I am also absolutely certain that a species that can already live and survive in regions of the world from the Arctic circle will easily adapt to
any changes over the timescales involved.
The aim is to monitor the continent's ongoing shrinking, bulging, and general deformation, watching
changes over timescales ranging from days to decades.
Not exact matches
But mostly the
changes in a party's fortunes are much harder to spot because they take place
over tectonic
timescales.
Until now,
changes in the relative proportion of rare mutations, that could be both detrimental and adaptive, had only been shown
over relatively long
timescales, by comparing African and European populations.
Cycles that drive
changes in the ocean's chemistry and organisms take place
over hours, days, seasons, years and even decades —
timescales NEPTUNE can track.
«Additionally,
over a longer
timescale, by keeping close connection between astrophysicists and climate researchers, this programme will aid in the understanding of our own
changing climate.»
«Usually distant galaxies do not
change significantly
over an astronomer's lifetime, i.e. on a
timescale of years or decades,» explains Andrea Merloni, «but this one showed a dramatic variation of its spectrum, as if the central black hole had switched on and off.»
«It helps us understand spatial patterns of climate
change and the
timescales over which these consequences are relevant.»
This allowed us not only to map the cloud distribution, but also how it
changes from rotation to rotation and also
over longer
timescales: our observations were following the brown dwarfs for more than a year.
For carbon perturbations that take place
over shorter
timescales, the pace of carbon - cycle
changes will not matter; instead, the size or magnitude of the
change will determine the likelihood of an extinction event.
We recently extended this record to approximately 120,000 years BP in order to track vegetation
change over a full glacial cycle at millennial to orbital
timescales.
In a paper published in Science Advances, he proposes that mass extinction occurs if one of two thresholds are crossed: For
changes in the carbon cycle that occur
over long
timescales, extinctions will follow if those
changes occur at rates faster than global ecosystems can adapt.
It has been happening since the last deglaciation, and its rate
changes over longer
timescales than the ones we focused on here.
Climate scientists would say in response that
changes in ocean circulation can't sustain a net
change in global temperature
over such a long period (ENSO for example might raise or lower global temperature on a
timescale of one or two years, but
over decades there would be roughly zero net
change).
Physical geography should concentrate on geological
timescales and plate tectonics and the
change in climate
over the years, from the Ice Age to the present day.
This means that there were large - scale
changes in the carbon cycle
over a short geological
timescale of several tens of thousands of years.
[It is helps us to understand what natural forces are currently at work that could be causing
changes... But note that some natural forces like the ones that I talked about above work
over much longer
timescales than the century
timescale over which we are making significant
changes in greenhouse gas levels.
Re # 8, any
changes in climate
over glacial - interglacial
timescales have to take into account an additional component: the biogeochemical cycling of atmospheric gases.
[Response: the Milankovitch
timescale is long and the forcing barely varies due to orbital
changes over 100 years so no, they aren't included (they would be for people modelling the last glacial maximum); solar forcing is modelled by
change in total solar irradiance (probably as a total number; not sure if
changes at different wavelengths are included)-- William]
Our results support the use of short - term manipulative experiments spanning weeks as proxies to understand the potential effects of global
change forcing on diatom community structure
over longer
timescales such as years.
Changes in this balance over time lead to the changes in greenhouse gas concentrations that have been observed to occur on geological (millions of year) time
Changes in this balance
over time lead to the
changes in greenhouse gas concentrations that have been observed to occur on geological (millions of year) time
changes in greenhouse gas concentrations that have been observed to occur on geological (millions of year)
timescales.
Weather models may or may not include
changes in atmos comp —
over their
timescales, the
changes are small — William]
Ricarda Winkelmann et al. modeled the response of the Antarctic ice sheet to a wide range of future carbon emissions scenarios
over the long - term (previous simulations have mainly looked at
changes that might occur on a shorter
timescale).
The release of carbon dioxide and methane from the Arctic will provide a positive feedback to climate
change which will be more important
over longer
timescales — millennia and longer.
The U.S. military seems interested in climate variations /
change on
timescales from seasonal to scales out to about 30 years, a period
over which natural climate variability could very well swamp anthropogenically forced climate
change.
It would require a much stronger relationship of temperature driving CO2 than occurred during the ice age — interglacial oscillations (and it is also important to remember that those
changes occurred
over much longer
timescales too... which is the presumed reason why there is a several hundred year lag time between temperatures starting to rise or fall and CO2 starting to rise or fall).
We are talking about temperature
changes today
over a fifty year (or shorter) period, and we have absolutely no way to look at
changes in the «geological past» on this fine of a
timescale.
