Sentences with phrase «climate change scenarios as»

With this context, my company Climate Forecast Applications Network (CFAN) has signed a new contract to develop regional climate change scenarios as part of a large, complex project.

Not exact matches

Instability will lead to global conflict, and that in turn may lead to what in a 2007 essay he referred to as» secular apocalypse» — total extinction of the human race through either thermonuclear war, biological contagion, unchecked climate change, or an array of competing Armageddon scenarios.

If the planet is to avert the worst scenarios for climate change, the optimistic long - run forecasts for oil demand growth put forward by energy giants such as Exxon can be thrown out the window.

Members work on areas such as water stewardship, climate change, and future scenario.

Under some scenarios, climate change could lead to dramatic drops in global wheat production as well as reductions in maize.

Tebaldi and co-author Pierre Friedlingstein, of the University of Exeter, analyzed when scientists would be able to detect the difference between a scenario known as RCP 2.6, where greenhouse gas emissions are curbed quickly, versus two other scenarios outlined in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports.

Ben ten Brink, researcher at the Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving (PBL): «This scenario is conceivable for regions that face a combination of impactful developments, such as strong population growth, poverty, climate change, a weak economic system and a feeble government.

Next year's school, «Adaptation and Mitigation: Responses to Climate Change,» will explore topics such as greenhouse gas emission scenarios, the economics of climate change, adaptation and mitigation measures, and climate poClimate Change,» will explore topics such as greenhouse gas emission scenarios, the economics of climate change, adaptation and mitigation measures, and climate polChange,» will explore topics such as greenhouse gas emission scenarios, the economics of climate change, adaptation and mitigation measures, and climate poclimate change, adaptation and mitigation measures, and climate polchange, adaptation and mitigation measures, and climate poclimate policies.

The team uses 30 years of historical precipitation and temperature data — from 1961 to 1990 — as well as eight different scenarios to project future climate changes from 2031 to 2060.

40 %: expected loss by 2050 of the region's original biodiversity under a «business as usual» scenario for climate change (with loss of 35 - 36 % expected under the three «pathways to sustainability»)

According to the report, under a «business as usual» scenario, climate change will be the fastest growing driver negatively impacting biodiversity by 2050 in the Americas, becoming comparable to the pressures imposed by land use change.

However, there is a still a knowledge and communication gap as to how the various climate change scenarios can be interpreted, and what they really mean for European forests.

Even the latest report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) sees clouds as the greatest uncertainty factor in the climate scenarios of the Climate Change (IPCC) sees clouds as the greatest uncertainty factor in the climate scenarios of the climate scenarios of the future.

In using the model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.

A Nature Climate Change study last year estimated that emissions per mile from light - duty vehicles could fall by as much as 94 percent by 2030 in a «best - case scenario» of electric driverless taxis (ClimateWire, July 7, 2015).

The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has estimated that the average global warming in this century will rise by 4 °C in a business - as - usual scenario.

They looked at each of those conditions through, first, a business - as - usual lens that assumes a lack of international climate - policy action with continued high rates of greenhouse gas emissions and, second, an optimistic scenario of reduced emissions with climate change policy interventions.

They found that the business - as - usual scenario comes with large climate changes the world over and would create entirely new patterns of temperature and precipitation for 12 to 39 percent of Earth's land area.

I hope that our calculations for worst - case - scenarios will be taken into consideration as the countries prepare for climate change,» says Aslak Grinsted.

To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.

No one is more concerned than the Japanese, who are surrounded by seas; about 73 % of Japan is forested, mountainous, and unsuitable for agricultural, industrial, or residential use, as a result, the habitable zones are mainly located in or near coastal areas, so much so that, there are growing concerns in Japan of the impact of climate change on their coastal surroundings, prompting the Japanese government to set up an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) sceclimate change on their coastal surroundings, prompting the Japanese government to set up an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenchange on their coastal surroundings, prompting the Japanese government to set up an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) sceClimate Change (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenChange (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) sceclimate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenchange, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios.

In the midst of an unseasonably warm winter in the Pacific Northwest, a comparison of four publicly available climate projections has shown broad agreement that the region will become considerably warmer in the next century if greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere rise to the highest levels projected in the the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) «business - as - usual» scclimate projections has shown broad agreement that the region will become considerably warmer in the next century if greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere rise to the highest levels projected in the the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) «business - as - usual» scClimate Change (IPCC) «business - as - usual» scenario.

