Charles, C.D., D. Rind, R. Healy, and R. Webb, 2001: Tropical cooling and the isotopic composition of precipitation in general
circulation model simulations of the ice age climate.
Not exact matches
This is according to emergency ocean
model simulations run by scientists at the National Oceanography Centre (NOC) and The University
of Southampton to assess the potential impact
of local ocean
circulation on the spread
of pollutants.
The new findings, based on detailed computer
simulations using the best available global
circulation models, are described this week in the journal Science Advances, in a paper by MIT professor
of environmental engineering Elfatih Eltahir, MIT Research Scientist Eun Soon Im, and Professor Jeremy Pal at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles.
Data collected by ship and
model simulations suggest that increased Pacific Winter Water (PWW), driven by
circulation patterns and retreating sea ice in the summer season, is primarily responsible for this OA expansion, according to Di Qi, the paper's lead author and a doctoral student
of Liqi Chen, the lead PI in China.
In the study, researchers analyzed a series
of transient Coupled General
Circulation Model simulations forced by changes in greenhouse gases, orbital forcing, meltwater discharge and the ice - sheet history throughout the past 21,000 years.
Our general
circulation model simulations, which take into account the recently observed widespread occurrence
of vertically extended atmospheric brown clouds over the Indian Ocean and Asia3, suggest that atmospheric brown clouds contribute as much as the recent increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gases to regional lower atmospheric warming trends.
(Top left) Global annual mean radiative influences (W m — 2)
of LGM climate change agents, generally feedbacks in glacial - interglacial cycles, but also specified in most Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Model (AOGCM)
simulations for the LGM.
In an ensemble
of fully coupled atmosphere - ocean general
circulation model (AOGCM)
simulations of the late Paleocene and early Eocene, we identify such a
circulation - driven enhanced intermediate - water warming.
Takahashi, M., 1999: The first realistic
simulation of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation in a general
circulation model.
Khairoutdinov, M., D. Randall, and C. DeMott, 2005:
Simulations of the atmospheric general
circulation using a cloud - resolving
model as a superparameterization
of physical processes.
Russell, J.L., R.J. Stouffer, and K.W. Dixon, 2006: Intercomparison
of the Southern Ocean
circulations in IPCC coupled
model control
simulations.
Methods: In these experiments, the research team conducted large ensembles
of simulations with two state -
of - the - art atmospheric general
circulation models by abruptly switching the sea - surface temperature warming on from January 1st to focus on the wintertime
circulation adjustment.
We employed two different climate
model simulations: (1) the simulation of the NCAR CSM 1.4 coupled atmosphere - ocean General Circulation Model (GCM) analyzed by Ammann et al (2007) and (2) simulations of a simple Energy Balance Model (
model simulations: (1) the
simulation of the NCAR CSM 1.4 coupled atmosphere - ocean General
Circulation Model (GCM) analyzed by Ammann et al (2007) and (2) simulations of a simple Energy Balance Model (
Model (GCM) analyzed by Ammann et al (2007) and (2)
simulations of a simple Energy Balance
Model (
Model (EBM).
Haarsma et al. (2015) argue on the basis
of model simulation that the weakening
of the Gulf Stream system will in the future be the main cause
of changes in the atmospheric summer
circulation over Europe.
Model simulations of the thermohaline
circulation indicate that for small perturbations, recovery can occur in a few decades.
As noted in that post, RealClimate defines the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation («AMO») as, «A multidecadal (50 - 80 year timescale) pattern
of North Atlantic ocean - atmosphere variability whose existence has been argued for based on statistical analyses
of observational and proxy climate data, and coupled Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Model («AOGCM»)
simulations.
Our general
circulation model simulations, which take into account the recently observed widespread occurrence
of vertically extended atmospheric brown clouds over the Indian Ocean and Asia, suggest that atmospheric brown clouds contribute as much as the recent increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gases to regional lower atmospheric warming trends.
This thesis presents the results
of several general
circulation model simulations aimed at studying the effect
of ocean
circulation changes when they occur in conjunction with increased atmospheric trace gas concentrations.
An increased number
of simulations using EMICs or Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Models (AOGCMs) that are the same as, or related to, the models used in simulations of the climates of the 20th and 21st centuries are available for these pe
Models (AOGCMs) that are the same as, or related to, the
models used in simulations of the climates of the 20th and 21st centuries are available for these pe
models used in
simulations of the climates
of the 20th and 21st centuries are available for these periods.
Rowlands (2012) write, «Here we present results from a multi-thousand-member perturbed - physics ensemble
of transient coupled atmosphere — ocean general
circulation model simulations.
People convinced as to the accuracy
of AO - GCM (Atmosphere Ocean General
Circulation Model)
simulations may believe that these provide acceptable estimates
of S, but even the IPCC does not deny the importance
of observational evidence.
The ensemble and seasonal forecast systems use a coupled atmosphere - ocean
model, which includes a
simulation of the general
circulation of the ocean and the associated coupled feedback processes that exist.
In a recent paper published in Nature Communications, using both observations and a coupled Earth system
model (GFDL - ESM2G) with a more realistic
simulation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AMOC) structure, and thus reduced mean state biases in the North Atlantic, the authors show that the decline
of the Atlantic major hurricane frequency during 2005 — 2015 is associated with a weakening
of the AMOC directly observed from the RAPID program.
