The phrase
"climate contrarians" refers to people who doubt or question the scientific consensus on climate change. They may disagree with the idea that human activities, like burning fossil fuels, are causing the Earth's temperature to rise.
Full definition
From 2011 - 2012, two - thirds of stories from eight top news organizations did not identify the fossil fuel industry funding of eight
prominent climate contrarian groups.
Right now the media also tends to operate under the principle that «controversy sells,» and
climate contrarian positions inevitably create the controversy that generates viewer traffic.
A
favourite climate contrarian talking point is that there was a pause or «hiatus» in warming from 1998 until the early part of the current decade.
This assertion was then repeated by James Delingpole at The Telegraph (with some added colorful language), and probably on many other
climate contrarian blogs.
It does not include individuals who are thus far unconvinced by the science (due, in part, to the voracious media coverage garnered by
climate contrarians as identified above) or individuals who are unconvinced by proposed solutions.
That enthusiasm may provide sufficient reason for
many climate contrarians to embrace the technology, even if they dismiss or downplay the clear climate - science diagnosis delivered by Myles Allen and the overwhelming majority of his climate scientist colleagues.
Perhaps you would be wise to consider that fact the next time a group of
climate contrarians with little to no expertise publish another of these letters.
Unsurprisingly,
on climate contrarian sites, such models are described in all sorts of unflattering terms and dismissed out of hand as fundamentally useless.
At the time, I posted that the hacker uploaded the personal details of every SkS user account, but I've since discovered that he omitted the personal details of any
known climate contrarians in our user database.
While
climate contrarians like Richard Lindzen tend to treat the uncertainties associated with clouds and aerosols incorrectly, as we noted in that post, they are correct that these uncertainties preclude a precise estimate of climate sensitivity based solely on recent temperature changes and model simulations of those changes.
There is a silver lining in this cloud of obfuscation -
climate contrarians appear to be retreating more and more away from the «it's not happening» and «it's not us» myths, toward the «it's not bad» fallback position.
Not only has the IPCC done remarkably well in projecting future global surface temperature changes thus far, but it has also performed far better than the
few climate contrarians who have put their money where their mouth is with their own predictions.
And those questions lead straight back to the Calgary Foundation's oil - patch funded Science Education Fund, and
longtime climate contrarian PR specialist (and Conservative activist) Morten Paulsen.
This new study confirms that according to the scientists themselves,
fringe climate contrarians who hold views well outside the mainstream are receiving disproportionate media coverage.
ExxonMobil continues to provide annual contributions to the Heritage Foundation, despite making a public pledge in 2007 to stop funding
climate contrarian groups.
Then again, John Cook thought that Skeptical Science would be obsolete by now due to global warming denial becoming an untenable belief, so we suspect The Escalator will continue to be a useful myth debunking tool for some time to come, particularly since
climate contrarians seem to prefer nitpicking the graphic to learning from it.
The authors also point to research by Dr. Myanna Lahsen that shows many of the most
vocal climate contrarians came of age in the 1960s and 1970s and perceive anything (particularly computer modeling) that developed after their hay day as inaccurate and unreliable.
One of the most common misunderstandings
amongst climate contrarians is the difference between short - term noise and long - term signal.
This strategy is
why climate contrarians are sometimes referred to as «delayers», because they argue that we should delay action until we can be more certain of the human - caused global warming outcome.
In October 2010 the Christian Science Monitor published an op - ed by Watts likening
climate contrarian Hal Lewis's resignation from the American Physical Society to Martin Luther.
As
climate contrarians often do when asked about the Arctic sea ice death spiral, Spencer then tried to shift the focus to the Antarctic.
As we suggested to William Happer, if
climate contrarians want their opinions to be taken seriously, they should engage in real science within the peer - review system that works for every scientific field.
However, I don't recall
climate contrarians coming to the defense of Michael Mann when he was subject to ideologically - based legal harrassment from then - Virginia Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli as well as from Republicans in Congress.
Thus it's perhaps not surprising that Cook et al. (2013) and its 97 % consensus result have been the subject of extensive denial among the usual
climate contrarian suspects.
This particular category doesn't state how much global warming humans are causing, and hence
climate contrarians claim that because they admit humans are causing some global warming, they should be included in the 97 percent.
Denial of this fact may have been the
favorite climate contrarian myth of 2012, first invented by David Rose at The Mail on Sunday with an assist from Georgia Tech's Judith Curry, both of whom later doubled - down on the myth after we debunked it.
And it turns out that the originator of the «no significant warming since 1995» variation is none other than
climate contrarian Richard Lindzen, ably assisted by blogger Anthony Watts (of WattsUpWithThat fame) and physicist Lubos Motl.