Based on many studies covering a wide range of regions and crops, negative impacts
of climate change on crop yields have been more common than positive impacts (high confidence).
While many researchers have investigated the effects
of climate change on crop yields, Blanc's study is one of the first to consider how a changing climate may shape the availability and distribution of water basins on which irrigated crops depend.
«Most modeling studies that look at the impact of
climate change on crop yield and the fate of agriculture don't take into account whether the water available for irrigation will change,» Monier says.
«Integrating two types of crop models to predict the effect of
climate change on crop yields.»
Overall, the report said, «Negative impacts of
climate change on crop yields have been more common than positive impacts.»
But it's a funny kind of world in which it is known that «negative impacts of
climate change on crop yields have been more common than positive impacts», and yet yields per acre and in total have increased.
So in order to make the claim that «negative impacts of
climate change on crop yields have been more common than positive impacts», the IPCC — or the studies they have reviewed — have had to assume:
In fact the Summary says that negative impacts of
climate change on crop yields have been more common than positive impacts, with wheat and maize yields negatively affected in many regions and effects on rice and soybean yields smaller in major production regions.
We have already seen significant declines in global yields for staple crops like wheat and maize...») They were trying to split out the effects of
climate change on crop yields — a worthwhile exercise, no?