We applied the same method used in the observational analysis on general
circulation model data to decrease the statistical uncertainty at the expense of an increased systematic uncertainty.
Not exact matches
The approach proposed in the paper combines information from observation - based
data, general
circulation models (GCMs) and regional climate
models (RCMs).
Data collected by ship and
model simulations suggest that increased Pacific Winter Water (PWW), driven by
circulation patterns and retreating sea ice in the summer season, is primarily responsible for this OA expansion, according to Di Qi, the paper's lead author and a doctoral student of Liqi Chen, the lead PI in China.
By incorporating these
data into an M.I.T.
model, the result is «realistic descriptions of how ocean
circulation evolves over time,» according to the press release.
The researchers plugged that trash census
data into ocean
models, which simulate the
circulation of the world's waters.
Though promising, the
model needs more
data regarding air
circulation patterns and vegetation types to support it, Sheil notes.
Using climate
models and
data collected about aerosols and meteorology over the past 30 years, the researchers found that air pollution over Asia — much of it coming from China — is impacting global air
circulations.
Influence of physical forcing on planktonic ecosystems and elemental cycling; mesoscale ocean dynamics; primary production; coastal
circulation; zooplankton population dynamics; harmful algal blooms; numerical
modeling and
data assimilation.
Marine planktonic ecosystem dynamics, biogeochemical cycling and ocean - atmosphere - land carbon system, ocean acidification, climate change and ocean
circulation, satellite ocean color, air - sea gas exchange, numerical
modeling,
data analysis, and
data assimilation
Coastal
circulation dynamics, numerical
modeling and
data assimilation, biophysical interaction, air - sea interaction, coastal ocean observing system
The visualization covers the period June 2005 to December 2007 and is based on a synthesis of a numerical
model with observational
data, created by a NASA project called Estimating the
Circulation and Climate of the Ocean, or ECCO for short.
In New York, there was last year's New Museum Triennial, «Surround Audience,» whose participants addressed «a society replete with impressions of life, be they visual, written, or constructed through
data,» and «Ocean of Images,» the 2015 iteration of MoMA's «New Photography» showcase, featuring artists who use «contemporary photo - based culture, specifically focusing on connectivity, the
circulation of images, information networks, and communication
models.»
Another point is the fact that general
circulation models have our understanding of relevant processes encoded into lines of computer code, whereas empirical - statistical
models capture all relevant processes simply by the fact that these are emedded in the
data itself.
Given that the answer to this for atmospheric
models is a resounding «NO» (particularly because of sub-grid scale processes which need to be effectively pre-ordained through parameterizations), and given that oceanic
circulations have much longer adjustment time scales, yet also have much more intense small scale (gyre)
circulations than the atmosphere, my instinct is that we are not even close to being able to trust ocean
models without long term validation
data.
Here we analyze a series of climate
model experiments along with observational
data to show that the recent warming trend in Atlantic sea surface temperature and the corresponding trans - basin displacements of the main atmospheric pressure centers were key drivers of the observed Walker
circulation intensification, eastern Pacific cooling, North American rainfall trends and western Pacific sea - level rise.
As noted in that post, RealClimate defines the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation («AMO») as, «A multidecadal (50 - 80 year timescale) pattern of North Atlantic ocean - atmosphere variability whose existence has been argued for based on statistical analyses of observational and proxy climate
data, and coupled Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Model («AOGCM») simulations.
General
Circulation Models (GCMs) are the best source of
data available to researchers for developing regional scenarios.
To answer such questions, we analyze observational
data and perform systematic studies with numerical
models, with which we simulate flows ranging from the meter - scale motions in clouds to global
circulations.
Strong evidence from ocean sediment
data and from
modelling links abrupt climate changes during the last glacial period and glacial - interglacial transition to changes in the Atlantic Ocean
circulation.
Our research activity is thus part of a national and international effort to provide the scientific community with new
data sets usefull for ocean
circulation modeling, climate studies, bio-optics and bio-chemistry of the ocean.
Unfortunately, conductive heat flow versus age
data do not confirm the cooling
models because much of the heat is advected by hydrothermal
circulation near the ridge axes (Hofmeister and Criss, 2005; Pollack et al., 1993).
A shift in atmospheric
circulation in response to changes in solar activity is broadly consistent with atmospheric
circulation patterns in long - term climate
model simulations, and in reanalysis
data that assimilate observations from recent solar minima into a climate
model.
CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled
Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on
Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean
Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds,
Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled
Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction
Tom Wigley supervised his PhD titled, «Regional Validation of General
Circulation Models» that used three top computer models to recreate North Atlantic conditions where data was
Models» that used three top computer
models to recreate North Atlantic conditions where data was
models to recreate North Atlantic conditions where
data was best.
However, it remains a major scientific challenge to
model and project the changes of the magnitude and intensity of subsurface oxygen depletion because it depends on changes in ocean
circulation, rates of de-nitrification, and nutrient runoff from land, and because global
data coverage for chemical and biological parameters remains poor.
However, there are no compelling
data to suggest a confluence of climate - change impacts that would affect global production in either direction, particularly because relevant fish population processes take place at regional or smaller scales for which general
circulation models (GCMs) are insufficiently reliable.
A global archive of land cover and soils
data for use in general
circulation climate
models.
Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Models also tend to simulate less intense ENSO events, in qualitative agreement with
data, although there are large differences in magnitude and proposed mechanisms, and inconsistent responses of the associated teleconnections (Otto - Bliesner, 1999; Liu et al., 2000; Kitoh and Murakami, 2002; Otto - Bliesner et al., 2003).
There is growing observational
data, physical analysis of possible mechanisms, and
model agreement that human - caused climate change is strengthening atmospheric
circulation patterns in a way «which implies that the periodic and inevitable droughts California will experience will exhibit more severity...» «there is a traceable anthropogenic warming footprint in the enormous intensity of the anomalous ridge during winter 2013 — 2014 and the associated drought.»
His current research includes global ocean
modeling and
data assimilation efforts as part of Estimating the
Circulation & Climate of the Ocean (ECCO) consortium, as well as using ensemble methods for regional ocean analysis and prediction.
Abstract We study trends and temporal correlations in the monthly mean temperature
data of Prague and Melbourne derived from four state - of - the - art general
circulation models that are currently used in studies of anthropogenic effects on the atmosphere: GFDL - R15 - a, CSIRO - Mk2, ECHAM4 / OPYC3 and HADCM3.
Scientists from Norway's Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, attempting to better understand how this process works, plugged their
data into an ocean
circulation / climate change
model to examine the system out until 2080.
Modeling long - term climate change for the entire planet, however, was held back by lack of computer power, ignorance of key processes such as cloud formation, inability to calculate the crucial ocean
circulation, and insufficient
data on the world's actual climate.
These
data are also assimilated into many ocean
circulation models.
10) Part of the CMIP5 era of GCMs, the recently released Community Climate System
Model version 4 (CCSM4) shows major
circulation biases as compared with ECMWF 40 - year reanalysis
data.