The challenge will be settled using the NASA GISS mean global land surface temperatures for the conventional
climate averaging period (defined by the World Meteorological Organization as 30 years) ending on December 31, 2016.
Not exact matches
First in revenue and loan growth (adjusted for significant acquisitions) when
averaged over the one -, three -, and five - year
periods, reflecting the fact that the Company continued to provide credit to consumers, small businesses, and commercial companies in the current credit
climate; and
«Our study illustrates that the complexity of
climate change, adaptation, and flood damage can be disentangled by surprisingly simple mathematical functions to provide estimates of the
average annual costs of sea - level rise over a longer time
period.»
If
climate change gets catastrophic — and the world sees more than 6 degrees Celsius warming of
average temperatures — the planet will have left the current geologic
period, known as the Quaternary and a distant successor to the Ordovician, and have returned to temperatures last seen in the Paleogene
period more than 30 million years ago.
«During last warming
period, Antarctica heated up two to three times more than planet
average: Amplification of warming at poles consistent with today's
climate change models.»
But within these long
periods there have been abrupt
climate changes, sometimes happening in the space of just a few decades, with variations of up to 10ºC in the
average temperature in the polar regions caused by changes in the Atlantic ocean circulation.
That was the last time Earth experienced a long
period with a
climate that, on
average, was warm before cold ice ages began to alternate with mild interglacials.
Over this 100 - year
period, O'Gorman found that
average snowfall decreased substantially in many Northern Hemisphere regions in warm -
climate scenarios compared with the milder control
climates, but that snowfall amounts in the largest snowstorms did not decrease to the same extent.
U.S. Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend LINK WASHINGTON, Jan. 25 — After examining
climate data extending back nearly 100 years, a team of Government scientists has concluded that there has been no significant change in
average temperatures or rainfall in the United States over that entire
period.
To show how close the world already is to reaching that limit,
Climate Central has been reanalyzing the global temperature data each month,
averaging together the NASA and NOAA numbers and comparing them to the
average from 1881 - 1910, a time
period closer to preindustrial times.
The State of the
Climate November 2015 report noted that in order for 2015 to not become the warmest year in the 136 - year
period of record, the December global temperature would have to be at least 0.81 °C (1.46 °F) below the 20th century
average — or 0.24 °C (0.43 °F) colder than the current record low December temperature of 1916.
«Weather is what's happening over a very short
period of time, whereas
climate is what happens, on
average, over a longer
period.»
In contrast, the balance shifts in a warming
climate, and on
average more new records highs than new record lows are set over any time
period.
The graphic displays monthly global temperature data from the U.K. Met Office and charts how each month compares to the
average for the same
period from 1850 - 1900, the same baselines used in the most recent report from the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change.
The projected increase in annual
average daily maximum temperature (°F) for each
climate division in Montana for the
periods 2049 - 2069 and 2070 - 2099 for (A) stabilization (RCP4.5) and (B) business - as - usual (RCP8.5) emission scenarios.
The
climate is pretty even with
average temperatures varying between the high sixties and low eighties — however, make no mistake, when the sun comes out it is HOT and humidty can reach 75 % especially between July - December
period which means you need to be well protected against mosquitos.
The 20 yr
period is more for inter-fuel comparison purposes; the 100 yr
period is for looking out enough beyond the minimum 30 - yr
climate averages for modeling; and the 500 yr
period is for far reaching effects at the millennial level and beyond.
But let's accept this longer
averaging period as a legitimate choice, since the forecast applies to the medium - term
climate evolution and not short - term fluctuations, so that the latter can be filtered out by smoothing.
Many paleoclimate archives document
climate changes that happened at rates considerably exceeding the
average rate of change for longer - term
averaging periods prior and after this change... A variety of mechanisms have been suggested to explain the emergence of such abrupt
climate changes (see Section 12.5.5).
Except for the early 1930s, the
periods with strong El Nino were warmest of record at
climate stations in the Midwest (
periods based on 5 year annual moving
averages).
This is why
climate forecasts are mostly for much longer
periods where those variations as well can be
averaged out.
«We show that the
climate over the 21st century can and likely will produce
periods of a decade or two where the globally
averaged surface air temperature shows no trend or even slight cooling in the presence of longer - term warming,» the paper says, adding that, «It is easy to «cherry pick» a
period to reinforce a point of view.»
- What makes this
period of time statistically significant in terms of
climate (which is simply
average of weather over time)?
Starting from an old equilbrium, a change in radiative forcing results in a radiative imbalance, which results in energy accumulation or depletion, which causes a temperature response that approahes equilibrium when the remaining imbalance approaches zero — thus the equilibrium climatic response, in the global - time
average (for a time
period long enough to characterize the climatic state, including externally imposed cycles (day, year) and internal variability), causes an opposite change in radiative fluxes (via Planck function)(plus convective fluxes, etc, where they occur) equal in magnitude to the sum of the (externally) imposed forcing plus any «forcings» caused by non-Planck feedbacks (in particular,
climate - dependent changes in optical properties, + etc.).)
