Yet these proxies are being used to make
claims about global temperatures (when coverage within the northern hemisphere is rather poor and coverage outside the northern hemisphere is almost nonexistent) with uncertainties of less than one degree celcius..
In light of some of his other
claims about global temperatures and Arctic sea ice, however, I thought I'd do some of my own snooping.
With this package, students can impress their friends (and annoy their AGW skeptic parents) by shooting down Anthony Watts» favorite
claims about the global temperature record with just a series of mouse - clicks.
Not exact matches
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three
claims have widespread scientific support:
Global temperature has risen
about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 in the atmosphere have increased by
about 30 % over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future warming.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three
claims have widespread scientific support:
Global temperature has risen
about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 [carbon dioxide] in the atmosphere have increased by
about 30 percent over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future warming.
There has been a bit of excitement and confusion this week
about a new paper in Nature Geoscience,
claiming that we can still limit
global warming to below 1.5 °C above preindustrial
temperatures, whilst emitting another ~ 800 Gigatons of carbon dioxide.
Milloy further
claims that the observed
global warming of 0.6 - 0.8 C over the 20th Century is «well within the natural variation in average
global temperature, which in the case of the Arctic, for example, is a range of
about 3 degrees Centigrade».
Neil confronted them with the
claim that the Antarctic ice is getting thicker, and asked them to explain how this was compatible with
global warming; he also talked
about mean
temperatures and the trend in the same since 1998 (see the programme from
about 7 minutes in, and also from
about 9m 15s in).
It's clear that Smith doesn't understand, willfully or otherwise, even the most basic ideas
about global warming; he still
claims global temperatures haven't risen since 1998, for example, sticking to a «pause» in warming that we know, and have known for some time, doesn't exist.
The main basis for the
claim that there has been «unusual»
global warming since the late 19th century is that the
global temperature estimates constructed from weather station records suggest a warming trend of
about 0.8 - 1.0 °C since
about 1880.
Marcott paper Basically the folks at RC have probably made poor ol Marcott respond that the uptick did not matter anyway its not important, significant, robust etc don't rely on it just forget
about it please etc but unfortunately for them as Ross MC on Realclimate reply, at CA says «But that is precisely what they do in Figure 3 of their paper, and it is the basis of their
claim that «
Global temperature, therefore, has risen from near the coldest to the warmest levels of the Holocene within the past century, reversing the long - term cooling trend that began ~ 5000 yr B.P.» Without the uptick in their proxy reconstruction this kind of statement could never have been made.
Since IPCC's first report in 1990, assessed projections have suggested
global average
temperature increases [at least, because of IPCC's accelerated warming
claim] between
about 0.15 °C and 0.3 °C per decade for 1995 to 2010.
If someone of the ones who state the assertion
about the «stopped»
global warming, is able to demonstrate that the Null hypothesis above can be successfully rejected, using proper statistical analysis, I will concede that they indeed have statistical evidence at hand, which indicates something has changed significantly in the
global temperature record since 1997 or whatever point is
claimed to be the one at which
global warming allegedly «stopped».
Jeff Masters, a meteorologist with a bent to blaming every weather event on
global warming, chose to make some extreme
claims about hot ocean
temperatures that are... er... well, bizarre for someone with a science background.
I don't believe climate scientists know any where near as much as they think they do
about «
global average
temperature,» let alone the tenths of a degree change per year they
claim to detect.
While these earlier periods are outside the
claims of the IPCC statement, the point is valid that we need to know the character of natural variability to make
claims about the extent of human influence on
global temperatures.
Just as any sort - term drop in
temperatures becomes a
claim that
global warming has «stopped», any study that mentions a decrease in climate sensitivity is grabbed as if it is evidence that everything
about climate sensitivity is decreasing.
Exactly, but using good numbers not a «hotchpotch assembly» for which it is
claimed to be
global temperature (there is no such thing, there is
global energy content, but that is totally different story) So calculate correlation CET - GT from 1880 using 5 year bin averaging http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net//CETGNH.htm P.S. your statement on natural variability on decadal scale is grossly misleading, you got
about 130 years of good records so you need to look at multi-decadal picture.
Besides, warmists can perfectly debunk that
claim about no increase in the nonsensical «
global temperature» fake skeptics like so much.
I get very confused
about the competing
claims for
global temperatures in recent years.
been repeatedly told that three
claims have widespread scientific support:
Global temperature has risen
about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 in
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three
claims have widespread scientific support:
Global temperature has risen
about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 in the atmosphere have increased by
about 30 % over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future warming.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three
claims have widespread scientific support:
Global temperature has risen
about a degree since the late 19th century; levels of CO2 [carbon dioxide] in the atmosphere have increased by
about 30 percent over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future warming.
However, Senate Republicans released a report ahead of the hearing that rejected many of the
claims made by scientists, politicians and activists
about rising
global temperatures.
f anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make
claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on
global temperatures for 2006: «All
temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.
If anybody is still in any doubt that it is UNSCIENTIFIC to make
claims about hottest years, without taking into account error bars, I would advise what the World Meteorological Organisation had to say on the issue in their report on
global temperatures for 2006: «All
temperature values have uncertainties, which arise mainly from gaps in data coverage.
He felt confident enough to make an accusation of dishonesty
about our
claim of a
global surface
temperature pause / hiatus.
Climatologist Dr. Ross McKitrick, one of the authors and an Associate Professor at the University of Guelph, believes that the United Nations agency promoting the
global temperature graph has made «false
claims about the quality of its data.»
In particular, it
claims that «Since the 1940's the mean
global temperature has dropped
about 2.7 degrees F» (my emphasis).
And as Judith Curry points out
about the current climate, there are many problems with the
claim that «more than half of the observed increase in
global average surface
temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together» — far from speaking for itself, the statement needs unpacking and its premises interrogating.
The authors make no specific
claim about the cause of the noted spring
temperature increase, other than to point to El Nino and
global warming.
We have record
temperatures, have had for 12 months now, and the very folks who
claimed we were
about to enter a period of
global cooling still
claim there's nothing going on.