Gerard Roe (U. Washington) showed that the rate of change of global ice volume correlates beautifully with
the changes in incoming solar radiation due to Milankovitch cycles (Roe, 2006).
But an «insensitive» climate means that
changes in the incoming solar radiation, greenhouse gases, and so on, aren't going to have a big effect.
The IPCC acknowledges three potential drivers of climate change: (1)
changes in incoming solar radiation (e.g. due to changes in the Earth's orbit or the Sun); (2) changes in reflected solar radiation (e.g. due to changes in low - level cloud cover); and (3) changes in outgoing longwave radiation (e.g. due to changes in greenhouse gas concentrations).
Here's a little experiment that you can do to investigate how quickly the atmosphere can respond to
changes in incoming solar energy: go outside at midday.
I have sought the best empirical evidence to show how
changes in incoming solar radiation, accounted for by intrinsic solar magnetic modulation of the irradiance output as well as planetary modulation of the seasonal distribution of sunlight, affects the thermal properties of land and sea, including temperatures.
In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures,
changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors).
However,
the change in incoming solar radiation — insolation — at this timescale is small, and therefore difficult to reconcile with the amplitude of the glacial cycles.
Not exact matches
In other major
changes, under the Illinois
Solar For All program a minimum floor of 50 % of energy savings must be passed on to low and moderate income households by approved vendors, as solar developers are design
Solar For All program a minimum floor of 50 % of energy savings must be passed on to low and moderate
income households by approved vendors, as
solar developers are design
solar developers are designated.
It is the major factor governing how much
incoming solar radiation is used to melt the ice and is the main positive feedback
in Arctic climate
change.
The impact of grain size on albedo — the ratio between reflected and
incoming solar radiation — is strong
in the infrared range, where humans can't see, but satellite instruments can detect the
change.
I was mainly referring to the
change in the distribution of the
incoming solar energy, which from what I understand is rather large.
Although the primary driver of glacial — interglacial cycles lies
in the seasonal and latitudinal distribution of
incoming solar energy driven by
changes in the geometry of the Earth's orbit around the Sun («orbital forcing»), reconstructions and simulations together show that the full magnitude of glacial — interglacial temperature and ice volume
changes can not be explained without accounting for
changes in atmospheric CO2 content and the associated climate feedbacks.
The paragraph
in the OP you quote from as well as the one above it
in full are saying that the ice age cycles result from the Earth's
changing orbit round the sun which creates
changes in the «
incoming solar radiation (insolation) at high latitudes» (Roe (2006) PDF).
A
change of that magnitude
in the
incoming solar radiation itself is not possible since satellite observations would have seen it.
[Response: They are imposed directly as cyclic
changes in the amount (and spectra) of the
incoming solar radiation.
The
incoming solar radiation has
changed just a tiny bit
in comparison — since 1950, by the way, it has even decreased and thus offset a small part of the human - caused warming — hence humans have probably caused more warming than is observed (best estimate is 110 % of observed warming).
Residential
solar energy, although growing by leaps and bounds, tends to only be within reach of people with a middle class or higher
income, but a new initiative
in California aims to try to
change that, by offering home
solar arrays with no up - front costs to lower
income homeowners.
Save the average American family nearly $ 85 on their annual energy bill
in 2030, reducing enough energy to power 30 million homes, and save consumers a total of $ 155 billion from 2020 - 2030; Give a head start to wind and
solar deployment and prioritize the deployment of energy efficiency improvements
in low -
income communities that need it most early
in the program through a Clean Energy Incentive Program; and Continue American leadership on climate
change by keeping us on track to meet the economy - wide emissions targets we have set, including the goal of reducing emissions to 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020 and to 26 - 28 percent below 2005 levels by 2025.»
radiative forcing a
change in average net radiation at the top of the troposphere resulting from a
change in either
solar or infrared radiation due to a
change in atmospheric greenhouse gases concentrations; perturbance
in the balance between
incoming solar radiation and outgoing infrared radiation
Note that the inversion at the tropopause is entirely a result of ozone reacting with
incoming solar radiation and particles so any
change in the ozone creation / destruction balance is going to affect the air circulation below the tropopause.
