«Higher temperatures and
changes in precipitation result in pressure on yields from important crops in much of the world,» says IFPRI agricultural economist Gerald Nelson, an author of the report, «Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security: Impacts and Costs of Adaptation to 2050».
Discussions of future impacts from
changes in precipitation resulting from human emissions of greenhouse gases are everywhere in the report and they are usually bad — increased droughts, floods, and longer dry spells, for example.
Not exact matches
The
results show that the correlation between climate
change — i.e. the variation
in temperature and
precipitation between glacials and interglacials — and the loss of megafauna is weak, and can only be seen
in one sub-region, namely Eurasia (Europe and Asia).
These findings from University of Melbourne Scientists at the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science, reported
in Nature Climate
Change, are the result of research looking at how Australian extremes in heat, drought, precipitation and ocean warming will change in a world 1.5 °C and 2 °C warmer than pre-industrial condi
Change, are the
result of research looking at how Australian extremes
in heat, drought,
precipitation and ocean warming will
change in a world 1.5 °C and 2 °C warmer than pre-industrial condi
change in a world 1.5 °C and 2 °C warmer than pre-industrial conditions.
Uncertainty about rain, little uncertainty about sea level rise Climate
change could also affect
precipitation in California, though the two models USGS used
in its research produced different
results.
Climate model
results have long suggested that we would see increased
precipitation in the tropics as a
result of climate
change.
Given the revised timeline
in this region, Willenbring and colleagues determined that the increased
precipitation resulted from
changes in the intensity of the sun's radiation on the Earth, which is based on the planet's tilt
in orbit.
«
Changes in energy, which result in changes in evapotranspiration, outweighed the changes in the form of precipitation,» said Reed Maxwell of Colorado School of
Changes in energy, which
result in changes in evapotranspiration, outweighed the changes in the form of precipitation,» said Reed Maxwell of Colorado School of
changes in evapotranspiration, outweighed the
changes in the form of precipitation,» said Reed Maxwell of Colorado School of
changes in the form of
precipitation,» said Reed Maxwell of Colorado School of Mines.
Ichoku thinks one possible reason a decrease
in fires didn't
result in more
precipitation has to do with the
change in the types of lands that are being burned.
However, if
changes in climate and / or future development
result in higher demand and higher capacity withdrawals, we may begin to see long - term declines, regardless of
precipitation patterns.
If small domestic withdrawals continue to characterize use
in the Madison Limestone aquifer, we can expect the Madison Limestone aquifer to follow short - and long - term patterns
in mountain
precipitation that
result from future climate
change.
In 2012, a controversial study challenged previously accepted ideas about the mechanisms through which climate change will affect our weather: Warmer temperatures will result in more heat waves, hotter summers will bring worse droughts, the warmer atmosphere will hold more water, resulting in heavier precipitation and floodin
In 2012, a controversial study challenged previously accepted ideas about the mechanisms through which climate
change will affect our weather: Warmer temperatures will
result in more heat waves, hotter summers will bring worse droughts, the warmer atmosphere will hold more water, resulting in heavier precipitation and floodin
in more heat waves, hotter summers will bring worse droughts, the warmer atmosphere will hold more water,
resulting in heavier precipitation and floodin
in heavier
precipitation and flooding.
Discussion of the
Results: The results show that there is good connection between ENSO events and the changes in the background temperature and the precipitation in N
Results: The
results show that there is good connection between ENSO events and the changes in the background temperature and the precipitation in N
results show that there is good connection between ENSO events and the
changes in the background temperature and the
precipitation in Nigeria.
For example, with
changes in temperature and
precipitation, ecosystems within Montana may shift to drier conditions
resulting in changes to vegetation types.
Resulting changes in the atmospheric temperature structure, including from surface dimming,
in turn affect regional circulation and
precipitation patterns.
