Climate effects of volcanic eruptions.
University of Alabama - Huntsville climate scientists John Christy and Richard McNider found that by removing
the climate effects of volcanic eruptions early on in the satellite temperature record showed virtually no change in the rate of warming since the early 1990s.
Not exact matches
For the first time, this study allowed researchers to analyse the
effects of the
climate change on the forest nutrient cycles, and states that Pyrenean forests can register these episodes chemical mark at a global scale (for instance,
volcanic eruptions in remote areas) and the
effects of gas emissions into the atmosphere since the Industrial Revolution.
But despite that steady climb, not every year is warmer than the one before it, thanks to the vagaries
of weather, the influence
of natural
climate cycles, and the
effects of events like
volcanic eruptions.
Volcanic eruptions and impacts from celestial bodies, like asteroids, have a near instantaneous
effect, but very few
of these one - time events are
of sufficient size to impact the global
climate for more than a few years.
A couple links to articles on the
effect of major
volcanic eruptions on global
climate, particularly relevant given the possible / probably / imminent
eruption of Mt. Agung:
Do you know about, or can you refer me to someone who may know about, the
climate effects of the other Tambora - scale
volcanic eruption (VEI = 7)
of the last millenium — from Changbaishan (Baitoushan) on the China - NKorea border (42oN latitude) sometime between 960-1025 AD?
In fact,
climate models are tested against historic trends, both near history and distant history, and then tested against specific events, such as the
effects of volcanic eruption.
In the abstract
of Trenberth et al (2002), they write, «The 1976/1977
climate shift and the
effects of two major
volcanic eruptions in the past 2 decades are reflected in different evolution
of ENSO events.
Volcanic activity was high during this period
of history, and we know from modern studies
of volcanism that
eruptions can have strong cooling
effects on the
climate for several years after an
eruption.
It could be a relatively cheap, effective and quick way to cool the planet by mimicking the natural
effects on
climate of large
volcanic eruptions, but scientists concede there could be dramatic and dangerous side
effects that they don't know about.
For example, the accumulated
effect of volcanic eruptions during the past decade, including the Icelandic volcano with the impossible name, Eyjafjallajökull, may have had a greater cooling
effect on the earth's surface than has been accounted for in most
climate model simulations.
Natural variations in
climate include the
effects of cycles such as El Niño, La Niña and other ocean cycles; the 11 - year sunspot cycle and other changes in energy from the sun; and the
effects of volcanic eruptions.
I always believed that the oceans were an important element in localised weather conditions over the short term but feel that relatively sudden shifts in
climate occur through external forcings such as
volcanic eruptions, meteor strike and the
effects of changes in cosmic rays and sun spot activity, which are, unfortunately, all chaotic by nature and unpredictable.
«Studies
of these [
volcanic eruptions and El Niño]
effects using
climate models... Continue reading →
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think
of no other force that can change or reverse in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary
effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a significant player in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength
of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state
of the
climate (average global temperature), the initial state
of the earth's
climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state
of random terrestrial (violent
volcanic eruption, or a random atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity
of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch Cycles.
New UBC research shows that
climate change may impede the cooling
effect of volcanic eruptions.
You can see in Figure 3 that some
of these chemistry -
climate models do capture this overshoot behaviour following the
effects of large
volcanic eruptions.
Forster et al. (2007) described four mechanisms by which
volcanic forcing influences
climate: RF due to aerosol — radiation interaction; differential (vertical or horizontal) heating, producing gradients and changes in circulation; interactions with other modes
of circulation, such as El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO); and ozone depletion with its
effects on stratospheric heating, which depends on anthropogenic chlorine (stratospheric ozone would increase with a
volcanic eruption under low - chlorine conditions).
He and his collaborators employed both simple and complex computer models in early studies
of the role
of clouds in
climate change, and in research on the climatic
effects of massive
volcanic eruptions.
Climate engineering: To counter the
effects of heat - trapping greenhouse gases, some experts have proposed artificially cooling the planet by injecting sulfates into the stratosphere, which would mimic the
effects of a major
volcanic eruption.
Placing giant mirrors in orbit to reflect sunlight before it reaches Earth and launching millions
of tons
of sulfur into the stratosphere to simulate the
effects of a major
volcanic eruption are among the mind - boggling
climate...