According to their modeling studies, the difference
in the amount of
incoming solar radiation,
in this case, primarily
in the ultraviolet (UV) wavelengths, during the minima and maxima of the 11 - yr
solar cycle are large enough to produce a characteristic
change in the winter circulation pattern of the atmosphere over North America... When the NAO is
in its negative phase, more cold air can seep south from the Arctic and impact the lower latitudes of Europe and the eastern U.S., which helps spin up winter storm systems.
Dr Curry, When considering
changes in albedo due to melting, pools, etc, is there also consideration that the Sun is very low
in the sky and much of the
incoming Solar is reflected off water as glare?
The authors found that consistent with previous research,
changes in solar and volcanic activity, land cover, and
incoming solar radiation due to the Earth's orbital cycles were the main contributors to the cooling between the MWP and LIA (the years 900 — 1600), and probably also caused the cooling over the full 2,000 - year period.
Measures to reduce the heating and cooling needs of the passengers, for example by
changing window glass to reflect
incoming solar radiation, are included
in the group of measures.
These explanations may have to be revisited, but the correlations may still be valid, e.g., if it transpires that
solar variability influences the formation of the heavy phase, or if the
changes in incoming ultraviolet radiation are redistributed throughout the atmosphere, after absorption
in the stratosphere.
A small localized
change in surface temperature can cause a convection burst (thunderstorm) and a large increase
in convection height, improving both reflection of
incoming solar radiation, and conveying sensible heat to a higher altitude where it can then escape to space via radiative processes with far less interference.
UPDATED Sept. 5 I encourage anyone interested
in climate
change science and policy to explore the rich discussion below about geoengineering,
in this case mainly focused on managing
incoming solar radiation to counter CO2 - driven global warming — particularly
in the context of the long (and building) commitment to warming already baked into the climate system.
Radiative forcing: A
change in average net radiation at the top of the troposphere (known as the tropopause) because of a
change in either
incoming solar or exiting infrared radiation.
16 Natural Climate
Changes Volcanic Activity Volcanic dust can remain suspended
in the atmosphere for several years, reflecting
incoming solar radiation and lower global temperatures.
Solar Radiation Management (SRM) or «albedo modification» is a class of technologies that could lower global average temperatures and offset some of the worst impacts of climate change by reflecting a portion of incoming solar radiation back into space before that radiation could be trapped by greenhouse gases in the atmosp
Solar Radiation Management (SRM) or «albedo modification» is a class of technologies that could lower global average temperatures and offset some of the worst impacts of climate
change by reflecting a portion of
incoming solar radiation back into space before that radiation could be trapped by greenhouse gases in the atmosp
solar radiation back into space before that radiation could be trapped by greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere.
Since it takes several hundred years for the deep ocean water to cycle up to the top, where it can be warmed up and lose CO2, it makes sense to suppose that if a warming event is initiated by something else (like
changes in the amount and spatial distribution of
incoming solar radiation,) the concomitant rise
in atmospheric CO2 (which would enhance the initial warming) might lag behind by several hundred years.
Peter Huybers and George Denton went on to show that the glacial - interglacial climate near the North Pole varies with the intensity of
incoming solar radiation at those latitudes, while variations
in Antarctic climate seem to be governed by
changes in the duration of summer (Huybers and Denton, 2008).
Some of them involved doing one thing or another to the oceans to
change the way
in which carbon is sequestered there, while others try to do things to the atmosphere to deflect
incoming solar radiation.
Radiative Forcing A
change in average net radiation (
in W m - 2) at the top of the troposphere resulting from a
change in either
solar or infrared radiation due to a
change in atmospheric greenhouse gases concentrations; perturbance
in the balance between
incoming solar radiation and outgoing infrared radiation.
More drastic
changes such as the installation of a green roof or a
solar PV system can not only provide energy savings or provide streams of
income (
in the latter case where feed -
in - tariff programs are
in place), but help to advertise a home as more efficient or environmentally friendly.