Second, the traditional story implies that lending volume has something to do with the cost of funds. There is some truth in this proposition but I would argue that the greater truth is that lending is a demand - driven process shaped by expectations and
changing asset valuations (or at least perceived valuations), which is why borrowing in the US is currently in the toilet. Demand just isn't there.
Not exact matches
In response to the shift in
valuation from tangible
assets to intangible ones, Conley says, larger firms are now trying to
change the «rules of the game» through amicus briefs.
Low risk - free rates — the fundamental basis for gauging
asset valuations — represent an underappreciated sea
change in assessing future returns, in our view.
In addition, our future income taxes could fluctuate because of earnings being lower than anticipated in jurisdictions that have lower statutory tax rates and higher than anticipated in jurisdictions that have higher statutory tax rates, by
changes in the
valuation of our deferred tax
assets and liabilities, or by
changes in tax laws, regulations, or accounting principles.
Accordingly, our effective tax rates will vary depending on the relative proportion of foreign to domestic income, use of foreign tax credits,
changes in the
valuation of our deferred tax
assets and liabilities, and
changes in tax laws.
In addition, our effective tax rate in the future could be adversely affected by
changes to our operating structure,
changes in the mix of earnings in countries with differing statutory tax rates,
changes in the
valuation of deferred tax
assets and liabilities,
changes in tax laws and the discovery of new information in the course of our tax return preparation process.
Answering your more general question, what do I think of this particular Price / Earnings based ratio as a way to signal
asset allocation
change i.e.
Valuation Informed Investing?
Tactical
asset allocation investing is an active strategy which allows portfolio managers to
change their target
asset allocation according to the
valuation of
assets.
Federal regulations require a daily
valuation process, called marking to market, which subsequently adjusts the fund's per - share price to reflect
changes in portfolio (
asset) value.
Thus of course assumes no other activity or
valuation changes of the underlying
assets.
This is somewhat like what the Defined Contribution [DC] plan industry went through when it moved from annual
valuation, annual redirection of monies, to quarterly, to monthly, to the eventual
change your
asset allocation once a day if you like.
One of the most dangerous things for an investor to do is to make big
changes to his
asset allocation based on
valuations.
Although the big picture hasn't really
changed, the high financial market
valuation of many
asset classes left little room for negative surprises.
I have heard that the case of Japan argues against deviating from a buy - and - hold strategy and instead
changing one's strategic
asset allocation in response to extreme market
valuation levels.
The potential for large
changes in relative
valuations and the amounts of
assets involved make «sooner» better than «later».
I'm also investigating how long - term conservative investors may possibly benefit by
changing their
asset allocations in response to extreme market
valuation levels, and one paper I recently finished on this topic is «Revisiting the Fisher and Statman Study on Market Timing.»
the European periphery is a bubble («The Euro crisis is not over... the European economies are not going to
change for the better for years to come despite all the cheating and breaking of laws»), Value investors need to venture to Russia («when you look at today's opportunity set, you're left with a set of
assets where nothing looks attractive from a
valuation point of view») or buy gold mining stocks -LRB-» The down cycle could be much bigger than anybody believes if the market realizes that all the actions taken in recent years do not work.»)
In my mind the dollar is severly at risk to rising inflation, which
changes many popular
valuation metrics, yet stocks as an
asset class should benefit in some ways as they represent claims to real
assets whose earnings should grow with inflation.
Juicy Excerpt # 1: I will take steps in my final paper to test a wide variety of assumptions about
asset allocation,
valuation - based decision rules, whether the period is 10, 20, 30, or 40 years, lump - sum vs. dollar - cost averaging, and so on, and to show that the results are quite robust to
changes in any of these assumptions.
These risks include (i) the risk that the counterparty to a derivative transaction may not fulfill its contractual obligations; (ii) risk of mispricing or improper
valuation; and (iii) the risk that
changes in the value of the derivative may not correlate perfectly with the underlying
asset, rate or index.
My
valuation includes discounts made due to severance package (s), Merger Cancellation Clause, A presumed 2 year lease obligation, and $ 33.2 Million in Cash as well as hard
assets appraised by Value Investors for
Change.
With
asset valuations at record highs, it's easy for investors for decide they're going to move to cash, or
change their
asset allocations to something more conservative.
Last fall I devoted a lengthy post to the notion that future policies to address climate
change expose investors in companies producing fossil fuels to a bubble in
asset valuations.
We discussed the state of intellectual
asset management, what makes intangible investors relevant today, the
valuation of intangible
assets, and the
changing nature of innovation.
In the October 31, 2011 opinion in Burch v. Burch, 395 S.C. 318, 717 S.E. 2d 757 (2011), the South Carolina Supreme Court finally ratifies the passive versus active gain distinction the Court of Appeals has used for years in determining the
valuation date for marital
assets that
change value between the date of filing and the -LSB-...]
The
valuation date is important because the value of
assets or debts can
change abruptly, affecting the equalization payment greatly.
Measured in %
change in price over a given period, high volatility means unstable
asset prices that experience wild, hard - to - predict swings in
valuation over the short term.
Professor of finance at the NYU's Stern School of Business, Aswath Damodaran, often referred to as Wall Street's «Dean of
Valuation,» has said, «I don't believe cryptocurrencies are now or ever will be an
asset class,» or that they will
change the «fundamental truths of risk, investing and management.»
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