«Evidence indicates that Antarctic bottom water production through the Holocene (last 10,000 years) is not in a steady - state condition [3], that is to say that bottom water production sites shift along the Antarctic margin
over decade to century
timescales as conditions for the existence of polynas
change.
These
changes tend to play out
over millennia, and unless the deep ocean is far out of balance, its effect
over decadal
timescales is likely to be relatively small.
The correspondence to obvserved
changes in C02 on
timescales of a couple of years,
over the satellite era and to the degree seen even
over the 20th century, makes it difficult not to conclude that sources involed in
changes of C02 on short
timescales are also involved in its
change on long
timescales.
The researches thus «urge extreme caution in attributing short - term trends (i.e.
over many decades and longer) in US tropical cyclone losses to anthropogenic climate
change,» stating that «anthropogenic climate
change signals are unlikely to emerge in US tropical cyclone losses on
timescales of less than a century under the projections examined here.»
We both seem to agree that there is no reliable evidence to claim that we know if this will actually occur, where this might occur or when it might occur as
changes in other conditions seem to be able to dominate the system
over timescales of importance to humans.
report that ocean sediment cores containing an «undisturbed history of the past» have been analyzed for variations in PP
over timescales that include the Little Ice Age... they determined that during the LIA the ocean off Peru had «low PP, diatoms and fish,» but that «at the end of the LIA, this condition
changed abruptly to the low subsurface oxygen, eutrophic upwelling ecosystem that today produces more fish than any region of the world's oceans... write that «in coastal environments, PP, diatoms and fish and their associated predators are predicted to decrease and the microbial food web to increase under global warming scenarios,» citing Ito et al..
Even at 2.0 °C, and certainly above it, it is thought that the Earth would cross certain tipping points, beyond which the operation of the Earth System is
changed in an irreversible way, at least
over timescales of hundreds of thousands of years.
This is one reason why many observers have suggested that multidecadal
changes in ocean heat content may prove to be a more reliable metric than TOA energy imbalances, although the OHC measurements are themselves subject to methodological problems that preclude reliable interpretation
over short
timescales.
«Based on the results from this emergence
timescale analysis we urge extreme caution in attributing short - term trends (i.e.
over many decades and longer) in normalized US tropical cyclone losses to anthropogenic climate
change,» says Crompton.
The problems with determining a GMT through ever
changing stations and methods and instruments
over century
timescales is daunting, even if one assumes honesty and ignore the power of monetary and political forces to corrupt.
In particular, anomalously high convection in ENSO and ENSO - related regional cloud
changes can lead to negative feedbacks not seen with persistent forcings that operate
over longer
timescales on a more global basis.
The problem is that people have falsely imagined that the orbital
changes he was discussing only have effects
over timescales of several millennia, at least.
The potential
change in the radiative restoration strength
over longer
timescales is also considered, resulting in a likely (67 %) range of 1.5 — 2.9 K for equilibrium climate sensitivity, and a 90 % confidence interval of 1.2 — 5.1 K
Weather balloons and satellites do a good job of measuring short - term
changes and indeed find a hot spot
over monthly
timescales.
«The only way to predict the day - to - day weather and
changes to the climate
over longer
timescales is to use computer models.»
Only
over climate
timescales (typically, 30 years or more), do the long - term trends emerge that reflect the influence of
changes in atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide.»
«
Over relatively short, non-climate
timescales (less than 20 - 30 years), these patterns of natural variability can lead to all kinds of
changes in global and regional near - surface air temperature: flat, increasing, or even decreasing trends,»
Furthermore, although not in direct relation to the solar - cloud studies, Brest et al. (1997) state that the ISCCP data are not sensitive enough to detect small
changes in cloud cover
over long
timescales.
Because of the time lags involve in the climate system, short - term
changes can be very difficult to predict, but
over a long enough
timescale, these kinds of effects become all but certain.
Assuming a CR - cloud connection exists, there are various factors which could potentially account for a lack of detection of this relationship
over both long and short
timescales studies, including: uncertainties, artefacts and measurement limitations of the datasets; high noise levels in the data relative to the (likely low) amplitude of any solar - induced
changes; the inability of studies to effectively isolate solar parameters; or the inability to isolate solar - induced
changes from natural climate oscillations and periodicities.
Pallé & Butler (2002a) made a review of the available evidence for cloud
changes over decadal
timescales and their possible links to solar activity.
Climate scientists would say in response that
changes in ocean circulation can't sustain a net
change in global temperature
over such a long period (ENSO for example might raise or lower global temperature on a
timescale of one or two years, but
over decades there would be roughly zero net
change).
«Based on their results, the researchers conclude that the Arctic Ocean has a previously unrecognized high sensitivity to
changes of the freshwater input
over multiple
timescales, which is manifested in large temperature excursions of the intermediate water layers.»