In terms of economic impact, changes in temperature and precipitation patterns may result in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such as high - value - added agricultur
In terms of economic impact,
changes in temperature and precipitation patterns may result in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such as high - value - added agricultur
in temperature and
precipitation patterns may
result in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such as high - value - added agricultur
in damage to tourism and other strategic economic sectors with growth potential such as high - value - added agriculture.
«Our
results indicate that these glaciers may be highly sensitive to
changes in temperature, and that increases
in precipitation are not enough to offset the increased melt,» Shea explained.
Except that GHG forcing + cooling aerosol forcing
results in less
precipitation globally
in general than reduced GHG forcing that produces the same global average temperature, as found
in «Climate
Change Methadone» elsewhere at RC.
Although there is still some disagreement
in the preliminary
results (eg the description of polar ice caps), a lot of things appear to be quite robust as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree on a stronger warming
in the Arctic and stronger
precipitation changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given
in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).
Further,
precipitation over land is a small fraction of the total, so there's a lot of room for
changes in precip there without altering the
result on the global mean.
Figuring this out will be important for understanding regional climate
change — is persistent drought
in the American West going to be the
result, or will regional
precipitation become highly variable
in space and time?
These
results are based on a comparison of observed and multi-model simulated
changes in extreme
precipitation over the latter half of the twentieth century analyzed with an optimal fingerprinting technique.
Growth of both features is a direct
result of
changes in precipitation at the surface.
Changes in aridity — the ratio between evaporation and
precipitation — are expected
in many regions as a
result of climate
change.
New research by Robert Allen, a climatologist at the University of California, Riverside, suggests that climate
change may actually
result in more
precipitation — and more floods and storms.10 months ago
For instance, Milly et al., 2003 (Open access) used computer simulations and
results from the CMAP reanalysis of
precipitation levels to calculate that climate - related
changes in water storage on land were causing a sea - level rise of about 0.12 mm / year
in the period 1981 - 1998 (although, they admitted they couldn't calculate an error bar for that estimate).
Risks of waterborne illness and beach closures
resulting from
changes in the magnitude of recent
precipitation (within the past 24 hours) and
in lake temperature are expected to increase
in the Great Lakes region due to projected climate
change.97, 98,99,100
This post was originally published on this site Today the journal Nature Climate
Change published
results of a groundbreaking paper that explores the
changing character of
precipitation extremes
in California.
Although there is as yet no convincing evidence
in the observed record of
changes in tropical cyclone behaviour, a synthesis of the recent model
results indicates that, for the future warmer climate, tropical cyclones will show increased peak wind speed and increased mean and peak
precipitation intensities.
sensitivity the degree to which a system will respond to a
change in climatic conditions (e.g., the extent of
change in ecosystem composition, structure and functioning, including net primary productivity,
resulting from a given
change in temperature or
precipitation)
Even
in areas where
precipitation does not decrease, these increases
in surface evaporation and loss of water from plants lead to more rapid drying of soils if the effects of higher temperatures are not offset by other
changes (such as reduced wind speed or increased humidity).5 As soil dries out, a larger proportion of the incoming heat from the sun goes into heating the soil and adjacent air rather than evaporating its moisture,
resulting in hotter summers under drier climatic conditions.6
The
result is shown
in the above map of annual
precipitation changes.
This Hadley circulation
change results in a shift
in the tropical
precipitation band,
in agreement with the dynamics of prior model studies that have identified interhemisperical ecoclimate teleconnections [12].
Drought is expected to increase
in frequency and severity
in the future as a
result of climate
change, mainly as a consequence of decreases
in regional
precipitation but also because of increasing evaporation driven by global warming1 — 3.
Importantly, the
changes in cereal yield projected for the 2020s and 2080s are driven by GHG - induced climate
change and likely do not fully capture interannual
precipitation variability which can
result in large yield reductions during dry periods, as the IPCC (Christensen et al., 2007) states: ``... there is less confidence
in the ability of the AOGCMs (atmosphere - ocean general circulation models) to generate interannual variability
in the SSTs (sea surface temperatures) of the type known to affect African rainfall, as evidenced by the fact that very few AOGCMs produce droughts comparable
in magnitude to the Sahel droughts of the 1970s and 1980s.»
