We attempt to remove human induced biases in the instrumentation, such as TOBS and
changes in thermometers.
This may be because there is no or little surface churn of the type described above and the temperatures there are consequently not nearly as sensitive to
changes in the thermometer's time constants.
a Uncertainties (2 sigma) du to: data gaps and random errors estimated by RSOA (heavy solid); SST bias - corrections (heavy dashes); urbanisation (light dashes);
changes in thermometer exposures on LAT (light solid).
Uncertainties due to
changes in thermometer screens are poorly known but could be 0.1 °C globally in the 19th and early 20th centuries (Parker, 1994); they are not included here, but a preliminary analysis appears in Folland et al. (2001).
Not exact matches
if you don't have oven monitoring
thermometers in yours, you really need to
change that.
It is also recommended that a baby bath tub has an embedded
thermometer or a safety disk with the ability to
change the color
in case the water is too hot.
You have to press the
thermometer at off status
in 5 seconds to
change it.
Its screen will
change color to let you know if your baby's temperature is
in a safe range and, because it's an infrared
thermometer, there's never any worry of cross-contamination.
The only practical way to detect this slight
change in temperature is with a basal body
thermometer.
Diapers, wipes, diaper cream, sanitizer, bags to put stinky diapers
in,
changing pad, gas drops,
thermometer, nail file and clippers, brush, aquaphor, nose freida, two
changes of clothes, a jacket, bottle, pacifier, and various toys for amusement that I would swap out every three days.
Slight increase
in body temperature (note: this
change can only be detected by a basal body
thermometer).
This
change in basal body temperature, which is measured by a special, more accurate
thermometer, can happen as early as two days after ovulation.
The satellite - based record of land surface maximum temperatures, scientists have found, provides a sensitive global
thermometer that links bulk shifts
in maximum temperatures with ecosystem
change and human well - being.
«When heat goes under the ocean, it expands just like mercury
in a
thermometer,» Steve Nerem, lead scientist for NASA's Sea Level
Change Team at the University of Colorado
in Boulder, said
in the press briefing.
The most important bias globally was the modification
in measured sea surface temperatures associated with the
change from ships throwing a bucket over the side, bringing some ocean water on deck, and putting a
thermometer in it, to reading the
thermometer in the engine coolant water intake.
It's really not so much what the actual temperature is, but more about the
change in temperature, so that if your
thermometer is off by half a degree, as long as it's consistently off by half a degree, you'll see that rise.»
The
thermometer should be able to measure to the 0.10 degree, since the temperature
changes in charting can be quite small.
Fertility Awareness is one way to track when ovulation occurs, and it includes studying the
changes in cervical mucus and using a basal
thermometer.
Baking Chicago Metallic bakeware (jelly roll pans, loaf pans, cake pans, etc.) USA Pan bakeware (their pizza pan will
change your life) Fat Daddio's bakeware (their anodized stuff is AWESOME) Silicone baking mats Oven monitoring
thermometer (I keep three of these
in my oven at all times) 3 piece mixing bowl set (I also have this set)(and this set, too)(#mixingbowlhoarder) Slotted metal spatula Stainless steel whisk Stainless steel scoops Stainless steel measuring cups Stainless steel measuring spoons Heavy duty spatulas Straight spatula Offset spatula Bakery rolling pin Cake stand (I also love these cake stands)(aaand this one) Pastry brush Plain round cutter set (I love the geometric shape cutting set, too) Candy
thermometer
Given Maue's long lead time
in predicting today's heat blast, I reached out to him Monday afternoon for a chat on the role of human - driven climate
change and the urbanization of the region
in raising
thermometers to new heights.
The» top ten» arguments employed by the relatively few deniers with credentials
in any aspect of climate -
change science (which arguments include «the sun is doing it», «Earth's climate was
changing before there were people here», «climate is
changing on Mars but there are no SUVs there», «the Earth hasn't been warming since 1998», «
thermometer records showing heating are contaminated by the urban - heat - island effect», «satellite measurements show cooling rather than warming») have all been shown
in the serious scientific literature to be wrong or irrelevant, but explaining their defects requires at least a paragraph or two for each one.
«One of the most significant signals
in the
thermometer - observed temperature record since 1900 is the decrease
in the diurnal temperature range over land, largely due to warming of the minimum temperatures... Climate models have
in general not replicated the
change in diurnal temperature range well.
Let's take Svensmark's cosmic ray theory or Lindzen's infrared iris theory, or my argument published
in Climatic
Change in 2009 that tree rings make lousy
thermometers.
At the time of the Mann paper (this coincided with the Super El Nino but before the step
change in temperature coincident with that event had taken place), the tree rings showed no warming from 1970 through to circa 1996/97 whereas the adjusted land
thermometer record showed relentless warming.
The most likely explanation being that the land based
thermometer record has become inaccurate due to station drop out, particularly high latitude drop out, a biasing towards airport stations, poor station siting and a failure to properly allow for UHI which is having an ever increasing impact upon post 1960s temperatures because of not simply an increase
in urbanisation but also the drop out of rural stations and the ever increasing percentage of airport stations and airports have so greatly
changed during the 1970s and 1980s.
The most likely explanation being that teh land based
thermometer record has become inaccurate due to station drop out, particularly high latitude drop out, a biasing towards airport stations, poor station siting and a failure to properly allow for UHI which is having an ever increasing impact upon post 1960s temperatures because of not simply an increase
in urbanisation but also the drop out of rural stations and the ever increasing percentage of airport stations and airports have so greatly
changed during the 1970s and 1980s.
