Sentences with phrase «circulation models predict»

General circulation models predict that global warming over the next few decades will occur mainly in the polar regions.

General circulation models predict that, for a doubling of atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide, mean annual air temperatures may rise several degrees over much of the Arctic.

3) The tropical tropospheric 8 km no hot spot Paradox (Strike 3 and the CAWG is disproved) The IPCC's general circulation models predict that most amount of warming on the planet should occur in the tropics at 8k above the earth's surface.

Not exact matches

This finding was reinforced by computer models of the general circulation of the atmosphere, the fruit of a long effort to learn how to predict (and perhaps even deliberately change) the weather.

The study, aimed at quantifying the small - scale circulation that can not be captured by satellite - based altimeter measurements or general circulation models, has immediate practical applications to help better predict the path of catastrophic pollutant events, such as from future oil spills or nuclear disaster events.

The group also used a general circulation model to predict what might be expected to happen in the world's wine locales in the next 50 years and determined that an average additional warming of two degrees C may occur.

This new information can be incorporated into current climate models to predict future changes in the magnitude and pattern of the Walker Circulation due to increased greenhouse gas emissions.

«As the circulation changed from decade to decade — 1980s to 1990s to 2000s — the model predicted a big dip in oceanic CO2 uptake during the 1990s, then a large increase in uptake during the 2000s,» DeVries explained.

«Climate changes predicted by the global circulation models would cause several percent of the Mexican population to move north [if] all other factors are held constant.»

«This is an interesting theoretical paper using mathematical modelling to predict the possible effects of influenza vaccines that have not yet been developed on the circulation and evolution of flu viruses.

Information is transmitted to a satellite when the animals surface to breathe and is used to create computer models that will better predict ocean circulation patterns.

Gonzalez - Torres himself had formulated a brilliant theoretical approach to the circulation of images, objects, and ideas, based on a model of virality, that incisively responded to the horrors of the AIDS crisis while accurately predicting the terms of our current cultural epoch.

For example, they predicted the expansion of the Hadley cells, the poleward movement of storm tracks, the rising of the tropopause, the rising of the effective radiating altitude, the circulation of aerosols in the atmosphere, the modelling of the transmission of radiation through the atmosphere, the clear sky super greenhouse effect that results from increased water vapor in the tropics, the near constancy of relative humidity, and polar amplification, the cooling of the stratosphere while the troposphere warmed.

This is followed by the authors» conclusion that while simple models (which consider only carbon chemistry) predict that the ocean will take up 70 - 80 % of the carbon dioxide we emit, the long - equilibrium will quite possibly be considerably higher than those models would suggest — given the changes to ocean circulation.

For example, do climate models predict jumps between states of climatic circulation, either atmospheric or oceanic?

This is computer model crap based on General Circulation Models that fails to predict anything and the climate sensitivity is feeded in the model even though they do nt have a clue what it is.

Precipitation extremes and their potential future changes were predicted using six - member ensembles of general circulation models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5).

In contrast to Trenberth's 2015 lament that atmospheric circulation patterns are not robustly simulated by CO2 - driven climate models, predicting storm tracks and blocking are the most critical factors for providing early warnings.

It is very questionable if the properties of the disturbances observed in nature or simulated by global circulation models can be easily predicted by any of those theories (see also Lee and Mak 1996 or discussion in Chang et al. 2002).

You'll need to be okay with not understanding why CO2 lags temperature, why its predicted effects do not match observed climate measurements, or why the IPCC's general circulation models can not predict short - term, regional, or even past climate changes accurately.

Because radiative forcing, while it does vary somewhat with vertical profile, is relatively immune to changes of the atmosphere due to circulation, so models can do a reasonable job of predicting that the global mean temperatures increase.

The IPCC scientists themselves acknowledge this complexity and have never claimed that they are able to PREDICT the future global climate, even with the help of their computerized General Circulation Models.

To test how well a climate model predicts possible changes in ocean circulation due to climate change, GISS scientists have simulated the effects of a massive flood of fresh water some 8000 years ago.

Interpretation of cloud - climate feedback predicted by 14 atmospheric general circulation models.

If human - caused warming continues to alter these complex circulation patterns, the study's models predict more rain in the eastern tropical regions of the Indian Ocean and drought in the western equatorial Indian Ocean region.

In contrast, general circulation models of the coupled thermosphere and ionosphere predict dramatic responses to changing solar energy inputs (figure 4), but a lack of global datasets precludes comprehensive validation.

A major enigma is that general circulation climate models predict an immutable climate in response to decadal solar variability, whereas surface temperatures, cloud cover, drought, rainfall, tropical cyclones, and forest fires show a definite correlation with solar activity.

Even if we can not readily find the cause for the «pause» — as it is sometimes called — we can be absolutely sure that it was not predicted by any of the dozens of the UN-IPCC's General Circulation Models (GCMs).

But Franklin said that in contrast to track forecasts, predicting storm intensity requires knowing lots of small - scale details that computer models have trouble capturing, from the dynamics of a storm's structure to the characteristics of air masses being pulled into a storm's circulation.

As atmospheric circulation changes, tropical cyclone tracks are bound to change (and models show this), but we have low confidence now in predicting just how they might change.

Thus, recent paleoclimatic temperature reconstructions imply that the natural climate variability varied significantly more than predicted by the CMIP5 general circulation models, which use Lean's low - variability TSI model (e.g.: Scafetta 2013a, b, c).

Jones et al. (2003) investigated the changes in temperature over the past 4 decades at both the near surface (troposphere) and stratosphere layers, and compare them to changes predicted by a coupled atmosphere / ocean general circulation model, HadCM3.

The chemistry - climate models used for the 2006 Ozone Assessment, predict that the Antarctic ozone hole will achieve full recovery in the second half of this century, and that this may have profound impacts on the surface winds and, likely, on other aspects of the Earth's climate, including surface temperatures, locations of storm tracks, extent of dry zones, amount of sea ice, and ocean circulation.

9) In many GCMs, there are large biases in atmospheric circulation, and it seems probable that these biases will have major impacts on the ability of these models to accurately predict changes in sea ice.

No computer necessary, only pen and paper and yet you get all the circulation features right (Hadley cells, polar cells) and the model even predicts their location and dynamics.

Also, we have good reason to doubt that the GCMs are capable of predicting any circulation changes, because of the problems they have even modeling the past, exhibit A of which is the big problem of the double ITCZ: