating (climate
change) will make the point of whether these fantasy gods are whatever stupid people believe them to be a moot point
in a few years as humans and all living things
do a slow roast as
temperatures climb higher and remain there for hundreds of years....
«This Agreement,
in enhancing the implementation of the [2015 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change], including its objective, aims to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change, in the context of sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty, including by: (a) Holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change; (b) Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse gas emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten food production; and (c) Making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate - resilient develo
Change], including its objective, aims to strengthen the
global response to the threat of climate
change, in the context of sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty, including by: (a) Holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change; (b) Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse gas emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten food production; and (c) Making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate - resilient develo
change,
in the context of sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty, including by: (a) Holding the increase
in the
global average
temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the
temperature increase to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, recognizing that this would significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate
change; (b) Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse gas emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten food production; and (c) Making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate - resilient develo
change; (b) Increasing the ability to adapt to the adverse impacts of climate
change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse gas emissions development, in a manner that does not threaten food production; and (c) Making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate - resilient develo
change and foster climate resilience and low greenhouse gas emissions development,
in a manner that
does not threaten food production; and (c) Making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions and climate - resilient development.
«
In the public's eye, radical change in a glacier — or a glacier that doesn't exist anymore — is a lot more tangible than a half - a-degree change in global temperature,» he sai
In the public's eye, radical
change in a glacier — or a glacier that doesn't exist anymore — is a lot more tangible than a half - a-degree change in global temperature,» he sai
in a glacier — or a glacier that doesn't exist anymore — is a lot more tangible than a half - a-degree
change in global temperature,» he sai
in global temperature,» he said.
Laaksonen and his colleagues
did not try to predict how Finland's
temperatures will
change in the coming decades, but according to the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's latest report, Arctic temperatures are likely to continue rising faster than the global average through the end of the 21st ce
change in the coming decades, but according to the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change's latest report, Arctic temperatures are likely to continue rising faster than the global average through the end of the 21st ce
Change's latest report, Arctic
temperatures are likely to continue rising faster than the
global average through the end of the 21st century.
Ice core data from the poles clearly show dramatic swings
in average
global temperatures, but researchers still don't know how local ecosystems reacted to the
change.
What's more, O'Gorman found that there's a narrow daily
temperature range, just below the freezing point,
in which extreme snow events tend to occur — a sweet spot that
does not
change with
global warming.
Fact # 1: Carbon Dioxide is a Heat - Trapping Gas Fact # 2: We Are Adding More Carbon Dioxide to the Atmosphere All the Time Fact # 3:
Temperatures are Rising Fact # 4: Sea Level is Rising Fact # 5: Climate
Change Can be Natural, but What's Happening Now Can't be Explained by Natural Forces Fact # 6: The Terms «
Global Warming» and «Climate
Change» Are Almost Interchangeable Fact # 7: We Can Already See The Effects of Climate
Change Fact # 8: Large Regions of The World Are Seeing a Significant Increase
In Extreme Weather Events, Including Torrential Rainstorms, Heat Waves And Droughts Fact # 9: Frost and Snowstorms Will Still Happen in a Warmer World Fact # 10: Global Warming is a Long - Term Trend; It Doesn't Mean Next Year Will Always Be Warmer Than This Ye
In Extreme Weather Events, Including Torrential Rainstorms, Heat Waves And Droughts Fact # 9: Frost and Snowstorms Will Still Happen
in a Warmer World Fact # 10: Global Warming is a Long - Term Trend; It Doesn't Mean Next Year Will Always Be Warmer Than This Ye
in a Warmer World Fact # 10:
Global Warming is a Long - Term Trend; It Doesn't Mean Next Year Will Always Be Warmer Than This Year
The team increased one forcing agent (see sidebar)
in a climate model, for example carbon dioxide, and decreased another, say methane, so that
global mean
temperature didn't
change.
The
global mean
temperature rise of less than 1 degree C
in the past century
does not seem like much, but it is associated with a winter
temperature rise of 3 to 4 degrees C over most of the Arctic
in the past 20 years, unprecedented loss of ice from all the tropical glaciers, a decrease of 15 to 20 %
in late summer sea ice extent, rising sealevel, and a host of other measured signs of anomalous and rapid climate
change.
Third, using a «semi-empirical» statistical model calibrated to the relationship between
temperature and
global sea - level
change over the last 2000 years, we find that,
in alternative histories
in which the 20th century
did not exceed the average
temperature over 500-1800 CE,
global sea - level rise
in the 20th century would (with > 95 % probability) have been less than 51 % of its observed value.
Moreover, «the findings of this study
do not support that climate
change, a rise
in global temperatures, increases the incidence of diabetes
in Canada or worldwide,» he said.
Although some earlier work along similar lines had been
done by other paleoclimate researchers (Ed Cook, Phil Jones, Keith Briffa, Ray Bradley, Malcolm Hughes, and Henry Diaz being just a few examples), before Mike, no one had seriously attempted to use all the available paleoclimate data together, to try to reconstruct the
global patterns of climate back
in time before the start of direct instrumental observations of climate, or to estimate the underlying statistical uncertainties
in reconstructing past
temperature changes.
On the possibility of a
changing cloud cover «forcing»
global warming
in recent times (assuming we can just ignore the CO2 physics and current literature on feedbacks, since I don't see a contradiction between an internal radiative forcing and positive feedbacks), one would have to explain a few things, like why the diurnal
temperature gradient would decrease with a planet being warmed by decreased albedo... why the stratosphere should cool... why winters should warm faster than summers... essentially the same questions that come with the cosmic ray hypothesis.
[Response: I suspect another common confusion here: the abrupt glacial climate events (you mention the Younger Dryas, but there's also the Dansgaard - Oeschger events and Heinrich events) are probably not big
changes in global mean
temperature, and therefore
do not need to be forced by any
global mean forcing like CO2, nor tell us anything about the climate sensitivity to such a
global forcing.
For instance,
in your scenario of a 20 - yr
temperature change of 0.3 ºC + / - 0.18 ºC, assuming a natural noise level (observed standard deviation of detrended annual
global temperatures from 1977 - 2004) of 0.085 ºC, a statistically significant difference
in the trend that leads to the lowest end of your range (a
change of 0.12 ºC) and the trend that leads to the highest end of your range (0.48 ºC) doesn't begin to rise above the level of noise until around year 16 or 17.
Terrell Johnson, reporting on a recent NASA publication concluding that deep ocean
temperatures have not increased since 2005 (http://www.weather.com/science/environment/news/deep-ocean-hasnt-warmed-nasa-20141007): «While the report's authors say the findings
do not question the overall science of climate
change, it is the latest
in a series of findings that show
global warming to have slowed considerably during the 21st century, despite continued rapid growth
in human - produced greenhouse gas emissions during the same time.»
ie
does a slightly lower density of air mean a slightly lower ground level
temperature (
temperature normally decreases with height at the lower air density), so that
in reality adding CO2 and subtracting more O2 actually causes miniscule or trivial
global COOLING, and the (unused) ability of the
changed atmosphere to absorb radiation energy and transmit it to the rest of the air is overruled or limited by the ideal gas law?
Why don't you take up an earlier suggestion from Ross McKitrick and endorse (
in summary here) that GHG emissions be taxed proportional to the actual
global temperature change?
Responses to the question: «
Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor
in changing mean
global temperatures?»
The standstil of
global average
temperature predicted by the «improved» modell compared to warming predicted from the «old» modell is nothing that happens
in the future, it should have happened (but
did not happen)
in the past, from 1985 to 1999: The «improved» modell (green graph) shows that the
global average
temperature did not
change from 1985 (= mean 1980 - 1990) to 1999 (= mean 1994 to 2004).
But it
does say; «Natural climate variations, which tend to involve localized
changes in sea surface
temperature, may have a larger effect on hurricane activity than the more uniform patterns of
global warming...»
But the evidence shows this can't be true;
temperature changes before CO2
in every record of any duration for any time period; CO2 variability
does not correlate with
temperature at any point
in the last 600 million years; atmospheric CO2 levels are currently at the lowest level
in that period;
in the 20th century most warming occurred before 1940 when human production of CO2 was very small; human production of CO2 increased the most after 1940 but
global temperatures declined to 1985; from 2000
global temperatures declined while CO2 levels increased; and any reduction
in CO2 threatens plant life, oxygen production, and therefore all life on the planet.
When the IPCC claimed that the GCM models (with GHG forcing included) could replicate the observed
changes in global average
temperatures do you know if they were referring to a truly
global measurement or were they just using the US temp record?
There can not be any accurate calculations regarding what the
temperature impact of UK decarbonization might be, simply because we
do not know what role CO2 plays, if any,
in global change.
First, I have read all I can on the subject, and I can find no - one who can explain,
in detail, why
global surface
temperatures change in the way that they
do.
I have looked at the physics that claims that this can be
done, and I am as certain as I can be that there is no proper physics that allows us to even estimate, let alone measure, how much
global temperature changes as a result of a
change in radiative forcing.
These differ from the glacial - interglacial cycles
in that they probably
do not involve large
changes in global mean
temperature:
changes are not synchronous
in Greenland and Antarctica, and they are
in the opposite direction
in the South and North Atlantic.
While a
global temperature metric for the near - surface tropospheric
temperatures is awkward
in that it
does not account for
changes in local climates, it is useful from the most important and broad perspective... as one more metric to indicate total energy flow
in and out of the Earth system.