For most recent sampling see: New Peer - Reviewed Study finds «Solar changes significantly alter
climate» (11-3-07)(LINK) & «New Peer - Reviewed Study Halves the Global
Average Surface Temperature Trend 1980 — 2002» (LINK) & New Study finds Medieval Warm
Period «0.3 C Warmer than 20th Century» (LINK) For a more comprehensive sampling of peer - reviewed studies earlier in 2007 see «New Peer - Reviewed Scientific Studies Chill Global Warming Fears» LINK]
(Mirriam and Websters define
climate as: 2 a: the
average course or condition of the weather at a place usually over a
period of years as exhibited by temperature, wind velocity, and precipitation.)
and barley (Hordeum vulgare L.) in field trialsconducted in eastern Canada are explored and then used to estimate potential impacts of
climate change scenarios on anticipated
average yields and total production of these commodities for the Atlantic region for the 2040 to 2069
period.
The
average climate for the past 10,000 years, which is the
period relating to the rise of human civilisation.
While one can describe «daily
climate,» obtained by
averaging the 24 - hourly readings or
averaging the minimum and maximum readings in a 24 - hour
period, much longer
periods are normally studied by climatologists.
Climate alarmists conveniently overlook evidence during the Holocene optimum where there were extended
periods of temperatures exceeding the
averages by 2 to 3 degrees Celsius above present temperatures.
Figure 6: Easterbrook's two global temperature projections A (green) and B (blue) vs. the IPCC TAR simple model projection tuned to seven global
climate models for emissions scenario A2 (the closest scenario to reality thus far)(red) and observed global surface temperature change (the
average of NASA GISS, NOAA, and HadCRUT4)(black) over the
period 2000 through 2011.
Climate is defined as an
average of weather over a
period of time, usually 30 years sometimes shorter.
Answer: Firstly, let's make sure we define
climate: an
average of weather patterns over some meaningful time
period.
U.S. Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend LINK WASHINGTON, Jan. 25 — After examining
climate data extending back nearly 100 years, a team of Government scientists has concluded that there has been no significant change in
average temperatures or rainfall in the United States over that entire
period.
The U.S.
Climate Extremes Index (USCEI), an index that tracks the highest and lowest 10 percent of extremes in temperature, precipitation, drought and tropical cyclones across the contiguous U.S., was a record - large 44 percent during the January - June
period, over twice the
average value.
Scientists agree that the effects of
climate change will include more sporadic and irregular precipitation, with longer
periods of drought separated by more intense rainfall; and increasing
average temperatures.
Figure 18.2: Projected increase in annual
average temperatures by mid-century (2041 - 2070) as compared to the 1971 - 2000
period tell only part of the
climate change story.
Despite how things look, the new
Climate Prediction Center's forecast for the Feb - Mar - Apr
period calls for an enhanced probability for above
average rain — about 50 % chance, versus the neutral 33 % chance.
Large and Yeager (2012) examined global ocean
average net heat flux variability using the CORE data set over 1984 — 2006 and concluded that natural variability, rather than long - term
climate change, dominates heat flux changes over this relatively short, recent
period.
Climate —
average conditions over long
periods.
If
climate sensitivity is a variable and not a constant what can we really learn from paleo data other than what the
climate sensitivity was, on
average, over an extended
period of time?
Example 4 (strawman argument): (4) I was referring to your quote: «For one thing long - term predictions of the
average climate over much less than ten - year
periods are less plausible than over longer
periods.»
When I said is: «If the
period of time over which the weather is
averaged in producing the
climate, then, the sample that is available for model building and validation consists of 15 events» What I meant to say is: «If the
period of time over which the weather is
averaged in producing the
climate IS TEN YEARS then, the sample that is available for model building and validation consists of 15 events.»
The utility of
climate averaged over long
periods is that it removes short term fluctuations from consideration, the same point as in Example 2d.
Climate seems to be defined as the
average of weather over an arbitrary
period.
Climate, on the other hand is
average weather over a
period of years; it can be thoug...
This is both for the current
average climate statistics and the CHANGES of these statistics over the hindcast
period of time.
Climate is the
average weather over a
period of at least 30 years.
Climate models are what happens when you calculate changes over a long enough
period of time for the fluctuations in weather to
average out so that you can see the underlying trend.
The researchers used recent historical data and not
climate modeling, so the study does not make any future predictions, but Swain says the findings appear to be consistent with other
climate research that reveals there is little change in
average precipitation, but an increase in the amount of very wet or very dry
periods.