I conclude that the observed global aridity
changes up to 2010 are consistent with model predictions, which suggest severe and widespread droughts
in the next 30 — 90 years over many land areas
resulting from either decreased
precipitation and / or increased evaporation.
«Climate
change» is a broader term that includes many other impacts
resulting from global warming (for example.,
changes in precipitation and ocean acidity) and different geographic scales (for example, a continent, an ocean, a hemisphere, the planet).
In other words, if these yield reductions
resulting from greenhouse gas — induced climate
change were superimposed on the yield reductions that might occur during a particularly dry period arising from the region's characteristic
precipitation variability, they would be higher and comparable with the
results from the Morocco National Communication.
In the coming century, increasing atmospheric GHG concentration and associated warming could have important hydrological and water resource consequences in the Southwest resulting from mean state changes due to higher evaporation and decreased precipitation [73 — 75
In the coming century, increasing atmospheric GHG concentration and associated warming could have important hydrological and water resource consequences
in the Southwest resulting from mean state changes due to higher evaporation and decreased precipitation [73 — 75
in the Southwest
resulting from mean state
changes due to higher evaporation and decreased
precipitation [73 — 75].
So while heat itself is a concern for the EU nation, that problem is
in many ways dwarfed by the
resulting changes in precipitation.
Thus what you see as wiggles
in the increase per year is the direct
result of temperature
changes in ocean surface and vegetation (for the latter,
precipitation also plays a role).
One last point related to my last post, is the extent / degree of magnitude of a more meridional atmospheric circulation pattern (N.H. especially) could influence snow cover, cloud cover, and
precipitation amounts which could set up stronger positive climatic feedbacks, which could then
result in an even more significant climatic
change going forward.
Our
results indicate that these glaciers may be highly sensitive to
changes in temperature, and that increases
in precipitation are not enough to offset the increased melt.»
Although,
in the tropics, glacier mass balance responds sensitively to
changes in precipitation and humidity (see Lemke et al., 2007, Section 4.5.3), the fast glacier shrinkage of Chacaltaya is consistent with an ascent of the 0 °C isotherm of about 50 m / decade
in the tropical Andes since the 1980s (Vuille et al., 2003),
resulting in a corresponding rise
in the equilibrium line of glaciers
in the region (Coudrain et al., 2005).
As the climate
changes in response to global warming, longer and more severe droughts are projected for the western US The
resulting dry conditions will increase the pressure on groundwater supplies as more is pumped to meet demand even as less
precipitation falls to replenish it.
Despite a half century of climate
change that has significantly affected temperature and
precipitation patterns and has already had widespread ecological and hydrological impacts, and despite a near certainty that the United States will experience at least as much climate
change in the coming decades, just as a
result of the current atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases, those organizations
in the public and private sectors that are most at risk, that are making long - term investments and commitments, and that have the planning, forecasting and institutional capacity to adapt, have not yet done so.
•
Changes in the magnitude and temporal pattern of pollutant loading in the coastal ocean will occur as a result of changes in precipitation and
Changes in the magnitude and temporal pattern of pollutant loading
in the coastal ocean will occur as a
result of
changes in precipitation and
changes in precipitation and runoff.
· The oceans» uptake and storage capacity for greenhouse gases will be affected by
changes in nutrient availability
resulting from other
changes in precipitation, runoff, and atmospheric deposition.
Although there is clearly value
in understanding possible
changes in precipitation, our
results highlight the fact that efforts to understand drought without examining the role of temperature miss a critical contributor to drought risk.
• The oceans» uptake and storage capacity for greenhouse gases will be affected further by
changes in nutrient availability
in the ocean
resulting from other
changes in precipitation, runoff, and atmospheric deposition.