The question is «evidence of what» a... ***** Since it is putatively a General
Circulation Model of climate, one would expect it's output to deal with climate.
Interview with Jack Eddy Ocean Currents and Climate Theory Simple Models of Climate Change Chaos in the Atmosphere Venus & Mars General
Circulation Models of Climate Basic Radiation Calculations Arakawa's Computation Device GCM Family Tree (P. Edwards)
Not exact matches
This
model is widely used by both UK and international groups for research into ocean
circulation,
climate and marine ecosystems, and operationally as part
of the UK Met Office's weather forecasting.
«As a result, some atmospheric
circulations systems can not be resolved by these
models, and this clearly impacts the accuracy
of climate change predictions as shown in our study.»
Observations and the high - resolution
climate model CM2.6 show a strong relationship between a weakening Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AMOC) and an increase in the proportion
of warm - temperate slope water entering the U.S. Northeast Continental Shelf, primarily through the Gulf
of Maine's Northeast Channel.
«Formation
of coastal sea ice in North Pacific drives ocean
circulation,
climate: New understanding
of changes in North Pacific ocean
circulation over the past 1.2 million years could lead to better global
climate models.»
The UM Rosenstiel School researchers used historical observations
of cloud cover as a proxy for wind velocity in
climate models to analyze the Walker
circulation, the atmospheric air flow and heat distribution in the tropic Pacific region that affects patterns
of tropical rainfall.
A Columbia Engineering team led by Pierre Gentine, professor
of earth and environmental engineering, and Adam Sobel, professor
of applied physics and applied mathematics and
of earth and environmental sciences, has developed a new approach, opposite to
climate models, to correct
climate model inaccuracies using a high - resolution atmospheric
model that more precisely resolves clouds and convection (precipitation) and parameterizes the feedback between convection and atmospheric
circulation.
CMIP was established as a resource for
climate modelers, providing a standard protocol for studying the output
of coupled atmosphere - ocean general
circulation models so that these
models can be compared and validated.
This new information can be incorporated into current
climate models to predict future changes in the magnitude and pattern
of the Walker
Circulation due to increased greenhouse gas emissions.
Climate models show the absence
of a global atmospheric
circulation pattern which bolsters high ocean temperatures key to coral bleaching
«
Climate changes predicted by the global
circulation models would cause several percent
of the Mexican population to move north [if] all other factors are held constant.»
They were Jorge Sarmiento, an oceanographer at Princeton University who constructs ocean -
circulation models that calculate how much atmospheric carbon dioxide eventually goes into the world's oceans; Eileen Claussen, executive director
of the Pew Center for Global
Climate Change in Washington, D.C.; and David Keith, a physicist with the University
of Calgary in Alberta who designs technological solutions to the global warming problem.
A global
climate model or general
circulation model aims to describe
climate behavior by integrating a variety
of fluid - dynamical, chemical, or even biological equations that are either derived directly from physical laws (e.g.
Using
climate models and data collected about aerosols and meteorology over the past 30 years, the researchers found that air pollution over Asia — much
of it coming from China — is impacting global air
circulations.
New understanding
of changes in North Pacific ocean
circulation over the past 1.2 million years could lead to better global
climate models
In a recent paper titled, «Demarcating
circulation regimes
of synchronously rotating terrestrial planets within the habitable zone,» my co-authors and I analyze a set
of climate model calculations to examine the dependence upon stellar effective temperature
of the atmospheric dynamics
of planets as they move closer to the inner edge
of the habitable zone.
The
climate models aren't really good enough in their representation
of present - day
circulation to give you much confidence in the specifics
of their predictions [so that you could use them to do a cost - benefit analysis for example], but the risk
of widespread change is still there.
And a proper discussion
of climate change often does call for precise terms like external forcing and general
circulation models, and other non-toddler friendly jargon.
Scientists at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory showed that global
climate models are not accurately depicting the true depth and strength
of tropical clouds that have a strong hold on the general
circulation of atmospheric heat and the global water balance.
(Top left) Global annual mean radiative influences (W m — 2)
of LGM
climate change agents, generally feedbacks in glacial - interglacial cycles, but also specified in most Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations for the LGM.
To derive the
climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general
circulation models to consider two scenarios
of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end
of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).
Both observations and the
climate model demonstrate a robust relationship between a weakening Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AMOC) and an increase in the proportion
of Warm - Temperate Slope Water entering the Northwest Atlantic Shelf.
He promoted the use
of water stable isotopomers for reconstructing past
climate changes from ice cores and with associated atmospheric
modelling using both dynamically simple and General
Circulation Models (GCMs).
Broecker's articulation
of likely effects
of freshwater outbursts in the North Atlantic on ocean
circulation and global
climate (Broecker, 1990; Broecker et al., 1990) spurred quantitative studies with idealized ocean
models (Stocker and Wright, 1991) and global atmosphere — ocean
models (Manabe and Stouffer, 1995; Rahmstorf 1995, 1996).
Previously, Kelly was a Postdoctoral Fellow and Research Associate at the University
of Washington and the University
of Victoria in British Columbia, Canada where she studied the role
of the changing Arctic sea ice cover on global
circulation, weather, and
climate using a hierarchy
of numerical global
climate models.
