More publishers seem to be interested in annual or two - year license expiration dates, which makes the HarperCollins 26
circulation model look good in comparison.»
Not exact matches
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to
look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since
model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean
circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric
circulation.
They
looked at precipitation and atmospheric
circulation among other factors before determining that the
model was accurately portraying regional climate and informing global climate calculations.
Most of the focus has been on the global mean temperature trend in the
models and observations (it would certainly be worthwhile to
look at some more subtle metrics — rainfall, latitudinal temperature gradients, Hadley
circulation etc. but that's beyond the scope of this post).
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to
look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves in the same way (and it appears to, since
model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes in ocean
circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric
circulation.
Most of the focus has been on the global mean temperature trend in the
models and observations (it would certainly be worthwhile to
look at some more subtle metrics — rainfall, latitudinal temperature gradients, Hadley
circulation etc. but that's beyond the scope of this post).
The issue with the Mauritsen and Stevens piece is that it tries to go well beyond a «what if»
modeling experiment, and attempts to make contact with a lot of other issues related to historical climate change (the hiatus, changes in the hydrologic cycle, observed tropical lapse rate «hotspot» stuff, changes in the atmsopheric
circulation, etc) by means of what the «iris» should
look like in other climate signals.
Let's be clear here, they're theorized feedbacks in unverified general
circulation models whose results fit the IPCC's expectations, and as you know, when expectations are met it's difficult for even good scientists to
look further, let alone for the politicians running the show.
The team
looked at 99 water sub-basins using all 22 general
circulation models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) under three emissions scenarios and a number of different indices for drought.