Not exact matches
Earth System Threshold Measure Boundary Current
Level Preindustrial Climate
Change CO2 Concentration 350 ppm 387 ppm 280 ppm Biodiversity Loss Extinction Rate 10 pm > 100 pm * 0.1 - one pm Nitrogen Cycle N2 Tonnage 35 mmt ** 121 mmt 0 Phosphorous Cycle
Level in Ocean 11 mmt 8.5 - 9.5 mmt — 1 mmt Ozone Layer O3 Concentration 276 DU # 283 DU 290 DU Ocean Acidification Aragonite ^ ^
Levels 2.75 2.90 3.44 Freshwater Usage Consumption 4,000 km3 ^ 2,600 km3 415 km3 Land Use
Change Cropland Conversion 15 km3 11.7 km3 Low
Aerosols Soot Concentration TBD TBD TBD Chemical Pollution TBD TBD TBD TBD * pm = per million ** mmt = millions of metric tons #DU = dobson unit ^ km3 = cubic kilometers ^ ^ Aragonite is a form of calcium carbonate.
Dr. Yu's research has evolved to understand interfacial phenomena at the fundamental atomic and molecular
level that are relevant to the observed
changes across multiple time and space scales in the environment, with implications in biological systems (e.g., biofilm and cell),
aerosol, catalysis, and materials.
Thus the
changes in the stratosphere are basically a function of the greenhouse gases, ozone
levels and volcanic
aerosols there.
All it demonstrates is that there is more than one causal factor, as is well known, with
aerosols (from fossil fuels and volcanoes), land - use
changes (through affecting CH$ and CO2
levels and albedo) and solar irradiance all playing a role.
Summary for Policymakers Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 2: Observations: Atmosphere and Surface Chapter 3: Observations: Ocean Chapter 4: Observations: Cryosphere Chapter 5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Chapter 6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Chapter 7: Clouds and
Aerosols Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing Chapter 8 Supplement Chapter 9: Evaluation of Climate Models Chapter 10: Detection and Attribution of Climate
Change: from Global to Regional Chapter 11: Near - term Climate
Change: Projections and Predictability Chapter 12: Long - term Climate
Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility Chapter 13: Sea
Level Change Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate
Change Chapter 14 Supplement Technical Summary
The second study meanwhile looked at how
aerosol emissions impact the Earth's temperature through a phenomenon the researchers call «transient climate sensitivity,» or how much of the Earth's temperature will
change when the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere reaches twice its
level during the pre-industrial times.
In fact, the rate of
change of CO2
levels actually drops slightly after a volcanic eruption, possibly due to the cooling effect of
aerosols.
When Gort first visited in 1951, it spent little effort on climate
change issues, focusing on other aspects of our planet instead: Gort returned in 2012 to answer puny human climatologist questions about whether climate
change caused particular weather phenomena by making an obvious point: rather than struggle with theoretical analysis, you can simply use your Climate Changeometer to remove all the excess greenhouse gases and
aerosols above natural
levels and then measure the outcome.
With virtually no
change in global
aerosols, there is no way that
aerosols can explain the current standstill in temperature with ever increasing CO2
levels.
Note also, having
aerosols a cooling means that your relationship between CO2 and temperature in the ice - cores is blown away; dust
levels increase by three orders of magnitude going from warming to cooling, and dust
changes occur before temperature
changes, which occur before CO2
changes.
Global temps vary for many reasons beyond CO2
levels including but not limited to: planetary motion,
changes in albedo, stratospheric
aerosols, and solar variability to name a few, but the only area of genuine study by the IPCC has been rising CO2
levels.
Some point to
aerosols (but that is not very plausible, as that should give an increase since 1975 for Europe and in part for North America), but I have the impression that increased water vapour
levels are at the base of this
change.
The total CO2 equivalent (CO2 - eq) concentration of all long - lived GHGs is currently estimated to be about 455 ppm CO2 - eq, although the effect of
aerosols, other air pollutants and land - use
change reduces the net effect to
levels ranging from 311 to 435 ppm CO2 - eq (high agreement, much evidence).
Atmospheric carbon dioxide equivalent
levels were around 455 ppm CO2 - e in 2005 if you ignore the cooling effects of
aerosols but around 375 ppm CO2 - e in 2005 if you include the cooling effects of
aerosols and landuse
changes: see the IPCC (2007) Working Group III report at page 102, available at http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg3/ar4-wg3-chapter1.pdf.
Overall, we find that anthropogenic greenhouse gases and sulphate
aerosols have had a detectable influence on sea -
level pressure over the second half of the twentieth century: this represents evidence of human influence on climate independent of measurements of temperature
change.»
Natural Variability Doesn't Account for Observed Temperature Increase In it's press release announcement, NASA points out that while there are other factors than greenhouse gases contributing to the amount of warming observed —
changes in the sun's irradiance, oscillations of sea surface temperatures in the tropics,
changes in
aerosol levels in the atmosphere — these factors are not sufficient to account for the temperature increases observed since 1880.
It means an accumulation of things such as climate
changes, animal extinction threats, rising sea
levels, ocean acidity, less saline density in the ocean, glacial melting, and less carbon sinks (deforestation) or reversal of sinks to sources, which according to the article below is based upon
aerosols.
The increased CO2 will behave exactly the same regardless of the
levels of
aerosols in the atmosphere,
changing the energy balance and warming the planet.
The increase in oxidant
levels and preexisting
aerosol mass since preindustrial times is the reason of the burden
change, since emissions have not
changed significantly.
The space - time structure of natural climate variability needed to determine the optimal fingerprint pattern and the resultant signal - to - noise ratio of the detection variable is estimated from several multi-century control simulations with different CGCMs and from instrumental data over the last 136 y. Applying the combined greenhouse gas - plus -
aerosol fingerprint in the same way as the greenhouse gas only fingerprint in a previous work, the recent 30 - y trends (1966 — 1995) of annual mean near surface temperature are again found to represent a significant climate
change at the 97.5 % confidence
level.