But let's suppose events follow the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's «business as usual» scenario, with greenhouse emissions continuing...

«From a regional perspective, the differences in projected future changes are minor when you look at how much each projection says climate will change for the business - as - usual scenario,» said Yueyang Jiang, lead author and a postdoctoral scientist at OSU.

The carbon majors are defined as fossil fuel production entities and cement manufacturers that produced more than ≥ 8 million tonnes carbon per year (MtC / y), while the total human attribution case refers to all relevant human activities that have been measured and used in climate assessment model scenarios that influence climate change.

IIASA researchers have been involved in greenhouse gas emission projections since the beginning of climate change research in the 1970s, including research on both historical emissions as well as projections for future emissions based on multiple scenarios of economic and population growth and technological change.

Abstract: Models investigating the effects of climate change and human - led land - use change on biodiversity have arrived at alarming conclusions, with the worst case scenarios suggesting extinction rates at such a level as to constitute a sixth mass extinction event in the earth's history.

Probability distributions of sea - level change in the year 2100, relative to 2006, in four Scandinavian capitals on the Baltic Sea under the «business - as - usual» (RCP8.5) climate scenario.

As acknowledged in an Australian Bureau of Agriculture and Resource Economics report on climate change scenarios, also released on Monday, there are still considerable scientific uncertainties surrounding the nature and extent of future climate change.

Global climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC 2014a).

Such is the scenario the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change paints in its recent report outlining ways climate change can be mitigated as civilizations across the globe continue to burn fossil fuels with little sign they'll stop anytimClimate Change paints in its recent report outlining ways climate change can be mitigated as civilizations across the globe continue to burn fossil fuels with little sign they'll stop anytimeChange paints in its recent report outlining ways climate change can be mitigated as civilizations across the globe continue to burn fossil fuels with little sign they'll stop anytimclimate change can be mitigated as civilizations across the globe continue to burn fossil fuels with little sign they'll stop anytimechange can be mitigated as civilizations across the globe continue to burn fossil fuels with little sign they'll stop anytime soon.

The role of the Climate Change Commission is to gather the latest science and information on climate change impacts to Hawai`i and provide advice and recommendations to the mayor, City Council, and executive departments as they look to draft policy and engage in planning for future climate sceClimate Change Commission is to gather the latest science and information on climate change impacts to Hawai`i and provide advice and recommendations to the mayor, City Council, and executive departments as they look to draft policy and engage in planning for future climate scenChange Commission is to gather the latest science and information on climate change impacts to Hawai`i and provide advice and recommendations to the mayor, City Council, and executive departments as they look to draft policy and engage in planning for future climate sceclimate change impacts to Hawai`i and provide advice and recommendations to the mayor, City Council, and executive departments as they look to draft policy and engage in planning for future climate scenchange impacts to Hawai`i and provide advice and recommendations to the mayor, City Council, and executive departments as they look to draft policy and engage in planning for future climate sceclimate scenarios.

Accurate answers to this question are subject to data constraints, as neither of the available projection datasets under future climate change scenarios is designed for a 1.5 / 2 °C temperature warming levels.

As the impacts of climate change become more pronounced in coming years, BECCS and other negative emissions technologies are looked to as a means of avoiding dangerous future climate scenarios by removing carbon dioxide from the atmospherAs the impacts of climate change become more pronounced in coming years, BECCS and other negative emissions technologies are looked to as a means of avoiding dangerous future climate scenarios by removing carbon dioxide from the atmospheras a means of avoiding dangerous future climate scenarios by removing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.

