Not exact matches
«The loss of
sea ice in the Arctic and
changes to heat storage will lead to
changes in weather patterns that could bring extreme heat and cold events to the continental United States similar to those seen
in recent years, and possibly
even more intense.»
In addition, GOCE data could be used to help validate satellite altimetry measurements for an
even clearer understanding of
ice - sheet and
sea - level
change.
As global temperatures continue to increase, the hastening rise of those
seas as glaciers and
ice sheets melt threatens the very existence of the small island nation, Kiribati, whose corals offered up these vital clues from the warming past — and of an
even hotter future, shortly after the next
change in the winds.
Even in the absence of huge amounts of carbon dioxide as a forcing mechanism, he said, there still appear to be trigger points that, once passed, can produce rapid warming through feedbacks such as
changes in sea ice and the reflectivity of the Earth's surface.
Mike's work, like that of previous award winners, is diverse, and includes pioneering and highly cited work
in time series analysis (an elegant use of Thomson's multitaper spectral analysis approach to detect spatiotemporal oscillations
in the climate record and methods for smoothing temporal data), decadal climate variability (the term «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» or «AMO» was coined by Mike
in an interview with Science's Richard Kerr about a paper he had published with Tom Delworth of GFDL showing evidence
in both climate model simulations and observational data for a 50 - 70 year oscillation
in the climate system; significantly Mike also published work with Kerry Emanuel
in 2006 showing that the AMO concept has been overstated as regards its role
in 20th century tropical Atlantic SST
changes, a finding recently reaffirmed by a study published
in Nature),
in showing how
changes in radiative forcing from volcanoes can affect ENSO,
in examining the role of solar variations
in explaining the pattern of the Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little
Ice Age, the relationship between the climate
changes of past centuries and phenomena such as Atlantic tropical cyclones and global
sea level, and
even a bit of work
in atmospheric chemistry (an analysis of beryllium - 7 measurements).
My take is that the tug of war over what's causing today's telegenic heat waves, floods, tempests — and
even Arctic
sea -
ice retreats — distracts from the high confidence scientists have
in the long - term (but less sexy) picture: that more CO2 will lead to centuries of climate and coastal
changes with big consequences for a growing human population (for better and worse
in the short run, and likely mostly for the worse
in the long run).
A team of scientists is pioneering new strategies for ensuring that polar bears can persist
even as summer
sea ice — a vital feeding platform — retreats under the climate
change that is already
in the pipeline no matter how aggressively societies tackle the greenhouse challenge.
From the still - violent Amazon frontier to the thawing North Pole
sea ice there are signs that science, education, transparency and global communication networks can foster progress
even in the face of rapid
change.
As for irreversible, if an
ice sheet starts flowing, or if an albedo
change from
sea ice gets locked
in, I could imagine a climate
change being essentially irreversible
even if CO2 was brought back down, but it's just speculation, nothing more.
This
change speed is dizzying us
in the Arctic,
even snow buntings come back very early this spring, and polar bears are seen on the thin enough
sea ice for seals at the North Pole.
All climate models tell us that it is the Arctic
sea ice cover that declines first, and that Antarctic
ice extent falls only later, and may
even (as observed) temporarily increase
in response to
changing patterns of atmospheric circulation.
«A number of recent climate
change reports
even failed to mention polar bears in their discussion of Arctic sea ice decline... Crockford, «Even Al Gore seems to have forgotten to include the plight of polar bears in his newest climate change mo
even failed to mention polar bears
in their discussion of Arctic
sea ice decline... Crockford, «
Even Al Gore seems to have forgotten to include the plight of polar bears in his newest climate change mo
Even Al Gore seems to have forgotten to include the plight of polar bears
in his newest climate
change movie.
However,
even a smaller figure (I had calculated about 0.17 W / m ^ 2 based on your inflated figure for total planetary albedo, but you can check it out) is still significant when compared with the total flux imbalance, which I think is a more informative comparison than an arbitrarily selected
change in cloud cover, because it compares the
sea ice reduction with the effects of all climate variations that have been operating
in recent years..
Oregon State Climatologist George Taylor wrote that «Arctic
sea ice has undergone significant
changes in the last 1,000 years,
even before the mid-20th century «greenhouse enhancement.»
Stéphanie Jenouvrier, a biologist at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
in the US, and colleagues from France and the Netherlands report
in Nature Climate
Change that
changes in the extent and thickness of
sea ice will create serious problems for a flightless, streamlined, survival machine that can live and
even breed at minus 40 °C, trek across 120 kilometres of
ice, and dive to depths of more than 500 metres.
The majority of the winter warming is associated with
changes in sea ice cover
even though the
sea ice declines at this time of the year are relatively small.
The retreat of glaciers and shrinking of the Greenland
ice sheet
in the Arctic, for example, is predicted to cause significant
sea - level rise,
changes in the salinity of our oceans, and altered feedback loops that will make the Arctic warm up
even faster.
Whenever I write about Arctic
ice, a herd of climate
change deniers converge
in the comments and on social media, barking about how Antarctic
sea ice is unchanged or
even on the rise.
Even now NSIDC, Tamino, Nick Stokes, Steve Mosher, are oblivious to that
change despite 10 years of no statistical differences
in Arctic
sea ice.
The IPCC 2007 Fourth Assessment of climate
change science concluded that large reductions
in the emissions of greenhouse gases, principally CO2, are needed soon to slow the increase of atmospheric concentrations, and avoid reaching unacceptable levels.However, climate
change is happening
even faster than previously estimated; global CO2 emissions since 2000 have been higher than
even the highest predictions, Arctic
sea ice has been melting at rates much faster than predicted, and the rise
in the
sea level has become more rapid.
Instead, natural variations
in the climate system and other external forcing factors (such as volcanic eruptions) will likely cause the rate of Arctic
sea ice change to vary considerably from decade to decade, and perhaps
even temporarily switch from negative (
sea ice loss) to positive (
sea ice growth).
One question posed by climate
change is «will melting land
ice and
sea ice in the Arctic slow down or
even shut down a vital part of the ocean circulation
in the North Atlantic?»
Just for one example, if it turns out that, between melt of
sea ice and Greenland
ice, the North Atlantic Current slows or stops, we would expect to see fairly dramatically colder weather
in Europe for a while,
even thought this condition could be directly linked to results produced by GW (though
in the long term, the warming would, presumably eventually overtake the cooling from
change in ocean currents).
They conclude with another warning: ``... if major shifts
in sea ice cover and ocean circulation tip
even large
ice shelf cavities from cold to warm (35), there could be major
changes in ice shelf and thus
ice sheet mass balance.»
And
in 2007,
even after acknowledging that the polar bear deserves federal protection due to global warming, the administration put a gag order on government scientists traveling abroad to prevent discussion of climate
change, Arctic
sea ice and polar bears.
However, recent observations of the rate and severity of physical and ecological responses to escalating radiative forcing — melting glaciers and
ice sheets resulting
in sea level rise and major
changes in weather patterns, prolonged droughts, more frequent hurricanes and storms, and so on — are surprising
even top climate experts, and raising awareness that, as a nation, we are dangerously unprepared for the inevitable consequences.