Her research apparatus is built with a fusion
of advanced statistical methods, idealized general
circulation models (GCM), and state
of the art
climate models.
Cess, R.D., et al., 1989: Interpretation
of cloud -
climate feedback as produced by 14 atmospheric general
circulation models.
Diansky, N.A., and E.M. Volodin, 2002: Simulation
of the present - day
climate with a coupled atmosphere - ocean general
circulation model.
Zhang, M.H., R.D. Cess, J.J. Hack, and J.T. Kiehl, 1994: Diagnostic study
of climate feedback processed in atmospheric general
circulation models.
Using the adjoint
of an ocean general
circulation model, I try to understand the local and remote processes that generate temperature anomalies in the Nordic Seas on different timescales and their potential contribution to decadal
climate predictability.
Wood, R.A., A.B. Keen, J.F.B. Mitchell, and J.M. Gregory, 1999: Changing spatial structure
of the thermohaline
circulation in response to atmospheric CO2 forcing in a
climate model.
Climate modeling groups have also been experimenting with ways to use the predictability
of deeper ocean
circulations (where internal variations can persist for up to a decade), but results have been mixed at best.
The delta method interpolates the General
Circulation Model generally used in
climate modelling at scales
of 100 to 200 km using a thin plate spline spatial interpolation method to achieve the 30 arc seconds resolution [52].
The Met Office Hadley Centre (Hadley Centre for
Climate Prediction and Research) climate change model, Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater th
Climate Prediction and Research)
climate change model, Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater th
climate change
model, Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater than
model, Hadley Centre Coupled
Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater than
Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general
circulation model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater than
model, was used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows
of ten years either side
of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average
of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission scenarios
of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater than B1).
Climate change projections were based on an ensemble
of four General
Circulation Models (UKMO HadCM3, MPIM ECHAM5, CSIRO MK3.5 and GFDL CM2.1), downscaled to 10 minutes [32], considering three emissions scenarios (B2, A1B and A2) for 1975 (mean 1961 — 1990), 2050 (mean 2041 — 2060) and 2090 (mean 2081 — 2100).
There is considerable confidence that Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Models (AOGCMs) provide credible quantitative estimates
of future
climate change, particularly at continental and larger scales.
This Bern
model incorporates non-linear ocean chemistry feedbacks and CO2 fertilization
of the terrestrial biosphere, but it omits
climate - carbon feedbacks, e.g., assuming static global
climate and ocean
circulation.
First, the hypothesis
of manmade global warming is only supported by general
circulation models, which are known to be imperfect representations
of the Earth's
climate systems.
The visualization covers the period June 2005 to December 2007 and is based on a synthesis
of a numerical
model with observational data, created by a NASA project called Estimating the
Circulation and
Climate of the Ocean, or ECCO for short.
However, the general
circulation models are, at present, timeconsuming and expensive to run, and, despite the known shortcomings
of the one - dimensional
models, most available predictions
of climate change have been made using the simpler
models.
This correction changes the overall salt budget for the Atlantic, also changing the stability
of the
model's ocean
circulation in future
climate change.
(This genre
of one - dimensional and two - dimensional
models lay between the rudimentary, often qualitative models covered in the essay on Simple Models of Climate and the elaborate three - dimensional General Circulation Models of the Atmosp
models lay between the rudimentary, often qualitative
models covered in the essay on Simple Models of Climate and the elaborate three - dimensional General Circulation Models of the Atmosp
models covered in the essay on Simple
Models of Climate and the elaborate three - dimensional General Circulation Models of the Atmosp
Models of Climate and the elaborate three - dimensional General
Circulation Models of the Atmosp
Models of the Atmosphere.)
There may be reason to strongly suspect that in any sufficiently complicated dynamical system
model (such as
climate) with stochastic parameters (e.g., exactly when and where a lightning strike starts a major wildfire or a major submarine earthquake perturbs ocean
circulation in a region or a major volcanic eruption introduces stratospheric aerosols), it is almost certain that any given run
of the
model will have periods
of significant deviation from the mean
of multiple runs.
«It is now widely known that the water vapor feedback in general
circulation models (GCMs) is close to that which would result from a
climate ‐ invariant distribution
of relative humidity [Soden and Held, 2006], as long anticipated before the advent
of such
models [e.g., Arrhenius, 1896; Manabe and Wetherald, 1967].»
There are uncertainties in parts
of the general
circulation models used to forecast future
climate, but thousands
of scientists have made meticulous efforts to make sure that the processes are based on observations
of basic physics, laboratory measurements, and sound theoretical calculations.
That matters because the trickiest part
of global
climate models appears to be how they handle ocean - atmosphere interactions, and I really have no idea how well they link changes in local wind - driven upwelling to the net thermohaline
circulation.
«GCM — General
Circulation Model (sometimes Global
Climate Model) which includes the physics
of the atmosphere and often the ocean, sea ice and land surface as well.»
Schmidt, G.A., D.T. Shindell, R.L. Miller, M.E. Mann, and D. Rind, General
circulation modelling of Holocene
climate variability, Quaternary Sci.
Eg the Lea et al 2002 paper I referenced above has the title «Sensitivity analysis
of the
climate of a chaotic ocean
circulation model».