Computer
simulations of the climate, referred to as «general
circulation models» (GCMs), can be used to assess the sensitivity
of climate to changes that might result from increased greenhouse gases.
Here a simple biologically and physically - based
model of sapflow potential is used to assess observed changes in sapflow across the Northeastern US from 1980 to 2006; document the correspondence between these observations and independent downscaled atmosphere ocean general
circulation model (AOGCM)
simulations of conditions during this period; and quantify changes in sapflow potential through 2100.
The Gulf
of Mexico
circulation is examined from the results
of a high - resolution (1/12 °) North Atlantic
simulation using the Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean
Model.
This study evaluates the tropical intraseasonal variability, especially the fidelity
of Madden - Julian oscillation (MJO)
simulations, in 14 coupled general
circulation models (GCMs) participating in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4).
«The authors write that «the notorious tropical bias problem in climate
simulations of global coupled general
circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly in the tropical Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one of the most basic features of the equatorial Atlantic Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most of the IPCC assessment report models,... as they describe it, «show that the bias in the eastern equatorial Atlantic has a major effect on sea - surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AM
circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly in the tropical Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one
of the most basic features
of the equatorial Atlantic Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most
of the IPCC assessment report
models,... as they describe it, «show that the bias in the eastern equatorial Atlantic has a major effect on sea - surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AM
Circulation (AMOC).»
These different SAT trends occur despite the fact that both
simulations were subject to the identical radiative forcing and were conducted with the same
model, highlighting the role
of internal atmospheric
circulation variability in any single
model run.
Here we use an ensemble
of simulations with a coupled ocean — atmosphere
model to show that the sea surface temperature anomalies associated with central Pacific El Niño force changes in the extra-tropical atmospheric
circulation.
Palaeological evidence and
simulation modelling show North Atlantic plankton biomass declining by 50 % over a long time - scale during periods
of reduced Meridional Overturning
Circulation (Schmittner, 2005).
But in a given
model you can often find ways
of altering the
model's climate sensitivity through the sub-grid convection and cloud schemes that affect cloud feedback, but you have to tread carefully because the cloud
simulation exerts a powerful control on the atmospheric
circulation, top -
of - atmosphere (TOA) and surface radiative flux patterns, the tropical precipitation distribution, etc..
The time - independent linear response to these tropical anomalies is calculated for extratropical basic states taken from reanalysis climatologies and also from the climatological states
of Action de Recherche Petite Echelle Grande Echelle (ARPEGE) and Laboratoire de Mà © tà © orologie Dynamique (LMDZ) general
circulation model simulations.
The second part
of the dissertation analyzes dust emission in an atmospheric general
circulation model (AGCM), where realistic
simulation is inhibited by the
model's coarse resolution compared to the scale
of the
circulations observed to mobilize dust.
The goal is to improve
model biases with regards to hydrographic measurements and
circulation constraints and use the improved
model for coupled ocean - atmosphere
simulations of preindustrial, historical and future climates.
Here we present results from a multi-thousand-member perturbed - physics ensemble
of transient coupled atmosphere — ocean general
circulation model simulations.
The representation
of the glacial ocean state and
circulation in coupled climate
simulations differs substantially between
models and is often at odds with the geological evidence.
To better understand these discrepancies, a recent study published in Geophysical Research Letters investigates the drivers
of changes in deep ocean
circulation across a range
of modern and Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~ 21000 years ago) climate
simulations from the latest Paleoclimate
Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP).
Finally, atmospheric
model simulations with prescribed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) illuminate the role
of SST trends in forcing the observed
circulation trends.
The influence
of reduced solar forcing (grand solar minimum or geoengineering scenarios like solar radiation management) on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AMOC) is assessed in an ensemble
of atmosphere — ocean — chemistry — climate
model simulations.
We present a description
of the ModelE2 version
of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) General
Circulation Model (GCM) and the configurations used in the
simulations performed for the...
Most LGM
simulations with coupled
models shift the deep - water formation in the North Atlantic southward, but large differences exist between
models in the intensity
of the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation.
The researchers base their assumptions on
simulations with an elaborate computer
model of general
circulation, ECHAM5, focusing on the Barents - Kara Sea north
of Norway and Russia where a drastic reduction
of ice was observed in the cold European winter
of 2005 - 06.
Since all
models significantly expand their Hadley cells in climate warming
simulations, this cloud -
circulation interaction leaves a significant imprint on the radiative impact
of the clouds.
Based on current
model simulations, it is very likely that the meridional overturning
circulation (MOC)
of the Atlantic Ocean will slow down during the 21st century.
Using global climate
model simulations that replicated the ocean basins and landmasses
of this period, it appears that changes in ocean
circulation due to warming played a key role.
A full description
of the ModelE version
of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) Atmospheric General
Circulation Model (GCM) and results are presented for present - day climate
simulations (c. 1979).
As a result
of these enhancements, the CM2.5
model has a significantly improved
simulation of many aspects
of climate, particularly hydroclimate over continental regions (Delworth et al., 2012, Figures 5,6,7 and 9) and aspects
of ocean
circulation.
«Furthermore, we show with the general
circulation model simulations that some climatic effects at maximum wind power extraction are similar in magnitude to those associated with a doubling
of atmospheric CO2.»
Coupled climate
model simulations for a period
of about 10,000 years would be probably needed to capture these kinds
of circulations (I am just speculating here).