The lessons are as follows: Lesson 1 - Intro to climate change Lesson 2 - Climate Change, real or hoax Lesson 3 - The Ice Age Debate Lesson 4 - Worst Case Scenario Lesson 5,6 - Impacts of Climate Change Lesson 7 - Impacts on the UK This content is suitable for year 9 but is taught to a high level and is more than suitable to use foclimate change Lesson 2 - Climate Change, real or hoax Lesson 3 - The Ice Age Debate Lesson 4 - Worst Case Scenario Lesson 5,6 - Impacts of Climate Change Lesson 7 - Impacts on the UK This content is suitable for year 9 but is taught to a high level and is more than suitable to use forchange Lesson 2 - Climate Change, real or hoax Lesson 3 - The Ice Age Debate Lesson 4 - Worst Case Scenario Lesson 5,6 - Impacts of Climate Change Lesson 7 - Impacts on the UK This content is suitable for year 9 but is taught to a high level and is more than suitable to use foClimate Change, real or hoax Lesson 3 - The Ice Age Debate Lesson 4 - Worst Case Scenario Lesson 5,6 - Impacts of Climate Change Lesson 7 - Impacts on the UK This content is suitable for year 9 but is taught to a high level and is more than suitable to use forChange, real or hoax Lesson 3 - The Ice Age Debate Lesson 4 - Worst Case Scenario Lesson 5,6 - Impacts of Climate Change Lesson 7 - Impacts on the UK This content is suitable for year 9 but is taught to a high level and is more than suitable to use foClimate Change Lesson 7 - Impacts on the UK This content is suitable for year 9 but is taught to a high level and is more than suitable to use forChange Lesson 7 - Impacts on the UK This content is suitable for year 9 but is taught to a high level and is more than suitable to use for GCSE.

[2011 paper 157 cites] Exploring high - end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low - lying delta — the Netherlands as an example Sea level rise, especially combined with possible changes in storm surges and increased river discharge resulting from climate change, poses a major threat in low - lying river deltas.

We can not afford to delay further action to tackle climate change if the long - term target of limiting the global average temperature increase to 2 °C, as analysed in the 450 Scenario, is to be achieved at reasonable cost.

More on Global Climate Change: Warmest April, Ever - NOAA Releases New Global Temperature Data 5.2 °C Temperature Rise by 2100: New Business - As - Usual Climate Change Scenario Presented by MIT Warming Temperatures Stunt Autumn Leaf Colors

Sensitivity analysis shows that future fire potential depends on many factors such as climate model and emission scenario used for climate change projection.

One might argue that such organizations are backing into the future: they are pursuing a «business as usual» scenario when it comes to coping with multifaceted, multidimensional climate and climate change impact issues.

Although there is still some disagreement in the preliminary results (eg the description of polar ice caps), a lot of things appear to be quite robust as the climate models for instance indicate consistent patterns of surface warming and rainfall trends: the models tend to agree on a stronger warming in the Arctic and stronger precipitation changes in the Topics (see crude examples for the SRES A1b scenarios given in Figures 1 & 2; Note, the degrees of freedom varies with latitude, so that the uncertainty of these estimates are greater near the poles).

There are a number of factors that control CH4 concentrations that are extermely poorly understood and are mostly ignored in the scenarios — the dependence on other gases (such as O3, and CO), the impact of increased temperatures and changes to precip on tropical and boreal wetland emissions, the existence (or not) of a significant methane hydrate source from permafrost or continental shelves, the climate impact on the atmopsheric chemistry of CH4.

Future scenarios of climate change necessarily consider social change as well, and fuel prices are a component of these scenarios; fuel use being relatively inelastic affects consideration of social change, which affects emissions, which effects climate.

Using a recently developed hurricane synthesizer driven by large - scale meteorological variables derived from global climate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarClimate Change (IPCC) emissions scenario A1b.

A first step towards planning adaptation policies of SLR would be the projection of SLR at the local level at different time scales and at its different scenarios, as devised by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

As for the «cash spigot», the pot of money and prestige available to research supporting extreme climate change scenarios is orders of magnitude larger than the pot available to research supporting moderate scenarios.

It actually talks about â $ œcommitment to extinctionâ $ ™, that is the commencement of a process by 2050, that would lead to extinction, and the 37 % figure relates to the maximal climate change scenario, rather than the minimal scenario as you misleadingly suggest.

This is dramatically worse than even the dire predictions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which predicts at least a 5 - degree Celsius increase by 2100 as its worst - case scenario.»

The science is clear to me and to most experts in the various fields associated with climate science: Humans are causing most of the observed global warming in the past several decades and, if we continue emitting GHGs under a «business as usual» scenario, it will become increasingly difficult and costly to adapt to the changes that are likely to occur.

On any plausible business as usual scenario, emissions will grow substantially, while for any plausible climate science model, we need to reduce emissions substantially if we are to avoid highly damaging climate change.