And that a 1.4 K step
change in the global average coincided with the 1990 Dying (Ignoring) of The
Thermometers (cut from 6000 to 1600).
If the
thermometers are understating La Nina and EL Nino effects, because the satellites almost always show lower GMT for La Nina events and higher GMT for El Nino events, how can the
thermometers suddenly not exist when it's the rest of the oceans driving the
change in direction of the GMT?
Is it possible to make
thermometers which not only have the accuracy and precision to usefully measure using milli - celsius, but also are unaffected by
changes in pressure between 1 and 201 atmospheres?
MM04 failed to acknowledge other independent data supporting the instrumental
thermometer - based land surface temperature observations, such as satellite - derived temperature trend estimates over land areas
in the Northern Hemisphere (Intergovernmental Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change, Third Assessment Report, Chapter 2, Box 2.1, p. 106) that can not conceivably be subject to the non-climatic sources of bias considered by them.
As an extension, systematic observational errors could perhaps be corrected as part of the regression by estimating a constant shift to apply to each
thermometer (treating
changes in technology as creating a new
thermometer on the same site), though this may make the problem too large.
A
change in the type of
thermometer shelter used at many Australian observation sites
in the early 20th century resulted a sudden drop
in day time temperature an increase
in minimum temperatures which is entirely spurious.
You can now see the predominantly upward adjustments as soon as you enter the US (I presume due to the
change from glass to electronic
thermometers),
in contrast to the mixed
changes elsewhere and the predominantly downward adjustments
in the Arctic.
Memo to Republicans: For discussions and debates about climate
change, use only official weather / climate station
thermometer datasets located
in rural regions and / or from satellites.
The
change was made possible by the widespread availability of engine inlet
thermometers in 1941 (section 4)
Just as
in the rest of the country, belief
in human - caused climate
change in Oklahoma has been rising with the
thermometer — according to Krosnick, a large majority of Inhofe's constituents now believe that anthropogenic global warming is real.
NOAA scientists increase or decrease temperatures to correct for things like
changes in the locations of
thermometers (some that were once
in rural areas are now
in the suburbs or even
in cities).
These choices relate to such issues as how to account for
changes over time
in the type of
thermometer used to make temperature measurements, the
thermometer location, and the immediate physical surroundings of the
thermometer.
Early TRL projects focused on establishing long tree - ring records from temperature - sensitive boreal forest locations
in North American for studies of global
change, using dendrochronologically dated wood, to investigate the value of stable isotope ratios
in cellulose as paleo -
thermometers and developing the necessary computer software for processing the data.
She said the signs of warming are evident not just
in thermometer data, but
in more than 26,000 «climate indicators,» ranging from rising sea levels to
changes in plant blooming times.
At Tmax, for example, there has been a steady T rise as the sun moves higher
in the sky, the rise helped by convection of air with hot packets
in it surrounding the site, held back if frost has formed overnight, complicated if there is snow around and water phase
change effects need consideration, hindered or lagged by the thermal inertia of the screen surrounding the
thermometer as the screen heats up.
Temperatures aloft can be measured
in a number of ways, two of which are useful for climate monitoring: by radiosondes (balloon - borne instrument packages, including
thermometers, released daily or twice daily at a network of observing stations throughout the world), and by satellite measurements of microwave radiation emitted by oxygen gas
in the lower to mid-troposphere, taken with an instrument known as the Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU).5 The balloon measurements are taken at the same Greenwich mean times each day, whereas the times of day of the satellite measurements for a given location drift slowly with
changes in the satellite orbits.
Evidence for
changes in the climate system abounds, from the top of the atmosphere to the depths of the oceans (Figure 2.1).1 Scientists and engineers from around the world have compiled this evidence using satellites, weather balloons,
thermometers at surface stations, and many other types of observing systems that monitor the Earth's weather and climate.
The most important bias globally was the modification
in measured sea surface temperatures associated with the
change from ships throwing a bucket over the side, bringing some ocean water on deck, and putting a
thermometer in it, to reading the
thermometer in the engine coolant water intake.
(c) has the mixture of observing stations
in the two reference periods stayed about constant, or have we had a
change like «the march of the
thermometers»?
«The data are very strong that the planet is warming, as shown by analyses by NASA, NOAA, the Berkeley Earth group and others, by data from
thermometers in the air including those well away from cities,
thermometers in the ocean and
in the ground, taken up by balloons and looking down from space, and
changes in temperature - sensitive snow and ice and plants and animals,» said Alley.
Isn't the global temperature record extremely noisy due to factors such as
changing distribution of
thermometers,
changes to surrounding land areas due to agriculture and urbanization, as well as
changes in the ocean due to flora and fauna due to industrialized fishing?
Use replicate measurements where possible (3
thermometers better than one) and
in any
change of method, maximise the overlap period.
My question would be whether the basic physiology of the tree that makes it a
thermometer is affected by
changes over its life that relate to the tree line but would not be manifested or readily detected by the actual
change in tree line because that process might lag the effects.
There was a report issued by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO)
in 1997 entitled «Instruments and Observing Methods» (Report No. 65) that explained because the modern electronic probes being installed across Australia reacted more quickly to second by second temperature
changes, measurements from these devices need to be averaged over a one to ten - minute period to provide some measure of comparability with the original
thermometers.