Sentences with phrase «changes in mean sst»

We also find that changes in mean SST alone can account for the majority of these changes, at least over the satellite record.

Not exact matches

Yet the paper states that «The best - fitting model (ECS = 2.4 K) reproduces well the reconstructed global mean cooling of 2.2 K...» I assume the difference is that the global mean cooling cited in the paper includes the contribution of SST change, which, according to MARGO, is -1.9 ± 1.8 °C, whereas the -3.3 or -3.5 °C is for SAT.
We then perturb this input with the change in the seasonal mean SSTs and the seasonal mean state of the atmosphere as projected by an ensemble mean of global models for the end of the 21st century.
Regional modes of variability, such as the AMO, largely cancel out and make a very small contribution in the global mean SST changes.
A tropical SST link would explain why the signal is strongest with a 10 to 20 year lag of the long - term changes (Waple et al, 2001), but the noise in the NAO record could mean that you only see significant changes after long term averaging.
«On forced temperature changes, internal variability, and the AMO» «Tracking the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation through the last 8,000 years» «The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor of oceanic influence on climate» «The role of Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation in the global mean temperature variability» «The North Atlantic Oscillation as a driver of rapid climate change in the Northern Hemisphere» «The Atlanto - Pacific multidecade oscillation and its imprint on the global temperature record» «Imprints of climate forcings in global gridded temperature data» «North Atlantic Multidecadal SST Oscillation: External forcing versus internal variability» «Forced and internal twentieth - century SST trends in the North Atlantic» «Interactive comment on «Imprints of climate forcings in global gridded temperature data» by J. Mikšovský et al.» «Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures»
Spherical harmonics are the natural choice for representing patterns on a sphere, but the oceans don't cover the whole of the sphere and the physical processes that govern changes in SST might mean that harmonics aren't the most natural set of patterns for efficiently capturing that variability.
«However, the global mean SST is 0.06 °C warmer after 1980 in ERSST.v4 because of the buoy adjustments (not shown) and there are therefore impacts on the long - term trends compared to applying no adjustment to account for the change in observational platforms.»
Furthermore there is no evidence of what the increase in SST actually means and I would say it means the hook that is the temperature gradient of the first few cm of the ocean simply shifts a little left or right but doesn't change shape appreciably.
Units are °C global mean surface temperature for °C change in SST within the partition element.
Roger also points out on his site that it is not just SST that are affected by climate change, I read this to mean that land use changes, local changes in climate forcings and so forth may counteract the expected increase from SST locally.
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