Due to the important role of ozone
in driving
temperature changes in the stratosphere as well as radiative forcing of surface climate, several different groups have provided databases characterizing the time - varying concentrations of this key gas that can be used to force
global climate
change simulations (particularly for those models that
do not calculate ozone from photochemical principles).
In my earlier posting, I tried to make the distinction that global climate change (all that is changing in the climate system) can be separated into: (1) the global warming component that is driven primarily by the increase in greenhouse gases, and (2) the natural (externally unforced) variability of the climate system consisting of temperature fluctuations about an equilibrium reference point, which therefore do not contribute to the long - term tren
In my earlier posting, I tried to make the distinction that
global climate
change (all that is
changing in the climate system) can be separated into: (1) the global warming component that is driven primarily by the increase in greenhouse gases, and (2) the natural (externally unforced) variability of the climate system consisting of temperature fluctuations about an equilibrium reference point, which therefore do not contribute to the long - term tren
in the climate system) can be separated into: (1) the
global warming component that is driven primarily by the increase
in greenhouse gases, and (2) the natural (externally unforced) variability of the climate system consisting of temperature fluctuations about an equilibrium reference point, which therefore do not contribute to the long - term tren
in greenhouse gases, and (2) the natural (externally unforced) variability of the climate system consisting of
temperature fluctuations about an equilibrium reference point, which therefore
do not contribute to the long - term trend.
«With
global temperatures hitting a new record high and repeated episodes of severe weather, including flooding
in this country, helping people to understand the basic science behind climate
change as well as the consequences for our nature, our businesses and food supply feels like an important thing to
do.»
This is
done by scaling local to
global warming and by «coupled linkages» that show how other climate
changes, such as alterations
in the water cycle, scale with
temperature.»
Not only has the IPCC
done remarkably well
in projecting future
global surface
temperature changes thus far, but it has also performed far better than the few climate contrarians who have put their money where their mouth is with their own predictions.
Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor
in changing mean
global temperatures?»
Nor
does it seem a coincidence that shifts
in ocean and atmospheric indices occur at the same time as
changes in the trajectory of
global surface
temperature.
This is because, from the discussion above, we would expect to see sea level
changes, since
global temperatures do seem to have
changed over the last century (whether the
temperature trends are man - made or natural
in origin).
Given that there is still much we
do not know about climate
change — including why mean
global temperature has been flat for the past ten years — undermining confidence
in climate science can (further) undermine its ability to inform policy.
The long - term trend of TSI is most probably caused by a
global temperature change of the Sun that
does not influence the UV irradiance
in the same way as the surface magnetic fields.
The people
in charge of the surface stations and the data adjusters don't seem to understand that from a perspective of the climate history having any real utility
in indicating a «
global temperature trend» their sensors need to report the same values regardless of a
change in technology.
They correctly identify, as well, a 2009 survey of 3,146 earth scientists that asked the question, «
Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor
in changing mean
global temperatures?»
Those who support the theory of anthropogenic
global warming (AGW), now known as anthropogenic climate
change so that recent cooling can be included
in their scenario, always deny that the sun has anything to
do with recent
global temperature movements.
Policy - makers
did not much care about the average
global temperature — they wanted to know how things would
change in their own locality.
Mr. Dickson wrote passionately about several areas
in climate science that troubled him, including: first, the idea that 97 percent of climate scientists agree that climate
change is real, caused by humans, and a threat; second, the idea that government agencies had manipulated
temperature records to fit a narrative of warming; and third, that China is developing its coal resources so fast that nothing short of radical population control will save us, if burning fossil fuels really
does cause
global warming.
This is not some «climate science nobody who doesn't know what he is
doing» putting stuff together as they like to claim, this is NOAA hoist by their own published data which shows that they have
changed the 1997
global Temperature (not just USA) by over 2 degrees C (4 degrees F)
in 17 years of adjustments.
Measuring the
temperature difference from one year to another
in a single location has nothing to
do with climate
change on a
global basis.
As a consequence of the lack of standardization and the inherent difficulties involved
in gathering data from remote locations, the best we can
do estimating the
global mean
temperature (against which we estimate
change) is 14 ± 0.7 °C or between about 56 and 58 °F 7 — thus our margin of error is greater than our estimate of
change.
As I mentioned previously, the recent IPCC report has plenty of detractors and failed to mention the issue of melting methyl hydrates and methane emissions from melting permafrost, over strong objections, which the June, 2013 IEA - WEO follow - up climate
change report
did include when it forecast a 3.6 - 5.3 degree Celsius jump
in average
global temperatures by 2100.
Do you consider that an increase
in average
global temperature of 4 — 8 C would produce «adverse climate
change impacts»?
Sorry Pat, I neglected to reply to your question, «
Do you consider that an increase
in average
global temperature of 4 — 8 C would produce «adverse climate
change impacts»?